NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	103		Excitement	8.7 [131]		MVP	Kevin Martin (SAC): +53.1%
Seattle SuperSonics	101		Comeback	2.1 [609]		LVP	Kevin Durant (SEA): -25.9%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0.53	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.53	0.08	0.44	-0.01	17	60%	0.62	2	-0.09	9	89%	0.01
John Salmons	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	7	73%	0.14	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Mike Bibby	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.04	0.09	0.00	11	54%	0.14	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.03
Beno Udrih	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.01	8	50%	0.08	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Mikki Moore	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	7	62%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Francisco Garcia	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.02	7	43%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.05	-0.00	10	42%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Dahntay Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Douby	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	10	54%	0.05	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.02

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.29	0.29	0.04	0.26	0.00	7	56%	0.29	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.10	0.10	-0.00	9	73%	0.26	1	-0.06	4	100%	0.05
Kurt Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.08	0.00	7	75%	0.18	0	0.00	6	83%	0.04
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	7	56%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.01	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	8	37%	-0.08
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	3	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Green	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.06	-0.00	6	8%	-0.12	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.24,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.06	-0.15	0.01	9	45%	-0.04	3	-0.17	4	75%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.31,-0.23,-0.27,-0.26	-0.26	-0.16	-0.11	-0.01	20	38%	-0.04	5	-0.22	10	90%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	31.4	15.7	29.2	2.4	38.5	143.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +66.4%

SEA -13.1%

SEA -14.0%

SAC +6.1%

SAC +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	SEA	NBA	SAC	SEA	NBA
this game	15.2	14.1	15.4	104.0	103.1	105.7
season	14.9	14.5		105.6	99.1
opponent	15.0	15.0		107.9	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.7	14.8	15.6	15.5	15.2
SEA	15.3	14.0	13.8	13.3	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	65	64	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.41	8	-6	14	15.4	14.7	0.72	14.0	14.3	-0.33
Mikki Moore	80	80	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.46	1	1	0	15.2	14.8	0.38	13.6	16.0	-2.35
Mike Bibby	61	60	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.42	2	0	2	15.4	14.8	0.59	13.2	15.4	-2.19
Kevin Martin	75	74	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.47	0	2	-2	15.6	13.6	2.02	13.6	15.7	-2.15
Brad Miller	74	73	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.30	5	-3	8	15.6	13.8	1.75	14.2	13.6	0.65
Francisco Garcia	37	37	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.02	4	-2	6	14.1	15.8	-1.62	16.1	12.8	3.30
Spencer Hawes	9	10	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	-1	4	16.7	15.0	1.67	15.6	13.9	1.69
Beno Udrih	38	38	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	2	-2	14.8	15.4	-0.59	15.4	13.2	2.19
Quincy Douby	2	1	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	2	-2	7.0	15.3	-8.32	23.0	14.0	9.01
Dahntay Jones	1	1	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.01	-2	4	-6	2.0	15.3	-13.29	13.0	14.1	-1.09
John Salmons	53	52	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.18	-11	13	-24	14.4	16.0	-1.54	13.5	14.7	-1.24

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Collison	44	44	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.07	6	-8	14	14.4	13.8	0.59	14.5	15.7	-1.13
Johan Petro	34	36	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-1	0	14.6	13.8	0.87	13.9	15.9	-1.98
Jeff Green	47	45	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	2	-6	13.7	14.5	-0.77	16.1	14.3	1.80
Luke Ridnour	28	29	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	4	-10	15.3	13.6	1.69	14.0	15.6	-1.68
Kevin Durant	73	74	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.32	3	-5	8	13.8	15.0	-1.23	15.1	15.4	-0.39
Earl Watson	70	70	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.39	4	-6	10	13.6	15.3	-1.69	15.6	14.0	1.68
Wally Szczerbiak	48	50	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.45	5	-7	12	14.6	13.5	1.11	14.2	16.1	-1.96
Damien Wilkins	33	34	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	0	-2	13.5	14.4	-0.81	14.7	15.4	-0.63
Kurt Thomas	56	55	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.36	-3	1	-4	13.6	14.7	-1.11	15.8	14.4	1.38
Chris Wilcox	57	58	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.29	-12	10	-22	14.5	13.5	1.06	16.3	13.6	2.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.24,0.27,0.41,0.35,0.47,0.62,0.29,0.22,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 107, NYK 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.4,0.27,0.33,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.39,0.38,0.28,0.06,0,0	92.3%
PHI 115, LAL 109	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.4,0.27,0.24,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.28,0.32,0.41,0.35,0.6,0.39,0.36,0.03,0.01,0	92.1%
LAL 101, NOH 95	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.28,0.39,0.21,0.06,0.02,0	91.6%