NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	108		Excitement	7.8 [245]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +39.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	101		Comeback	2.8 [556]		LVP	Samuel Dalembert (PHI): -12.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.39	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.39	0.10	0.28	-0.02	26	57%	0.45	3	-0.06	11	82%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.10	0.09	-0.00	4	112%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.05	-0.00	8	55%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
JJ Hickson	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	5	77%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Jamario Moon	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Mo Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.04	0.01	8	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
Anthony Parker	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	3	75%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	6	29%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.04	0.02	15	70%	0.25	3	-0.11	7	100%	0.07
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.04	0.02	7	73%	0.15	1	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	7	64%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	11	52%	0.11	3	-0.11	5	80%	0.02
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	15	50%	0.05	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	9	45%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.08	-0.00	12	50%	0.01	2	-0.10	8	100%	0.05
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	4	0%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	29.5	15.7	30.0	1.8	35.3	138.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +47.6%

PHI -4.4%

PHI -16.5%

CLE +24.1%

PHI -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	PHI	NBA	CLE	PHI	NBA
this game	18.1	13.5	15.3	118.7	111.0	106.0
season	16.1	15.1		109.5	104.2
opponent	15.8	15.0		108.4	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.9	17.4	19.7	19.5	18.1
PHI	14.7	14.7	12.4	12.3	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	77	78	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.33	10	-3	13	17.6	20.9	-3.25	13.5	13.8	-0.27
Mo Williams	60	61	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.37	8	-1	9	17.0	20.3	-3.31	13.5	13.7	-0.24
Daniel Gibson	51	50	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.46	4	3	1	19.5	16.3	3.18	12.4	14.9	-2.53
Shaquille O'Neal	50	50	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.19	11	-4	15	17.2	19.2	-2.02	14.6	12.3	2.27
Anderson Varejao	55	53	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.40	3	4	-1	19.0	16.7	2.34	12.7	14.7	-2.06
Anthony Parker	31	31	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.15	7	0	7	16.7	18.8	-2.12	14.5	13.0	1.48
JJ Hickson	34	35	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	5	-3	16.6	19.0	-2.38	15.0	12.6	2.33
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	30	29	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.08	-4	11	-15	20.7	16.8	3.91	12.7	13.9	-1.25
Delonte West	42	42	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.07	-3	10	-13	19.0	17.3	1.74	14.0	13.1	0.90
Jamario Moon	25	26	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.08	-3	10	-13	18.3	18.0	0.29	12.9	13.8	-0.92

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Green	35	36	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.03	-2	-5	3	12.7	14.1	-1.34	19.1	17.5	1.66
Samuel Dalembert	26	26	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.11	-5	-2	-3	15.1	12.9	2.15	15.9	19.0	-3.06
Marreese Speights	40	40	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.08	-2	-5	3	14.1	13.1	1.05	19.5	17.0	2.57
Rodney Carney	10	10	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-3	-1	13.2	13.6	-0.38	21.7	17.7	4.03
Jrue Holiday	71	70	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-4	1	13.9	12.2	1.72	17.7	19.5	-1.78
Andre Iguodala	79	79	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.25	-3	-4	1	13.6	13.1	0.52	17.8	20.1	-2.27
Thaddeus Young	66	65	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.24	-6	-1	-5	13.4	14.0	-0.64	17.2	20.4	-3.18
Elton Brand	61	62	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.48	1	-8	9	13.0	14.5	-1.48	19.6	15.0	4.56
Allen Iverson	67	67	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.43	-11	4	-15	13.2	14.5	-1.25	17.3	20.2	-2.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.37,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.48,0.31,0.15,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 79, DEN 78	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.26,0.24,0.41,0.37,0.52,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.37,0.09,0.1,0	92.0%
POR 88, SAC 78	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.53,0.38,0.21,0.06,0,0	91.8%
BOS 111, MEM 110	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.36,0.28,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.25,0.38,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.38,0.33,0.53,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.38,0.21,0.15,0.04,0	91.7%