NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	79		Excitement	8.3 [179]		MVP	Tim Thomas (PHI): +19.5%
Denver Nuggets	78		Comeback	2.4 [600]		LVP	Anthony Goldwire (DEN): -31.3%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0.19	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.05	0.14	-0.01	7	79%	0.24	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	15	51%	0.01	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Scott Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	8	37%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.14	0.02	-0.01	12	19%	-0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Theo Ratliff	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.04	-0.11	-0.00	8	56%	-0.05	3	-0.10	2	0%	-0.11
Allen Iverson	-0.19	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	-0.00	19	41%	-0.12	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02
Eric Snow	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.21	-0.03	-0.16	0.02	5	67%	-0.06	3	-0.15	2	100%	0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kiwane Garris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Washington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.04	-0.04	0.07	-0.09	0.02	11	73%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.03	-0.12	0.01	19	54%	0.00	1	-0.10	3	67%	-0.04
Joe Wolf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	0.00	8	25%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Stith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.11	-0.18	-0.01	13	44%	-0.08	3	-0.20	8	87%	0.05
Anthony Goldwire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15,-0.31	-0.31	-0.08	-0.24	-0.01	11	40%	-0.29	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	1.7	24.4	15.4	21.6	2.4	34.5	122.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +45.9%

DEN -16.5%

PHI +16.2%

PHI +4.7%

DEN -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DEN	NBA	PHI	DEN	NBA
this game	17.5	17.4	15.6	95.2	95.1	102.5
season	15.4	16.2		99.7	96.7
opponent	15.2	15.5		109.5	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.1	20.6	17.1	16.6	17.5
DEN	19.1	17.3	16.4	16.9	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	74	73	0.87	-0.37	1.25	0.40	16	-15	31	17.0	21.9	-4.90	17.9	12.9	5.06
Theo Ratliff	74	72	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.48	13	-12	25	16.9	22.9	-6.02	18.0	13.2	4.77
Tim Thomas	55	56	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.57	-2	3	-5	16.0	20.5	-4.50	18.1	15.8	2.37
Derrick Coleman	66	66	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.54	-5	6	-11	17.0	19.7	-2.75	17.0	18.9	-1.92
Anthony Parker	10	10	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.05	8	-7	15	19.1	17.3	1.80	15.8	17.6	-1.81
Joe Smith	25	24	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.08	3	-2	5	20.6	16.2	4.35	15.5	18.2	-2.61
Brian Shaw	50	49	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.23	-10	11	-21	18.4	16.2	2.12	17.9	16.7	1.16
Scott Williams	23	22	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	5	-9	20.6	16.3	4.28	16.7	17.6	-0.91
Eric Snow	38	38	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.23	-14	15	-29	17.6	17.4	0.16	16.1	18.5	-2.35

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kiwane Garris	18	18	0.45	-0.95	1.39	0.01	15	-16	31	15.9	17.8	-1.92	21.2	16.5	4.66
Joe Wolf	30	32	0.18	-0.68	0.87	0.13	2	-3	5	17.1	17.6	-0.51	19.3	16.4	2.92
Danny Fortson	5	6	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	3	-7	18.8	17.3	1.50	23.8	17.0	6.81
Johnny Newman	10	10	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.04	-7	6	-13	17.1	17.4	-0.33	22.2	16.9	5.32
Bryant Stith	67	67	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.42	7	-8	15	18.0	14.6	3.41	16.9	20.1	-3.15
Tony Battie	57	55	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.15	-3	2	-5	17.5	17.1	0.39	16.9	18.6	-1.70
Eric Washington	24	26	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.24	-3	2	-5	15.6	18.1	-2.55	19.5	16.6	2.83
Dean Garrett	72	72	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.58	3	-4	7	17.3	17.8	-0.47	16.9	21.7	-4.85
LaPhonso Ellis	63	64	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.70	1	-2	3	17.5	17.2	0.30	16.4	21.4	-5.06
Anthony Goldwire	64	65	-0.95	0.45	-1.39	-0.48	-16	15	-31	17.8	15.9	1.92	16.5	21.2	-4.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.26,0.24,0.41,0.37,0.52,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.37,0.09,0.1,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 92, DEN 81	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.45,0.37,0.06,0.02,0	92.1%
CLE 108, PHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.37,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.48,0.31,0.15,0.02,0	92.0%
MIA 118, BOS 117	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.28,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.31,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.58,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.56,0.29,0.11,0.15,0	91.8%