NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	88		Excitement	7.9 [146]		MVP	Jon Barry (SAC): +4.1%
Sacramento Kings	78		Comeback	1.9 [384]		LVP	Jason Williams (SAC): -43.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stacey Augmon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.04	0.00	10	50%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0	0.04	-0.01	0.02	17	61%	0.07	2	-0.07	7	71%	-0.02
Kelvin Cato	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.04	-0.06	15	42%	-0.06	1	0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Walt Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	4	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	11	27%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	12	33%	-0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	-0.29	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.09	-0.17	0.03	13	43%	-0.17	3	-0.12	4	75%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.05	0.00	4	70%	0.11	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.06
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	10	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	10	43%	0.05	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	10	36%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Vlade Divac	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	14	37%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	7	26%	-0.13	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	19	42%	-0.04	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.38,-0.43,-0.43,-0.43	-0.43	-0.23	-0.17	0.03	13	19%	-0.29	5	-0.14	1	0%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.7	2.7	28.5	15.4	25.4	2.7	27.2	123.6
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +25.6%

SAC -2.3%

POR +19.6%

POR +11.1%

SAC -4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SAC	NBA	POR	SAC	NBA
this game	16.5	14.4	15.8	95.7	82.1	99.6
season	16.0	14.1		102.0	100.1
opponent	15.5	15.9		100.9	96.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.4	13.9	19.9	17.9	16.5
SAC	15.0	16.7	11.0	14.9	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arvydas Sabonis	58	61	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.14	16	-6	22	17.9	14.1	3.74	14.2	14.7	-0.54
Damon Stoudamire	65	68	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.17	15	-5	20	17.4	14.2	3.19	14.2	14.7	-0.53
Rasheed Wallace	78	80	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.12	12	-2	14	16.8	14.5	2.33	14.2	15.4	-1.24
Isaiah Rider	49	50	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.26	6	4	2	15.9	17.1	-1.20	14.7	14.0	0.64
Brian Grant	75	77	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.05	12	-2	14	16.8	14.9	1.89	14.2	15.1	-0.93
Stacey Augmon	19	19	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.00	7	3	4	16.6	16.4	0.19	15.5	14.1	1.39
Jim Jackson	43	45	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.06	4	6	-2	17.1	15.9	1.20	14.0	14.7	-0.64
Jermaine O'Neal	29	31	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.15	-6	16	-22	15.1	17.1	-1.96	14.5	14.3	0.28
Kelvin Cato	3	3	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	13	-16	7.3	16.8	-9.45	12.3	14.4	-2.09
Greg Anthony	27	27	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.04	-5	15	-20	14.2	17.4	-3.19	14.7	14.2	0.53
Walt Williams	14	14	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.11	-8	18	-26	11.4	17.4	-5.96	15.8	14.1	1.67

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lawrence Funderburke	39	39	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.06	4	-14	18	14.8	14.0	0.78	13.7	18.5	-4.84
Jon Barry	31	31	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-11	12	16.3	13.4	2.92	13.6	17.9	-4.32
Peja Stojakovic	47	45	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.14	3	-13	16	15.0	13.7	1.31	14.9	18.0	-3.11
Vernon Maxwell	40	41	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.11	-1	-9	8	15.7	13.4	2.36	14.7	17.9	-3.15
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	55	51	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.10	-9	-1	-8	13.4	15.7	-2.36	17.9	14.7	3.15
Corliss Williamson	48	47	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.07	-13	3	-16	13.7	15.0	-1.31	18.0	14.9	3.11
Vlade Divac	67	65	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.11	-12	2	-14	14.4	14.4	0.00	18.0	12.9	5.13
Jason Williams	64	61	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.16	-11	1	-12	13.4	16.3	-2.92	17.9	13.6	4.32
Chris Webber	84	80	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.24	-12	2	-14	14.1	16.0	-1.86	16.6	15.6	1.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.53,0.38,0.21,0.06,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 111, MEM 110	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.36,0.28,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.25,0.38,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.38,0.33,0.53,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.38,0.21,0.15,0.04,0	92.4%
CLE 108, PHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.37,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.48,0.31,0.15,0.02,0	91.8%
MIL 91, ORL 84	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.46,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.59,0.4,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.23,0.08,0	91.6%