NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	105		Excitement	7.1 [448]		MVP	Clint Capela (HOU): +19.6%
Sacramento Kings	100		Comeback	1.6 [980]		LVP	Skal Labissiere (SAC): -12.0%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clint Capela	0.20	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2	0.14	0.06	0.01	12	85%	0.24	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
James Harden	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.1	0.05	0.05	0.01	21	54%	0.16	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.02
Nene	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.05	0.00	5	69%	0.13	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Eric Gordon	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08	-0.04	0.09	-0.03	23	46%	0.17	3	-0.09	8	87%	0.09
Ryan Anderson	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	7	56%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
PJ Tucker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.07	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	6	14%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Demetrius Jackson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.08	0.03	15	66%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	17	56%	0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Justin Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.03	-0.00	3	100%	0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Malachi Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	15	47%	0.07	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	7	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11	-0.11	-0.00	-0.08	0.03	11	62%	0.01	4	-0.12	4	75%	-0.00
Skal Labissiere	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	9	60%	0.04	5	-0.16	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.8	26.0	14.6	21.5	2.5	40.3	129.6
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +0.1%

HOU +28.0%

HOU +11.8%

HOU +12.1%

SAC -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SAC	NBA	HOU	SAC	NBA
this game	13.4	15.7	14.7	106.1	101.0	107.5
season	14.6	15.4		112.8	102.9
opponent	14.7	14.8		110.1	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	12.5	13.8	14.0	13.1	13.4
SAC	16.8	17.0	15.4	14.0	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Gordon	73	73	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.30	14	-9	23	12.7	15.1	-2.38	16.0	15.0	0.93
Clint Capela	55	54	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.13	9	-4	13	13.8	12.8	0.94	17.3	13.8	3.45
James Harden	78	80	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.31	1	4	-3	13.1	14.2	-1.05	15.5	16.6	-1.05
Ryan Anderson	51	50	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.13	5	0	5	13.0	13.8	-0.79	17.2	14.3	2.89
Luc Mbah a Moute	51	52	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.22	0	5	-5	14.0	12.7	1.31	14.3	17.3	-2.99
PJ Tucker	61	63	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.25	-1	6	-7	13.6	13.1	0.50	14.7	17.5	-2.74
Demetrius Jackson	21	19	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	1	3	14.2	13.1	1.05	16.6	15.5	1.05
Nene	38	38	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.14	-1	6	-7	13.8	13.1	0.69	14.6	16.4	-1.82
Trevor Ariza	67	66	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.24	-6	11	-17	13.1	13.9	-0.85	15.8	15.6	0.23

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malachi Richardson	10	11	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.02	-3	-2	-1	16.5	15.6	0.86	15.2	13.1	2.05
Buddy Hield	69	70	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.21	3	-8	11	15.8	15.7	0.09	12.5	15.5	-3.00
Skal Labissiere	66	66	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.28	4	-9	13	16.2	14.7	1.55	13.5	13.1	0.45
George Hill	69	68	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.27	2	-7	9	15.8	15.6	0.13	12.7	14.8	-2.05
Willie Cauley-Stein	66	67	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.24	1	-6	7	16.0	15.2	0.77	12.6	15.0	-2.42
Kosta Koufos	35	35	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.09	-5	0	-5	15.0	16.1	-1.17	14.6	12.7	1.96
De'Aaron Fox	48	47	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.07	-7	2	-9	15.4	16.0	-0.56	14.0	12.8	1.25
Vince Carter	29	27	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.12	-6	1	-7	16.4	15.5	0.92	15.3	12.6	2.66
Garrett Temple	65	65	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.37	1	-6	7	13.8	19.5	-5.75	13.6	12.9	0.69
Justin Jackson	38	39	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.12	-15	10	-25	18.0	14.3	3.69	13.0	13.6	-0.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.29,0.16,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.15,0.04,0.06,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 91, ATL 80	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.35,0.26,0.33,0.27,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.06,0.05,0.14,0.07,0.02,0,0	93.6%
PHI 95, ORL 89	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.25,0.17,0.15,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.05,0	93.6%
PHX 115, CLE 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.47,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.34,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.4%