NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	95		Excitement	5.5 [705]		MVP	Eric Snow (PHI): +15.0%
Orlando Magic	89		Comeback	2.0 [249]		LVP	Matt Harpring (PHI): -8.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Snow	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.04	0.06	-0.05	11	71%	0.19	3	-0.04	9	100%	0.04
Speedy Claxton	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.08	0.03	0.02	14	61%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.04	0.00	14	56%	0.09	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Corie Blount	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Raja Bell	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	0.02	-0.00	15	42%	0.02	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	12	46%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.09	-0.01	0.07	17	67%	0.07	2	-0.05	12	67%	-0.02
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	9	42%	0.00	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	7	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Mike Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	8	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	0.03	15	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	8	25%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.7	30.0	17.8	27.3	2.5	32.6	136.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +32.6%

PHI +13.5%

PHI +8.0%

ORL -4.5%

PHI +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ORL	NBA	PHI	ORL	NBA
this game	17.9	14.8	15.6	109.2	100.0	102.3
season	15.9	14.6		99.3	104.6
opponent	15.8	15.6		103.3	98.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	19.1	15.7	18.5	18.6	17.9
ORL	13.0	13.8	15.8	17.4	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Speedy Claxton	80	81	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.24	15	-9	24	17.3	25.3	-8.01	15.0	13.2	1.75
Derrick McKey	47	47	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.30	7	-1	8	16.9	19.1	-2.14	14.6	15.1	-0.43
Eric Snow	75	79	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.37	3	3	0	18.1	16.8	1.26	14.9	14.3	0.61
Dikembe Mutombo	56	58	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.12	9	-3	12	18.9	16.2	2.63	15.9	12.9	2.93
Corie Blount	42	43	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.32	1	5	-4	17.4	18.4	-0.95	15.2	14.5	0.75
Raja Bell	54	56	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.00	10	-4	14	16.9	19.5	-2.62	14.8	14.9	-0.11
Matt Harpring	64	64	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.22	-7	13	-20	18.7	15.7	3.08	13.9	17.2	-3.33
Vonteego Cummings	17	17	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.05	-8	14	-22	21.1	17.1	3.97	13.5	15.2	-1.62

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaren Jackson	13	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-7	8	14.4	14.9	-0.54	18.9	17.8	1.13
Don Reid	11	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-7	8	10.3	15.5	-5.21	19.1	17.8	1.33
Andrew DeClercq	8	7	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-5	4	16.7	14.7	2.10	17.1	18.0	-0.84
Horace Grant	49	50	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.15	-1	-5	4	16.2	13.1	3.07	18.9	16.6	2.31
Pat Garrity	67	67	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.18	-1	-5	4	14.9	14.6	0.27	18.0	17.8	0.16
Monty Williams	24	23	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.11	-5	-1	-4	12.7	15.6	-2.87	16.3	18.5	-2.25
Troy Hudson	63	60	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.31	0	-6	6	15.0	14.4	0.65	18.1	17.4	0.69
Mike Miller	48	49	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.21	-8	2	-10	14.7	15.0	-0.20	17.3	18.8	-1.50
Darrell Armstrong	73	71	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.20	-10	4	-14	15.0	14.1	0.88	17.8	18.6	-0.86
Tracy McGrady	89	87	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	0	-6	14.8	0.0	14.84	17.9	0.0	17.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.25,0.17,0.15,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 105, SAC 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.29,0.16,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.15,0.04,0.06,0.05,0	93.6%
UTA 114, PHX 97	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.3,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.39,0.31,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0	93.5%
SAS 92, MIN 76	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	93.3%