inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 91 Excitement6.0 [583] MVPEddie Jones (MIA): +15.1%
Atlanta Hawks 80 Comeback1.6 [702] LVPAnthony Mason (MIA): -22.3%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eddie Jones0.150,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.040.120.011467%0.243-0.098100%0.03
Tim Hardaway0.070,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.080.000.021075%0.102-0.034100%0.00
Brian Grant0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.060.010.050.001647%0.0600.002100%0.01
Dan Majerle0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.010.011133%0.041-0.041100%0.01
Bruce Bowen-0.040,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04-0.090.03-0.02946%0.003-0.04667%-0.02
Anthony Carter-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.030.00950%-0.011-0.04475%-0.01
A.C. Green-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.0120%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Duane Causwell-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.010.0010%-0.0600.0020%-0.03
Anthony Mason-0.220,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.18-0.06-0.021225%-0.143-0.09475%-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Roshown McLeod0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.020.03-0.02550%0.051-0.022100%0.01
Lorenzen Wright0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.000.001361%0.072-0.05250%-0.01
Brevin Knight0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Dikembe Mutombo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.01350%-0.0200.0020%-0.04
Dion Glover0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.03-0.00862%0.052-0.0800%0.00
Alan Henderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Hanno Mottola0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.020.0020%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Tony Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.010.0000%0.003-0.0800%0.00
Jason Terry0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.040.032751%-0.022-0.07771%-0.01
Chris Crawford0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.02-0.01729%-0.052-0.0500%0.00
DerMarr Johnson0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.04-0.021133%-0.071-0.032100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.92.627.217.428.01.624.4126.1
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +25.6%
MIA +9.8%
MIA +9.1%
MIA +2.7%
MIA +2.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAATLNBAMIAATLNBA
this game16.315.815.5101.189.9100.9
season16.315.498.496.0
opponent15.116.1101.696.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA19.814.016.316.316.3
ATL19.113.115.616.415.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Anthony Mason80790.420.080.340.13101916.019.2-3.2116.312.33.98
Bruce Bowen57560.380.120.260.0312-11316.815.51.3615.716.0-0.22
Eddie Jones74740.370.130.230.1965116.614.91.7116.313.52.84
Brian Grant74730.360.140.210.1574316.913.73.2316.413.13.38
Dan Majerle35340.310.190.120.1756-116.116.5-0.4214.916.4-1.49
Anthony Carter42420.290.210.070.0874315.517.1-1.5415.316.3-0.99
Tim Hardaway51500.280.220.060.0874316.915.61.2416.515.01.43
Duane Causwell19200.190.31-0.130.0165113.517.1-3.6413.816.4-2.62
A.C. Green1817-0.090.59-0.680.06-516-2116.716.30.4013.016.5-3.50

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Crawford3132-0.05-0.450.39-0.02-1-10917.015.21.7917.016.00.97
Lorenzen Wright6163-0.07-0.420.35-0.070-111115.616.3-0.6617.214.32.87
Brevin Knight99-0.09-0.410.330.06-5-6115.715.8-0.1819.716.03.69
Tony Smith1413-0.11-0.390.29-0.05-2-9713.616.2-2.6012.217.1-4.90
DerMarr Johnson6265-0.17-0.330.17-0.14-1-10915.716.2-0.5617.313.83.58
Dikembe Mutombo6466-0.17-0.330.15-0.12-2-9715.815.8-0.0117.213.93.37
Roshown McLeod2929-0.28-0.22-0.050.02-10-1-915.216.1-0.9313.417.8-4.37
Alan Henderson2524-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.06-9-2-715.815.80.0113.917.2-3.37
Dion Glover4645-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.18-5-6115.716.0-0.3315.717.0-1.27
Hanno Mottola2827-0.42-0.07-0.35-0.10-110-1116.315.60.6614.317.2-2.87
Jason Terry7677-0.48-0.02-0.45-0.21-9-2-716.213.42.8717.112.24.90


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.35,0.26,0.33,0.27,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.06,0.05,0.14,0.07,0.02,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 105, SAC 1000.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.29,0.16,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.15,0.04,0.06,0.05,093.6%
CHA 113, IND 1020.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.29,0.25,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.1,0.07,0.05,0,0,093.6%
TOR 95, ORL 880.5,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.12,0.05,0.07,0.21,0.09,0.15,093.2%