NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	113		Excitement	6.9 [469]		MVP	Adam Morrison (CHA): +24.8%
Indiana Pacers	102		Comeback	1.6 [504]		LVP	Raymond Felton (CHA): -15.1%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Adam Morrison	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.14	0.11	-0.00	17	67%	0.27	1	-0.02	11	91%	0.08
Emeka Okafor	0.18	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.11	0.12	0.05	12	58%	0.18	0	0.00	9	78%	-0.00
Matt Carroll	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.13	0.04	0.02	11	69%	0.15	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Sean May	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.00	0.08	-0.02	5	67%	0.13	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Derek Anderson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	2	87%	0.12	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Gerald Wallace	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	2	100%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Primoz Brezec	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Othella Harrington	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bernard Robinson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	9	33%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.06	-0.08	0.01	8	50%	-0.03	4	-0.12	4	75%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.12	0.04	11	68%	0.23	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.03	0.02	17	56%	0.11	0	0.00	14	79%	0.02
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rawle Marshall	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Orien Greene	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	12	45%	-0.03	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.05
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	10	41%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	7	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Maceo Baston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	3	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	12	44%	-0.03	1	-0.03	10	50%	-0.05
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	4	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Sarunas Jasikevicius	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	4	25%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.2	2.3	31.5	15.4	28.5	2.3	32.5	143.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +47.8%

CHA +20.5%

IND -4.0%

IND -11.9%

IND -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	IND	NBA	CHA	IND	NBA
this game	15.9	14.7	15.4	118.9	109.7	104.5
season	15.7	15.3		101.7	101.3
opponent	15.3	15.0		103.9	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.7	18.2	15.9	15.0	15.9
IND	16.7	15.2	13.5	13.8	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adam Morrison	76	76	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.27	21	-10	31	15.8	16.2	-0.41	14.6	15.6	-1.04
Emeka Okafor	77	77	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.27	17	-6	23	16.5	13.4	3.01	14.3	16.8	-2.50
Raymond Felton	81	80	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.19	10	1	9	16.7	11.0	5.73	14.3	17.3	-2.98
Primoz Brezec	35	35	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.08	19	-8	27	15.8	15.9	-0.18	15.6	14.2	1.42
Matt Carroll	56	53	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	-1	13	15.2	16.8	-1.54	15.7	13.5	2.22
Gerald Wallace	38	40	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.06	9	2	7	15.5	16.1	-0.60	14.2	15.2	-0.95
Sean May	36	33	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.04	5	6	-1	14.8	16.5	-1.74	15.3	14.4	0.82
Derek Anderson	32	30	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.05	-7	18	-25	16.0	15.8	0.22	14.9	14.7	0.18
Othella Harrington	11	10	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.06	-7	18	-25	14.8	16.0	-1.21	16.4	14.5	1.86
Bernard Robinson	7	6	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.07	-7	18	-25	12.0	16.2	-4.19	17.2	14.6	2.59
Jake Voskuhl	26	25	-0.37	0.87	-1.23	0.13	-17	28	-45	16.7	15.6	1.06	13.5	15.2	-1.73

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marquis Daniels	7	7	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.01	4	-15	19	14.4	14.8	-0.34	18.0	15.7	2.28
Rawle Marshall	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-15	19	10.5	14.8	-4.34	16.5	15.9	0.63
Orien Greene	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-15	19	10.5	14.8	-4.34	16.5	15.9	0.63
Sarunas Jasikevicius	33	33	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.15	4	-15	19	15.6	14.3	1.34	15.0	16.4	-1.40
Maceo Baston	14	16	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.14	1	-12	13	14.4	14.8	-0.37	10.8	16.9	-6.10
Darrell Armstrong	28	30	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.09	-3	-8	5	16.4	14.0	2.36	14.0	16.8	-2.80
Jeff Foster	57	56	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-7	3	14.6	15.0	-0.47	16.7	14.6	2.11
Danny Granger	52	54	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.14	-5	-6	1	15.1	14.3	0.80	15.0	17.0	-1.96
Jamaal Tinsley	63	63	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.03	-12	1	-13	14.1	16.0	-1.86	16.8	14.1	2.65
Jermaine O'Neal	77	77	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	0	-11	14.7	14.9	-0.24	17.0	11.1	5.96
Stephen Jackson	57	58	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.06	-17	6	-23	14.5	15.2	-0.74	16.7	14.6	2.16
Al Harrington	73	77	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	0.00	-20	9	-29	14.7	14.8	-0.14	15.3	18.3	-2.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.29,0.25,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.1,0.07,0.05,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 91, ATL 80	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.35,0.26,0.33,0.27,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.06,0.05,0.14,0.07,0.02,0,0	93.6%
SAS 91, UTA 79	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.15,0.23,0.07,0.02,0,0,0	93.0%
PHX 115, LAL 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.39,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.02,0,0,0,0	92.6%