NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	115		Excitement	6.5 [529]		MVP	Raja Bell (PHX): +20.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	107		Comeback	1.5 [882]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): -15.7%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.17	0.06	0.02	13	73%	0.21	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Kurt Thomas	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	0.00	3	75%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Steve Nash	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.05	0.07	17	62%	0.15	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	10	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.03	0.03	15	62%	0.13	3	-0.13	7	86%	-0.02
Shawn Marion	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	0.02	0.07	6	67%	0.03	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	16	46%	0.00	2	-0.03	9	78%	0.01
James Jones	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	0.05	0.10	10	83%	0.13	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Smush Parker	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.00	0.03	19	57%	0.12	2	-0.08	6	50%	-0.04
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.02	-0.02	2	75%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	9	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.06	-0.03	0.10	25	62%	0.10	5	-0.17	5	100%	0.02
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	3	0%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.05	0.00	13	33%	-0.11	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	33.5	0.2	31.9	19.7	27.2	3.4	41.2	157.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +18.9%

PHX +15.2%

LAL -12.0%

PHX +26.0%

PHX +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	LAL	NBA	PHX	LAL	NBA
this game	14.1	14.9	15.4	116.2	108.1	104.5
season	13.8	15.3		112.2	106.3
opponent	14.9	16.0		107.3	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.8	14.5	15.0	11.9	14.1
LAL	14.8	14.9	17.0	13.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	82	80	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.20	11	-3	14	13.5	17.0	-3.45	15.1	14.5	0.59
Kurt Thomas	38	40	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.18	10	-2	12	14.9	13.7	1.27	15.1	14.8	0.34
Shawn Marion	56	56	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.17	10	-2	12	13.7	14.8	-1.11	16.1	13.4	2.75
Leandro Barbosa	71	70	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.26	6	2	4	13.9	14.7	-0.85	14.5	16.0	-1.44
Raja Bell	78	77	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.24	1	7	-6	13.9	15.1	-1.27	14.6	16.0	-1.35
James Jones	45	48	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	5	-2	14.8	13.6	1.13	14.8	15.1	-0.35
Amar'e Stoudemire	82	80	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	6	-4	13.9	15.2	-1.25	14.7	16.0	-1.30
Boris Diaw	43	44	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	11	-14	15.9	12.8	3.04	14.9	15.0	-0.11

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronny Turiaf	52	51	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.06	6	-14	20	14.8	15.1	-0.30	14.2	14.1	0.07
Brian Cook	11	10	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-6	4	16.7	14.7	2.00	16.2	13.9	2.29
Jordan Farmar	26	26	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-6	4	13.0	15.6	-2.59	13.8	14.3	-0.45
Luke Walton	59	60	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-8	8	15.5	14.1	1.38	14.0	14.4	-0.44
Lamar Odom	95	95	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.34	1	-9	10	14.8	18.5	-3.70	14.1	14.5	-0.37
Smush Parker	78	79	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.18	-7	-1	-6	15.3	13.8	1.51	13.7	15.9	-2.20
Maurice Evans	37	34	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.12	-12	4	-16	14.9	15.0	-0.01	15.6	13.4	2.20
Kobe Bryant	90	92	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.24	-10	2	-12	14.8	16.4	-1.64	14.0	16.1	-2.15
Andrew Bynum	47	48	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.21	-14	6	-20	15.1	14.8	0.30	14.1	14.2	-0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.39,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 91, UTA 79	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.15,0.23,0.07,0.02,0,0,0	93.8%
LAL 90, ATL 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0	93.4%
HOU 100, LAL 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.37,0.23,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.26,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.12,0,0,0	93.3%