NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	100		Excitement	6.5 [499]		MVP	Yao Ming (HOU): +15.2%
Los Angeles Lakers	92		Comeback	1.1 [284]		LVP	Pau Gasol (LAL): -18.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yao Ming	0.15	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.09	0.05	17	64%	0.22	2	-0.07	10	100%	0.03
Metta World Peace	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.07	0.01	15	64%	0.20	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Aaron Brooks	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.00	0.06	-0.02	14	56%	0.17	3	-0.09	6	67%	-0.00
Carl Landry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	4	70%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Charles Hayes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	9	50%	0.03	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Shane Battier	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.01	5	43%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Kyle Lowry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	4	60%	0.04	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Von Wafer	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	1	150%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	10	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.03	0.05	31	48%	0.03	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	8	56%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	8	41%	-0.02	1	-0.05	6	17%	-0.12
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	10	36%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.07	-0.08	0.03	14	47%	-0.04	4	-0.15	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	3.0	31.1	20.4	25.4	2.8	43.2	152.9
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +42.1%

HOU +18.7%

HOU +4.3%

LAL -14.1%

LAL -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAL	NBA	HOU	LAL	NBA
this game	16.3	13.4	15.5	103.1	94.8	106.4
season	16.3	14.9		105.9	110.6
opponent	15.4	15.2		102.6	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.2	17.4	17.9	14.9	16.3
LAL	13.0	13.9	13.4	13.3	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	79	82	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.14	19	-11	30	16.8	14.2	2.54	13.4	13.6	-0.23
Aaron Brooks	74	74	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.23	11	-3	14	16.2	16.5	-0.31	13.0	14.6	-1.58
Luis Scola	66	68	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.19	12	-4	16	17.0	14.8	2.18	13.5	13.2	0.28
Yao Ming	83	83	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.30	5	3	2	16.3	16.3	0.00	13.1	14.9	-1.78
Kyle Lowry	35	35	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.20	0	8	-8	15.5	16.7	-1.26	13.9	13.1	0.85
Shane Battier	81	79	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.23	-2	10	-12	16.0	17.8	-1.82	13.1	14.9	-1.89
Brent Barry	10	11	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	5	-2	18.1	16.1	2.02	14.7	13.2	1.49
Charles Hayes	12	13	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.07	3	5	-2	17.0	16.2	0.81	14.7	13.2	1.49
Carl Landry	26	24	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	10	-12	15.5	16.6	-1.08	14.3	13.1	1.24
Von Wafer	19	16	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.09	-9	17	-26	14.6	16.7	-2.06	13.5	13.4	0.12

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Farmar	6	6	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.01	4	-12	16	10.5	13.6	-3.09	18.3	16.2	2.18
Josh Powell	10	9	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-4	0	14.5	13.3	1.22	18.2	16.1	2.13
Sasha Vujacic	28	31	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.15	0	-8	8	14.1	13.1	0.94	14.4	17.2	-2.84
Shannon Brown	25	26	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-5	2	14.9	12.9	1.99	15.4	16.6	-1.18
Lamar Odom	65	67	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-8	8	12.8	14.7	-1.92	15.5	18.1	-2.62
Andrew Bynum	29	27	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.10	-3	-5	2	14.4	13.0	1.39	18.3	15.5	2.83
Trevor Ariza	77	74	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.12	-10	2	-12	13.3	13.9	-0.63	17.3	13.1	4.14
Derek Fisher	66	65	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.11	-11	3	-14	13.1	14.0	-0.93	16.4	16.0	0.48
Kobe Bryant	89	89	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.27	-6	-2	-4	13.3	14.5	-1.20	16.1	17.9	-1.73
Pau Gasol	90	91	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.31	-7	-1	-6	13.4	13.1	0.28	16.1	19.3	-3.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.37,0.23,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.26,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.12,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 100, CHA 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.28,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.32,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.07,0,0,0	93.5%
MIA 86, POR 76	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.34,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.15,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0	93.5%
NOH 95, MIN 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.47,0.37,0.21,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0	93.5%