NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	100		Excitement	6.5 [495]		MVP	Matt Barnes (LAC): +21.1%
Charlotte Bobcats	94		Comeback	1.1 [561]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (LAC): -14.8%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Barnes	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.08	0.13	-0.01	13	73%	0.27	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.08	0.00	9	65%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	13	54%	0.11	1	-0.03	9	78%	0.02
Lamar Odom	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	45%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	17	49%	0.08	2	-0.04	5	20%	-0.06
Caron Butler	0.00	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	8	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jamal Crawford	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.05	0.02	12	32%	-0.12	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	3	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.02	14	52%	0.03	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	0.01	9	52%	0.07	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.03
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	11	35%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jeff Taylor	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	10	44%	0.00	1	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	0.03	8	59%	0.01	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.03
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	10	44%	-0.02	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Byron Mullens	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	-0.07	0.03	-0.02	0.08	15	59%	-0.00	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	1.5	28.3	15.0	29.6	1.5	31.5	133.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +46.1%

CHA -6.6%

LAC +5.8%

LAC +9.8%

CHA -5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	CHA	NBA	LAC	CHA	NBA
this game	16.2	15.2	15.4	107.5	104.4	104.1
season	15.6	15.6		109.0	99.9
opponent	15.4	15.7		109.8	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.1	14.3	20.3	15.2	16.2
CHA	13.2	15.8	16.8	15.4	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	65	63	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.27	7	-1	8	15.5	17.9	-2.32	15.1	15.5	-0.37
Matt Barnes	47	46	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.24	8	-2	10	15.6	16.8	-1.21	15.9	14.5	1.37
Lamar Odom	46	45	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.31	4	2	2	16.3	16.2	0.05	15.5	14.9	0.62
Ronny Turiaf	24	23	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.09	9	-3	12	13.5	17.2	-3.74	17.9	14.3	3.61
Chris Paul	60	57	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.23	0	6	-6	16.5	15.7	0.79	14.8	16.0	-1.28
Blake Griffin	73	70	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.19	1	5	-4	16.9	13.7	3.23	14.3	18.3	-3.96
Eric Bledsoe	45	43	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.13	3	3	0	15.9	16.6	-0.72	15.2	15.3	-0.11
Caron Butler	34	34	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	5	-4	17.1	15.8	1.30	15.2	15.2	-0.07
Willie Green	28	27	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	7	-8	17.9	15.5	2.32	15.5	15.1	0.37
DeAndre Jordan	43	42	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.06	-2	8	-10	16.6	15.9	0.64	14.9	15.5	-0.64

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Taylor	25	26	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.01	-2	-4	2	15.3	15.2	0.08	19.5	15.0	4.58
Kemba Walker	67	70	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.29	5	-11	16	14.7	16.9	-2.21	16.2	16.3	-0.03
Brendan Haywood	25	26	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-4	2	15.8	15.0	0.86	16.8	16.0	0.74
Gerald Henderson	43	42	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-2	-2	14.3	16.1	-1.85	14.8	17.4	-2.56
Bismack Biyombo	73	76	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.25	-3	-3	0	14.6	18.1	-3.50	16.4	15.3	1.15
Ramon Sessions	41	44	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.17	-7	1	-8	15.6	14.9	0.71	15.8	16.7	-0.88
Byron Mullens	71	74	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	-2	-2	15.8	13.0	2.82	16.0	17.1	-1.03
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	60	63	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.24	-5	-1	-4	16.0	13.7	2.23	16.2	16.3	-0.09
Ben Gordon	45	44	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.18	-8	2	-10	15.4	15.0	0.36	15.8	16.6	-0.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.28,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.32,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.07,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 113, LAC 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.22,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.1,0.21,0.24,0.09,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0	95.2%
LAC 102, ATL 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.15,0.18,0.1,0.23,0.17,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0	94.3%
SAS 72, POR 65	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.08,0.03,0.01,0,0	94.3%