inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 89 Excitement9.7 [80] MVPLaMarcus Aldridge (SAS): +36.4%
San Antonio Spurs 95 Comeback13.1 [122] LVPWade Baldwin IV (MEM): -26.4%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Troy Daniels0.310,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.39,0.32,0.310.020.26-0.03953%0.321-0.0110%-0.06
Zach Randolph0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.15,0.15,0.17-0.060.21-0.022137%0.1700.00667%-0.03
Vince Carter0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.02-0.004100%0.092-0.0300%0.00
Marc Gasol0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.020.030.001150%0.092-0.0800%0.00
Brandan Wright0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.000.01650%0.0000.0000%0.00
JaMychal Green-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
James Ennis III-0.080,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.03-0.040.01440%-0.041-0.042100%0.01
Wayne Selden-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.02-0.09-0.01845%-0.042-0.05650%-0.04
Mike Conley-0.160,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.03-0.090.041754%0.025-0.181100%0.00
Wade Baldwin IV-0.260,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26-0.14-0.130.0067%-0.182-0.08250%-0.05

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.360.360.030.33-0.001254%0.3610.00450%-0.02
Pau Gasol0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.34,0.34,0.340.340.100.23-0.006100%0.361-0.0300%0.00
Kawhi Leonard0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.23,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.210.210.120.110.022457%0.241-0.03887%0.10
Patty Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.110.110.020.09-0.01762%0.162-0.052100%0.02
Dewayne Dedmon0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.011100%0.0300.002100%0.01
Jonathon Simmons0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.050.04-0.01850%0.093-0.0900%0.00
David Lee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Bryn Forbes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.020.0030%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Kyle Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.080.01-0.00729%-0.022-0.0500%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.02-0.090.01856%0.003-0.13250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game21.32.327.315.425.51.739.22.317.6152.7
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.52.217.9136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +53.2%
SAS +14.7%
MEM -32.0%
SAS +5.4%
SAS +8.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMSASNBAMEMSASNBA
this game16.916.214.891.8100.0107.7
season16.115.4106.4110.1
opponent14.814.9103.7106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MEM17.217.718.616.712.616.9
SAS16.315.019.315.314.616.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Zach Randolph65650.34-0.841.190.118-142216.817.2-0.4215.517.7-2.17
Troy Daniels54530.18-0.680.850.26-3-3017.016.80.1815.716.8-1.17
Vince Carter46450.10-0.600.700.16-2-4218.915.13.8016.216.2-0.00
Marc Gasol57520.10-0.590.690.21-4-2-216.916.9-0.0215.916.5-0.52
Wade Baldwin IV3737-0.06-0.440.390.09-5-1-416.217.4-1.1216.515.90.59
Mike Conley5655-0.12-0.380.26-0.182-81018.414.93.4816.715.41.26
Wayne Selden4746-0.13-0.370.24-0.192-81014.918.8-3.9315.117.2-2.16
James Ennis III4949-0.870.37-1.23-0.66-71-816.417.5-1.1116.915.41.53
JaMychal Green2523-0.870.37-1.24-0.34-1812-3016.817.0-0.1918.315.52.80
Brandan Wright4950-1.180.68-1.85-1.09-3-3016.617.3-0.7416.316.00.34

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jonathon Simmons49520.61-0.110.730.4751416.016.4-0.4516.217.8-1.57
Pau Gasol58610.54-0.040.570.59-28-1015.916.6-0.6416.018.5-2.48
Patty Mills47490.51-0.010.510.5106-616.016.4-0.3515.818.1-2.35
Kawhi Leonard71730.470.030.440.1810-41415.817.2-1.4316.817.4-0.58
Bryn Forbes21210.440.060.380.0613-72017.115.91.1820.515.94.58
LaMarcus Aldridge74750.360.140.210.2151416.116.4-0.3216.917.1-0.20
David Lee29300.160.34-0.180.22-28-1017.015.81.1317.916.51.39
Kyle Anderson33330.120.38-0.260.24-410-1415.516.5-1.0616.217.3-1.05
Dewayne Dedmon2726-0.110.61-0.72-0.4010-41417.115.81.2519.116.12.97
Manu Ginobili1211-0.140.64-0.780.06-713-2017.516.01.5116.417.0-0.65
Tony Parker5454-0.450.95-1.40-0.5124-216.316.00.2317.616.21.39


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.55,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.59,0.67,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.86,0.94,0.78,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.77,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 96, CLE 1000.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.48,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.85,0.73,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.58,0.46,0.61,0.63,0.56,0.85,191.9%
SAS 93, BKN 950.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.57,0.58,0.68,0.78,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.98,0.93,0.99,0.97,0.93,0.69,0.58,0.54,0.69,0.64,0.84,0.85,191.5%
POR 111, DEN 1150.5,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.74,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.77,0.73,190.9%