NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	89		Excitement	9.7 [80]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (SAS): +36.4%
San Antonio Spurs	95		Comeback	13.1 [122]		LVP	Wade Baldwin IV (MEM): -26.4%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Daniels	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.39,0.32,0.31	0.02	0.26	-0.03	9	53%	0.32	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.06
Zach Randolph	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.15,0.15,0.17	-0.06	0.21	-0.02	21	37%	0.17	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.03
Vince Carter	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	4	100%	0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.03	0.00	11	50%	0.09	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Brandan Wright	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Ennis III	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	4	40%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Wayne Selden	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.09	-0.01	8	45%	-0.04	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.04
Mike Conley	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.03	-0.09	0.04	17	54%	0.02	5	-0.18	1	100%	0.00
Wade Baldwin IV	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26	-0.14	-0.13	0.00	6	7%	-0.18	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.05

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.03	0.33	-0.00	12	54%	0.36	1	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.10	0.23	-0.00	6	100%	0.36	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.23,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21	0.21	0.12	0.11	0.02	24	57%	0.24	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.10
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.09	-0.01	7	62%	0.16	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jonathon Simmons	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.04	-0.01	8	50%	0.09	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bryn Forbes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.01	-0.00	7	29%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.09	0.01	8	56%	0.00	3	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	21.3	2.3	27.3	15.4	25.5	1.7	39.2	2.3	17.6	152.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.9	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +53.2%

SAS +14.7%

MEM -32.0%

SAS +5.4%

SAS +8.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	SAS	NBA	MEM	SAS	NBA
this game	16.9	16.2	14.8	91.8	100.0	107.7
season	16.1	15.4		106.4	110.1
opponent	14.8	14.9		103.7	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MEM	17.2	17.7	18.6	16.7	12.6	16.9
SAS	16.3	15.0	19.3	15.3	14.6	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	65	65	0.34	-0.84	1.19	0.11	8	-14	22	16.8	17.2	-0.42	15.5	17.7	-2.17
Troy Daniels	54	53	0.18	-0.68	0.85	0.26	-3	-3	0	17.0	16.8	0.18	15.7	16.8	-1.17
Vince Carter	46	45	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.16	-2	-4	2	18.9	15.1	3.80	16.2	16.2	-0.00
Marc Gasol	57	52	0.10	-0.59	0.69	0.21	-4	-2	-2	16.9	16.9	-0.02	15.9	16.5	-0.52
Wade Baldwin IV	37	37	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.09	-5	-1	-4	16.2	17.4	-1.12	16.5	15.9	0.59
Mike Conley	56	55	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.18	2	-8	10	18.4	14.9	3.48	16.7	15.4	1.26
Wayne Selden	47	46	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.19	2	-8	10	14.9	18.8	-3.93	15.1	17.2	-2.16
James Ennis III	49	49	-0.87	0.37	-1.23	-0.66	-7	1	-8	16.4	17.5	-1.11	16.9	15.4	1.53
JaMychal Green	25	23	-0.87	0.37	-1.24	-0.34	-18	12	-30	16.8	17.0	-0.19	18.3	15.5	2.80
Brandan Wright	49	50	-1.18	0.68	-1.85	-1.09	-3	-3	0	16.6	17.3	-0.74	16.3	16.0	0.34

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonathon Simmons	49	52	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.47	5	1	4	16.0	16.4	-0.45	16.2	17.8	-1.57
Pau Gasol	58	61	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.59	-2	8	-10	15.9	16.6	-0.64	16.0	18.5	-2.48
Patty Mills	47	49	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.51	0	6	-6	16.0	16.4	-0.35	15.8	18.1	-2.35
Kawhi Leonard	71	73	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.18	10	-4	14	15.8	17.2	-1.43	16.8	17.4	-0.58
Bryn Forbes	21	21	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.06	13	-7	20	17.1	15.9	1.18	20.5	15.9	4.58
LaMarcus Aldridge	74	75	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.21	5	1	4	16.1	16.4	-0.32	16.9	17.1	-0.20
David Lee	29	30	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.22	-2	8	-10	17.0	15.8	1.13	17.9	16.5	1.39
Kyle Anderson	33	33	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.24	-4	10	-14	15.5	16.5	-1.06	16.2	17.3	-1.05
Dewayne Dedmon	27	26	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.40	10	-4	14	17.1	15.8	1.25	19.1	16.1	2.97
Manu Ginobili	12	11	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.06	-7	13	-20	17.5	16.0	1.51	16.4	17.0	-0.65
Tony Parker	54	54	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	-0.51	2	4	-2	16.3	16.0	0.23	17.6	16.2	1.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.55,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.59,0.67,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.86,0.94,0.78,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.77,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 96, CLE 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.48,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.85,0.73,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.58,0.46,0.61,0.63,0.56,0.85,1	91.9%
SAS 93, BKN 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.57,0.58,0.68,0.78,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.98,0.93,0.99,0.97,0.93,0.69,0.58,0.54,0.69,0.64,0.84,0.85,1	91.5%
POR 111, DEN 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.74,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.77,0.73,1	90.9%