NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	93		Excitement	8.6 [171]		MVP	Danny Green (SAS): +43.9%
Brooklyn Nets	95		Comeback	1.8 [233]		LVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): -34.4%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Green	0.44	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,-0.05,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.44,0.44	0.15	0.31	0.02	14	71%	0.44	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	83%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.03	0.05	-0.03	-0.01	13	54%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Aron Baynes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	8	56%	0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	10	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	8	39%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Boris Diaw	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.02	-0.01	6	0%	-0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	-0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.2	-0.07	-0.13	0.00	16	33%	-0.20	0	0.00	4	75%	0.03
Tim Duncan	-0.34	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34	-0.11	-0.23	0.01	18	35%	-0.29	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.24	0.09	0.01	13	87%	0.31	0	0.00	4	75%	0.03
Deron Williams	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.01,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.00	0.08	-0.01	15	50%	0.14	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.04
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	17	42%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jerome Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	10	40%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.06	-0.06	0.04	-0.10	-0.00	10	64%	0.05	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	3	20%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	0%	-0.06
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.13	-0.10	-0.01	16	25%	-0.20	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	21.6	2.4	25.4	15.7	23.7	1.8	32.1	1.8	15.9	140.3
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	2.0	17.8	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +35.2%

BKN +10.3%

BKN +2.9%

SAS -9.7%

BKN +11.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	BKN	NBA	SAS	BKN	NBA
this game	15.4	17.1	15.1	94.9	96.9	104.2
season	15.4	15.3		106.9	102.9
opponent	15.3	14.9		105.8	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SAS	15.0	14.2	18.7	13.3	17.5	15.4
BKN	15.7	17.1	16.5	18.0	20.0	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aron Baynes	31	31	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.13	6	-8	14	15.5	15.3	0.25	16.7	17.2	-0.48
Cory Joseph	43	44	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.54	19	-21	40	15.2	15.5	-0.34	18.3	16.1	2.22
Marco Belinelli	27	28	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.12	3	-5	8	16.1	15.1	1.01	16.8	17.2	-0.35
Matt Bonner	39	38	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	0	-2	15.7	15.2	0.48	16.5	17.4	-0.89
Manu Ginobili	52	53	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.41	4	-6	10	14.4	16.5	-2.16	17.6	16.4	1.20
Boris Diaw	41	42	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.06	-12	10	-22	15.6	15.2	0.40	16.4	17.6	-1.17
Kawhi Leonard	73	73	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.35	1	-3	4	15.0	16.4	-1.43	17.1	17.0	0.15
Danny Green	62	60	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.37	0	-2	2	16.0	14.3	1.69	17.5	16.4	1.02
Tony Parker	55	54	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.10	-21	19	-40	15.5	15.2	0.34	16.1	18.3	-2.22
Tim Duncan	67	67	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.31	-8	6	-14	15.3	15.5	-0.25	17.2	16.7	0.48

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bojan Bogdanovic	62	62	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.28	16	-14	30	17.0	17.3	-0.33	16.6	13.2	3.36
Mirza Teletovic	78	79	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.51	4	-2	6	17.6	15.2	2.35	15.2	16.1	-0.84
Deron Williams	72	72	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.34	5	-3	8	17.3	16.5	0.73	15.3	15.7	-0.38
Brook Lopez	84	85	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.36	3	-1	4	16.7	19.2	-2.50	15.2	16.8	-1.60
Joe Johnson	78	78	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.38	1	1	0	17.3	16.2	1.09	15.0	16.7	-1.66
Mason Plumlee	18	18	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.05	1	1	0	16.5	17.2	-0.70	16.7	15.1	1.58
Jerome Jordan	14	13	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.10	-1	3	-4	19.2	16.7	2.50	16.8	15.2	1.60
Alan Anderson	32	31	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.01	-6	8	-14	15.5	17.8	-2.33	15.3	15.4	-0.17
Jarrett Jack	52	52	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.20	-13	15	-28	17.1	17.1	-0.03	14.4	16.5	-2.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.57,0.58,0.68,0.78,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.98,0.93,0.99,0.97,0.93,0.69,0.58,0.54,0.69,0.64,0.84,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 89, SAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.55,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.59,0.67,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.86,0.94,0.78,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.77,0.98,1	91.5%
SEA 92, NOK 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.85,0.46,0.68,0.79,0.99,0.99,1	90.4%
TOR 104, WAS 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.5,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.57,0.66,0.76,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.76,0.87,0.82,0.74,0.85,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.69,0.92,1	89.9%