NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	92		Excitement	7.6 [320]		MVP	Rasual Butler (NOK): +21.3%
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	101		Comeback	1.6 [954]		LVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): -23.6%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Watson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	-0.09	0.13	0.01	18	42%	0.19	4	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Mike Wilks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.05	-0.01	12	67%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mouhamed Sene	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.05	0.00	7	73%	0.06	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Johan Petro	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Gelabale	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	8	37%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.02	0.01	5	17%	-0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23,-0.24	-0.01	-0.21	0.02	30	43%	-0.24	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.06

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.08	0.11	-0.03	11	73%	0.27	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.09	-0.01	10	69%	0.22	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.07
Devin Brown	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.00	11	64%	0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	7	56%	0.04	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	10	57%	0.02	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15	-0.15	-0.03	-0.12	0.01	18	50%	0.00	3	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.07	0.00	14	32%	-0.12	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.7	0.6	32.6	15.8	22.4	1.8	29.2	1.5	13.4	142.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	1.9	17.4	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOK +25.4%

NOK +27.0%

NOK +14.8%

SEA -12.9%

SEA -4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	NOK	NBA	SEA	NOK	NBA
this game	15.7	16.1	15.4	92.0	101.0	104.5
season	15.4	16.0		105.5	102.8
opponent	15.3	15.4		104.4	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SEA	16.0	14.7	16.3	15.1	17.6	15.7
NOK	16.0	13.0	16.4	20.1	15.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Wilcox	30	31	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-9	9	16.9	15.2	1.71	15.6	16.3	-0.71
Mouhamed Sene	4	3	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.07	-6	-3	-3	6.2	16.1	-9.84	9.3	16.3	-6.98
Mickael Gelabale	59	58	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-9	9	15.1	16.6	-1.58	15.6	16.8	-1.18
Mike Wilks	12	14	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.05	-6	-3	-3	15.6	15.7	-0.13	19.2	15.6	3.62
Luke Ridnour	41	39	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.01	-8	-1	-7	15.6	15.8	-0.24	14.4	17.2	-2.77
Damien Wilkins	66	64	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-4	-1	16.1	15.0	1.11	16.2	15.9	0.29
Earl Watson	79	80	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.21	-3	-6	3	15.2	17.8	-2.61	16.0	16.5	-0.56
Johan Petro	50	51	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.12	-8	-1	-7	15.7	15.7	-0.04	14.5	17.8	-3.33
Nick Collison	71	72	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.30	-4	-5	1	16.6	13.6	2.98	17.7	11.9	5.79
Rashard Lewis	88	88	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.34	-5	-4	-1	15.8	15.2	0.51	16.7	11.5	5.23

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasual Butler	70	69	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.12	18	-9	27	15.4	17.8	-2.43	15.6	16.0	-0.39
David West	94	93	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.19	12	-3	15	15.9	20.0	-4.15	15.7	15.1	0.60
Jannero Pargo	21	21	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.17	11	-2	13	13.3	16.8	-3.50	16.2	15.6	0.68
Marc Jackson	73	74	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.33	-2	11	-13	15.3	18.2	-2.86	16.1	14.7	1.36
Bobby Jackson	62	60	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.10	6	3	3	15.3	17.4	-2.17	14.6	17.3	-2.71
Devin Brown	46	48	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.24	-4	13	-17	18.4	14.2	4.20	17.1	14.4	2.66
Brandon Bass	15	15	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	8	-7	19.7	15.5	4.27	13.6	16.1	-2.47
Chris Paul	80	80	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.02	2	7	-5	16.7	13.8	2.81	15.4	17.0	-1.69
Tyson Chandler	13	14	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	8	-7	18.2	15.8	2.36	16.2	15.6	0.60
Desmond Mason	26	26	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	9	-9	16.5	16.0	0.49	16.3	15.5	0.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.85,0.46,0.68,0.79,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 91, IND 98	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.8,0.89,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.81,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.46,0.69,0.54,0.77,0.99,1	91.4%
NJN 84, CHA 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.61,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.89,0.72,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.46,0.55,0.69,0.75,0.92,1	90.6%
SAS 93, BKN 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.57,0.58,0.68,0.78,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.98,0.93,0.99,0.97,0.93,0.69,0.58,0.54,0.69,0.64,0.84,0.85,1	90.4%