NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	118		Excitement	7.5 [358]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +30.2%
New Orleans Pelicans	121		Comeback	1.2 [919]		LVP	E'Twaun Moore (NOP): -4.5%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.30	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.15	0.15	-0.00	14	66%	0.30	0	0.00	7	100%	0.05
Seth Curry	0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.17	0.10	0.08	0.01	13	64%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Yogi Ferrell	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.07	-0.00	10	68%	0.19	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Harrison Barnes	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.00	15	54%	0.15	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.05
Dorian Finney-Smith	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	0.00	4	100%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.01	-0.02	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrod Uthoff	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.J. Barea	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	7	57%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03	0.04	-0.06	0.00	8	62%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	9	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.3	0.30	0.09	0.20	-0.02	7	83%	0.32	1	-0.02	4	50%	0.03
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.12	0.13	-0.01	19	58%	0.27	1	-0.01	12	83%	0.02
Anthony Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.12	0.11	0.00	21	60%	0.25	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.07
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.13	0.09	0.00	8	83%	0.22	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.03	0.02	12	67%	0.15	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Solomon Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.07	-0.01	7	44%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tim Frazier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	2	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	7	31%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.4	29.3	14.8	28.7	1.8	30.4	133.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +31.7%

NOP +5.5%

NOP +8.9%

DAL -0.3%

NOP +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	NOP	NBA	DAL	NOP	NBA
this game	15.5	15.2	14.8	125.5	128.7	107.7
season	16.2	14.1		104.4	104.1
opponent	15.0	14.7		106.2	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.2	15.0	15.4	15.2	15.5
NOP	12.6	14.4	14.6	19.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	62	62	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.17	6	-9	15	14.8	16.8	-2.04	15.2	15.1	0.07
Dorian Finney-Smith	27	27	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.09	-3	0	-3	14.9	15.7	-0.86	16.6	14.6	1.94
Devin Harris	13	13	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.03	1	-4	5	13.8	15.7	-1.88	15.3	15.1	0.16
J.J. Barea	39	39	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-5	7	14.7	16.0	-1.37	15.9	14.6	1.33
Jarrod Uthoff	5	5	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.03	-5	2	-7	15.2	15.5	-0.28	18.6	15.0	3.62
Dwight Powell	33	31	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.05	-7	4	-11	14.6	15.9	-1.28	13.5	16.0	-2.47
Nerlens Noel	44	44	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.22	-2	-1	-1	16.5	14.5	1.98	14.8	15.5	-0.75
Seth Curry	64	65	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.29	-2	-1	-1	16.1	14.1	2.01	15.0	15.6	-0.55
Yogi Ferrell	43	45	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.41	0	-3	3	15.9	15.1	0.85	16.2	14.2	1.93
Harrison Barnes	67	67	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.50	0	-3	3	15.7	14.9	0.86	14.6	16.6	-1.94
Wesley Matthews	73	72	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.40	-5	2	-7	15.7	14.7	1.03	14.9	15.9	-0.96

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarcus Cousins	79	76	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.38	14	-11	25	15.4	13.8	1.63	15.3	16.0	-0.66
Jordan Crawford	53	52	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.35	10	-7	17	15.9	14.2	1.77	15.3	15.6	-0.32
Anthony Davis	70	71	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.38	1	2	-1	14.8	16.4	-1.62	15.7	14.7	0.97
Jrue Holiday	75	77	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.43	-1	4	-5	14.9	16.3	-1.37	15.7	14.3	1.43
Solomon Hill	70	71	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.48	-3	6	-9	14.9	16.0	-1.06	15.7	14.8	0.85
Tim Frazier	49	48	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.07	6	-3	9	15.4	14.9	0.54	15.0	15.9	-0.91
E'Twaun Moore	35	34	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.04	-3	6	-9	14.8	15.4	-0.64	15.3	15.6	-0.27
Dante Cunningham	39	41	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.06	-9	12	-21	15.4	15.0	0.37	15.3	15.6	-0.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.72,0.8,0.75,0.82,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.73,0.65,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.67,0.6,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.73,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 92, TOR 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.82,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.62,0.72,0.79,0.74,0.68,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.63,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.76,0.89,0.98,0.99,1	92.6%
ATL 102, ORL 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.48,0.67,0.53,0.53,0.71,0.9,0.93,0.96,1,1,1	92.4%
CHI 106, MIA 111	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.69,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.72,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.77,0.74,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.8,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.59,0.42,0.37,0.59,0.6,0.73,0.69,0.79,0.69,0.9,1	92.3%