NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	102		Excitement	6.4 [532]		MVP	Kyle Korver (ATL): +13.5%
Orlando Magic	109		Comeback	1.3 [757]		LVP	Mike Scott (ATL): -13.7%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.07	-0.00	5	80%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.06	0.00	3	67%	0.11	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Shelvin Mack	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.06	0.00	11	64%	0.15	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.01	4	70%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Pero Antic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.02	4	62%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gustavo Ayon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Louis Williams	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.09	-0.02	16	53%	0.03	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Paul Millsap	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	14	45%	0.02	4	-0.11	10	80%	0.00
Jeff Teague	-0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	0.05	-0.08	0.07	17	61%	-0.01	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Mike Scott	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.04	-0.10	-0.00	6	36%	-0.08	1	-0.05	2	0%	-0.07

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.01	0.00	6	92%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.00	0.08	-0.03	15	55%	0.14	3	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Arron Afflalo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.00	0.02	10	78%	0.20	3	-0.10	7	86%	0.03
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.07	0.03	7	62%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.02	0.00	11	73%	0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	7	68%	0.14	5	-0.12	8	75%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	12	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	43%	-0.01	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Andrew Nicholson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	1.7	28.2	15.6	28.2	1.6	34.3	130.9
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +33.3%

ORL +8.5%

ATL -3.9%

ORL +4.3%

ORL +7.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	ORL	NBA	ATL	ORL	NBA
this game	15.0	14.4	15.1	104.1	111.2	105.2
season	14.8	15.3		103.8	100.4
opponent	15.0	15.3		105.9	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.4	13.9	15.7	14.0	15.0
ORL	13.6	15.5	15.6	13.1	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shelvin Mack	54	52	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.25	9	-16	25	13.9	16.3	-2.47	14.1	14.7	-0.62
Pero Antic	44	44	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.24	8	-15	23	14.2	15.6	-1.41	13.5	15.2	-1.73
Dennis Schroder	27	27	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.06	-3	-4	1	15.6	14.8	0.79	14.6	14.3	0.25
Gustavo Ayon	12	11	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-3	-1	15.3	14.9	0.40	15.8	14.2	1.59
Elton Brand	26	28	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	-1	-5	17.2	14.2	3.06	14.6	14.3	0.28
Jeff Teague	70	71	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-3	-1	15.1	14.8	0.27	14.0	15.5	-1.48
Paul Millsap	74	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.26	-3	-4	1	14.6	16.0	-1.41	14.3	14.9	-0.62
Mike Scott	34	35	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.16	-7	0	-7	15.7	14.6	1.11	15.2	14.0	1.28
Louis Williams	74	72	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.29	-9	2	-11	15.1	14.7	0.41	14.7	13.5	1.18
Kyle Korver	75	76	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.19	-16	9	-25	15.0	14.8	0.20	14.7	13.5	1.17

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jameer Nelson	74	73	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.38	11	-4	15	14.8	13.2	1.53	15.3	14.0	1.26
Arron Afflalo	86	86	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.33	11	-4	15	14.3	15.5	-1.24	15.2	13.4	1.78
Glen Davis	58	58	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.02	19	-12	31	15.5	12.8	2.63	16.1	13.3	2.75
Nikola Vucevic	71	70	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.27	4	3	1	14.1	15.2	-1.12	15.3	14.1	1.27
Tobias Harris	71	71	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.18	5	2	3	14.8	13.4	1.38	15.3	14.2	1.10
Victor Oladipo	62	61	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.26	1	6	-5	13.6	15.8	-2.16	14.0	16.5	-2.51
Andrew Nicholson	16	17	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.08	-5	12	-17	14.2	14.5	-0.26	14.6	15.0	-0.40
Maurice Harkless	25	26	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.01	-4	11	-15	15.7	14.0	1.76	14.0	15.3	-1.39
E'Twaun Moore	27	28	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.04	-7	14	-21	12.1	15.3	-3.17	12.7	15.9	-3.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.48,0.67,0.53,0.53,0.71,0.9,0.93,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 88, NYK 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.82,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.95,0.98,1,1	93.8%
VAN 75, DAL 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.68,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.87,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.9,0.86,0.97,0.96,1,1	93.4%
PHI 94, ORL 105	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.75,0.78,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.68,0.74,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.97,1,1,1	93.0%