NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	75		Excitement	6.5 [300]		MVP	Hubert Davis (DAL): +8.3%
Dallas Mavericks	84		Comeback	1.3 [569]		LVP	Michael Finley (DAL): -22.1%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Smith	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.01	2	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Dehere	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	4	25%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Henderson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	5	40%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Wheat	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08	-0.02	-0.07	-0.01	6	42%	-0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rodrick Rhodes	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.00	0.02	5	46%	-0.04	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.04
Pete Chilcutt	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	7	33%	-0.06	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Mike Bibby	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.04	0.02	19	49%	-0.06	4	-0.08	7	57%	-0.05
Felipe Lopez	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.04	-0.02	9	39%	-0.03	4	-0.12	5	60%	-0.02
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	10	52%	-0.03	4	-0.15	11	91%	0.05
Tony Massenburg	-0.18	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.16	-0.04	-0.03	9	20%	-0.11	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.05

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.02	0.08	-0.02	14	41%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Gary Trent	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	14	54%	0.05	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.03
Shawn Bradley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	9	56%	0.05	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.04	-0.00	10	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	8	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Anstey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	5	53%	-0.02	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
A.C. Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.14	-0.09	-0.01	13	44%	-0.09	4	-0.13	8	37%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	24.3	15.6	27.3	2.5	44.5	138.9
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +36.7%

VAN -2.3%

VAN -10.4%

DAL +29.8%

VAN -3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	DAL	NBA	VAN	DAL	NBA
this game	15.7	15.1	15.8	79.8	90.3	99.6
season	16.4	15.9		95.7	99.7
opponent	15.6	15.1		102.3	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	13.0	18.0	14.0	18.0	15.7
DAL	15.8	13.3	17.3	14.0	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodrick Rhodes	23	22	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.09	-1	-8	7	16.6	15.4	1.17	15.6	15.0	0.62
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	74	72	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-11	13	14.7	19.4	-4.79	15.3	14.3	1.01
Terry Dehere	10	10	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.02	-1	-8	7	16.6	15.6	1.03	12.7	15.4	-2.71
Cherokee Parks	42	44	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.10	-1	-8	7	14.9	16.3	-1.40	15.9	14.4	1.50
Mike Bibby	72	70	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.18	0	-9	9	14.3	20.0	-5.70	15.3	14.7	0.56
Pete Chilcutt	29	30	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.06	-6	-3	-3	18.9	14.2	4.70	14.0	15.7	-1.70
Tony Massenburg	52	51	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.13	-4	-5	1	14.1	17.7	-3.59	15.0	15.2	-0.18
DeJuan Wheat	23	25	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.12	-7	-2	-5	20.0	14.3	5.66	13.8	15.6	-1.86
Michael Smith	65	61	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.19	-7	-2	-5	16.0	14.9	1.08	15.2	15.0	0.18
J.R. Henderson	20	21	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.15	-11	2	-13	19.4	14.7	4.79	14.3	15.3	-1.01
Felipe Lopez	60	59	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.24	-9	0	-9	15.1	16.6	-1.47	15.8	14.0	1.76

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hubert Davis	81	84	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.20	14	-5	19	15.0	15.6	-0.53	15.6	16.6	-1.03
Chris Anstey	34	33	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.27	11	-2	13	13.5	16.1	-2.60	18.1	14.4	3.71
Gary Trent	71	74	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.30	7	2	5	15.7	13.2	2.48	15.5	16.3	-0.85
Dirk Nowitzki	69	70	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.19	9	0	9	15.2	14.8	0.38	15.4	16.4	-0.93
Michael Finley	87	87	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.31	2	7	-5	15.1	14.7	0.48	15.1	23.3	-8.22
Shawn Bradley	47	50	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.01	4	5	-1	16.1	14.2	1.91	15.7	15.7	-0.00
Erick Strickland	45	44	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.05	1	8	-7	13.8	16.3	-2.47	16.3	15.1	1.16
A.C. Green	31	28	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.02	-3	12	-15	15.9	14.7	1.13	15.2	15.9	-0.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.68,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.87,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.9,0.86,0.97,0.96,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 102, ORL 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.48,0.67,0.53,0.53,0.71,0.9,0.93,0.96,1,1,1	93.4%
CLE 81, CHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.85,0.79,0.77,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.63,0.79,0.65,0.78,0.83,0.97,1,1,1	93.2%
CHI 97, NJN 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.76,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.75,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.81,0.93,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1	92.9%