NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	92		Excitement	7.9 [261]		MVP	Byron Scott (LAL): +19.0%
Toronto Raptors	93		Comeback	1.2 [947]		LVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): -47.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Byron Scott	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.19	0.04	0.15	0.00	8	62%	0.22	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.01	12	52%	0.02	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Sean Rooks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.00	8	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Corie Blount	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.00	-0.05	-0.02	16	60%	0.06	3	-0.09	10	60%	-0.03
Derek Fisher	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Ceballos	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	-0.43	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.29,-0.33,-0.39,-0.42,-0.42,-0.43,-0.43	-0.28	-0.18	-0.03	14	10%	-0.32	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.47	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.47	0.00	-0.42	0.05	18	58%	-0.39	3	-0.08	7	43%	-0.10

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.00	4	87%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donald Whiteside	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Benoit Benjamin	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zan Tabak	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.04	0.01	17	62%	0.16	7	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	10	55%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Popeye Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Sharone Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	6	21%	-0.07	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Walt Williams	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.08,-0.07,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	17	51%	0.11	6	-0.23	5	60%	-0.03
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.16	-0.16	-0.01	-0.17	-0.02	7	65%	-0.12	2	-0.04	9	67%	-0.19

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.8	27.7	16.7	24.6	2.5	32.3	129.1
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +90.9%

LAL -16.4%

LAL -16.8%

LAL -17.1%

TOR +9.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	TOR	NBA	LAL	TOR	NBA
this game	15.5	15.1	15.6	96.8	100.0	104.4
season	15.3	16.1		105.8	102.2
opponent	15.0	15.7		105.6	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.6	12.7	15.5	18.0	15.5
TOR	14.0	14.5	15.2	17.1	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elden Campbell	79	75	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-1	1	14.9	18.7	-3.80	15.4	13.9	1.44
Derek Fisher	16	16	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	0	-1	16.1	15.4	0.72	13.7	15.4	-1.64
Sean Rooks	8	9	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	1	-3	16.5	15.4	1.06	12.6	15.4	-2.83
Corie Blount	21	22	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-1	1	17.7	14.9	2.81	15.1	15.1	-0.02
Cedric Ceballos	55	55	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	2	-5	16.6	14.0	2.59	14.5	16.0	-1.46
Byron Scott	32	33	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.43	4	-5	9	16.3	15.1	1.23	16.0	14.6	1.38
Kobe Bryant	36	35	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.43	2	-3	5	13.7	16.6	-2.95	15.5	14.9	0.56
Eddie Jones	84	80	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.44	1	-2	3	15.8	13.3	2.55	15.2	14.2	1.02
Shaquille O'Neal	74	71	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.41	-1	0	-1	14.9	17.7	-2.81	15.1	15.1	0.02
Nick Van Exel	70	69	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.50	-5	4	-9	15.4	16.0	-0.64	15.2	15.0	0.20

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Stoudamire	78	81	0.61	-0.12	0.73	0.47	5	-4	9	15.4	13.4	2.04	15.6	15.0	0.62
Walt Williams	75	78	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.26	9	-8	17	15.4	13.8	1.65	15.8	14.1	1.79
Carlos Rogers	42	42	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.45	-5	6	-11	15.2	15.0	0.15	17.0	14.4	2.60
Marcus Camby	52	55	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.37	-3	4	-7	16.1	13.9	2.24	15.3	15.9	-0.60
Popeye Jones	38	39	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.16	4	-3	7	14.3	15.6	-1.29	13.7	16.8	-3.11
Hubert Davis	37	37	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.46	-7	8	-15	15.3	15.0	0.32	16.9	14.7	2.19
Doug Christie	68	68	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.20	-2	3	-5	15.0	15.3	-0.24	14.4	18.3	-3.87
Zan Tabak	13	13	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	-3	7	12.8	15.5	-2.63	17.2	15.3	1.97
Sharone Wright	11	10	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	0	1	13.0	15.4	-2.39	15.2	15.6	-0.36
Benoit Benjamin	43	44	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	1	-1	14.9	15.3	-0.33	15.5	15.5	0.04
Donald Whiteside	8	8	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.02	-1	2	-3	12.9	15.3	-2.44	15.2	15.6	-0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.82,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.62,0.72,0.79,0.74,0.68,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.63,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.76,0.89,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 109, DET 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.62,0.72,0.79,0.76,0.63,0.59,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.95,0.95,1,1	93.8%
DEN 111, MIL 116	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.74,0.77,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.85,0.87,0.76,0.83,0.75,0.78,0.9,0.98,1	93.6%
MIA 80, IND 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.52,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.67,0.74,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.95,0.95,0.98,1	93.5%