NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	82		Excitement	5.4 [735]		MVP	DeMarcus Cousins (NOP): +33.1%
New Orleans Pelicans	95		Comeback	3.4 [474]		LVP	Zach Randolph (MEM): -20.8%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandan Wright	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	87%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
JaMychal Green	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.11	-0.00	0.05	6	80%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Troy Daniels	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.01	8	75%	0.07	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	-0.01	-0.03	14	53%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
James Ennis III	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	0.00	4	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Selden	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	9	22%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Harrison	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	5	67%	0.07	5	-0.16	5	60%	-0.03
Marc Gasol	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	13	37%	-0.03	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.16	-0.05	-0.01	11	18%	-0.12	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.26	0.08	0.00	27	65%	0.37	2	-0.04	9	89%	0.02
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	18	50%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	5	83%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Quinn Cook	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.04	-0.02	17	32%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	7	50%	0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	7	28%	-0.07	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.5	28.4	15.4	26.3	0.6	25.5	120.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +15.9%

NOP +3.8%

NOP +18.3%

NOP +9.4%

NOP +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	NOP	NBA	MEM	NOP	NBA
this game	16.2	14.3	14.8	87.2	100.0	107.7
season	16.1	14.1		106.4	104.1
opponent	15.0	14.9		106.2	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.6	18.0	16.6	13.5	16.2
NOP	12.2	14.0	14.7	16.5	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandan Wright	40	39	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-15	17	15.7	16.5	-0.76	14.7	14.0	0.71
Troy Daniels	48	48	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.21	8	-21	29	15.2	17.2	-2.03	15.5	13.1	2.37
James Ennis III	32	31	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.07	0	-13	13	15.3	16.6	-1.24	13.6	14.7	-1.11
Mike Conley	63	62	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.16	0	-13	13	15.7	17.2	-1.54	14.9	13.3	1.52
JaMychal Green	35	37	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-5	-3	15.4	16.6	-1.26	15.8	13.4	2.39
Wayne Selden	30	31	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.08	-12	-1	-11	16.4	16.0	0.35	14.8	14.1	0.66
Andrew Harrison	45	48	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	-3	-7	16.9	15.5	1.44	13.1	15.6	-2.43
Zach Randolph	39	39	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-7	-6	-1	17.8	15.0	2.75	12.4	15.7	-3.29
Marc Gasol	72	73	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.12	-11	-2	-9	16.0	16.5	-0.50	14.4	14.1	0.31
Vince Carter	66	67	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	0.04	-27	14	-41	17.0	14.2	2.82	14.0	15.1	-1.11

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	78	77	0.88	-0.38	1.27	0.06	28	-15	43	14.3	14.4	-0.10	17.0	12.2	4.79
Anthony Davis	79	80	0.70	-0.20	0.90	-0.00	24	-11	35	14.4	14.2	0.17	16.1	16.2	-0.06
DeMarcus Cousins	71	72	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.05	22	-9	31	14.5	14.0	0.49	16.5	15.1	1.40
Solomon Hill	66	66	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.01	15	-2	17	15.1	12.6	2.46	15.6	17.4	-1.81
Jordan Crawford	31	30	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.00	5	8	-3	14.8	14.1	0.71	15.9	16.3	-0.43
Tim Frazier	59	58	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	14	-15	13.5	15.7	-2.29	15.9	16.5	-0.55
Quinn Cook	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	13	-13	16.0	14.3	1.69	8.0	16.2	-8.25
E'Twaun Moore	50	50	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.18	-8	21	-29	14.1	14.6	-0.56	16.1	16.2	-0.08
Donatas Motiejunas	10	9	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	17	-21	13.3	14.4	-1.15	17.3	16.0	1.30
Alexis Ajinca	30	27	-0.31	0.81	-1.11	0.16	-16	29	-45	14.3	14.3	-0.04	14.9	16.7	-1.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.31,0.25,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.36,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.8,0.76,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.91,0.99,0.99,0.93,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 81, PHI 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.21,0.22,0.33,0.26,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.65,0.75,0.82,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.82,0.9,0.76,0.77,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,1,1	93.6%
BOS 79, TOR 84	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.52,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.96,1	93.2%
CHI 94, SAS 103	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.32,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.78,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.96,0.94,0.89,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1	93.0%