inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 79 Excitement5.2 [614] MVPDeMar DeRozan (TOR): +25.3%
Toronto Raptors 84 Comeback3.8 [79] LVPKevin Garnett (BOS): -7.5%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul Pierce0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.110.040.120.051555%0.162-0.053100%0.03
Keyon Dooling0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.01-0.02350%0.0400.002100%0.01
Ryan Hollins0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00175%0.031-0.02250%-0.01
Marquis Daniels-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Greg Stiemsma-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.00-0.010.01256%0.001-0.02560%-0.03
Mickael Pietrus-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.070.00-0.03721%-0.031-0.0100%0.00
Rajon Rondo-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.040.02-0.020.05750%-0.0400.002100%0.00
Avery Bradley-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.040.01-0.030.021450%-0.011-0.03250%-0.01
Sasha Pavlovic-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.0130%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Brandon Bass-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.04-0.011145%0.002-0.0700%0.00
Kevin Garnett-0.070,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07-0.070.010.021637%-0.051-0.023100%0.01

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.250.250.030.22-0.011454%0.282-0.0313100%0.17
Linas Kleiza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.090.090.060.02-0.011065%0.102-0.016100%0.02
Amir Johnson0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.010.01856%0.041-0.022100%0.01
Alan Anderson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.01-0.011146%0.031-0.01475%-0.01
Ben Uzoh0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.01-0.03944%0.041-0.0300%0.00
Justin Dentmon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01540%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Gary Forbes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.01125%-0.011-0.02250%-0.01
Aaron Gray0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.00540%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Ed Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.070.00-0.01633%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
James Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.00320%-0.051-0.02450%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.31.731.516.024.62.045.5145.5
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +14.1%
TOR +23.0%
TOR +13.5%
BOS -2.6%
TOR +2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSTORNBABOSTORNBA
this game14.618.315.690.895.5102.8
season15.516.599.498.9
opponent15.216.2102.997.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS13.016.617.911.814.6
TOR19.719.419.115.818.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ryan Hollins990.11-0.610.71-0.014-91314.614.6-0.0519.418.21.28
Mickael Pietrus46470.02-0.520.54-0.4516-213712.217.3-5.0517.719.0-1.27
Greg Stiemsma3029-0.01-0.490.47-0.134-91314.614.6-0.0518.818.10.74
Sasha Pavlovic1818-0.03-0.470.43-0.030-5516.914.02.9618.318.30.05
Keyon Dooling1615-0.04-0.460.410.01-2-3114.714.60.1114.519.1-4.54
Marquis Daniels99-0.07-0.430.370.05-4-1-319.014.14.9120.818.02.77
Avery Bradley6667-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.28-1-4314.215.9-1.6618.617.31.26
Rajon Rondo6769-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.36-4-1-314.016.6-2.6018.517.70.78
Paul Pierce6163-0.540.04-0.59-0.28-94-1314.415.0-0.5218.218.5-0.26
Brandon Bass5554-0.560.06-0.62-0.00-1914-3316.311.64.7519.116.92.21
Kevin Garnett5860-0.570.07-0.64-0.28-105-1514.714.30.3817.719.6-1.92

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Amir Johnson75730.56-0.070.630.367-2918.318.20.0813.918.4-4.48
DeMar DeRozan63630.480.020.470.229-41318.318.3-0.0314.714.50.19
Ben Uzoh59590.450.050.410.1610-51518.218.6-0.4315.013.71.30
Alan Anderson59560.430.070.360.3141317.619.8-2.1814.315.1-0.78
Aaron Gray30290.350.150.200.099-41319.417.71.7317.413.24.28
Linas Kleiza54540.200.30-0.100.26-27-917.619.5-1.9213.815.9-2.11
Ed Davis52520.120.38-0.270.17-27-918.917.41.5314.714.50.19
Justin Dentmon29280.050.45-0.410.19-510-1518.618.20.4313.715.0-1.30
James Johnson1011-0.050.55-0.60-0.02-16-718.818.20.5717.714.13.58
Gary Forbes910-0.100.60-0.690.02-49-1319.418.21.2813.314.8-1.47


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.52,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.96,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 91, TOR 980.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.54,0.65,0.65,0.75,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,194.8%
SAC 94, MIN 1140.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.75,0.73,0.86,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.95,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.6%
SAC 93, DAL 1120.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.6%