NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	94		Excitement	5.0 [845]		MVP	Matt Bonner (SAS): +10.0%
San Antonio Spurs	103		Comeback	7.0 [506]		LVP	Taj Gibson (CHI): -16.7%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronnie Brewer	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	-0.01	-0.02	7	71%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	0.07	-0.01	0.06	27	60%	0.08	4	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	0.04	-0.01	0.03	9	56%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Luol Deng	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.02	0.02	17	46%	-0.02	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
CJ Watson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	6	43%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Joakim Noah	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	10	42%	-0.03	1	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06
Taj Gibson	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.15	-0.02	-0.01	7	0%	-0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	-0.00	5	80%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	12	67%	0.14	3	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	8	67%	0.06	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.02	14	62%	0.09	3	-0.06	6	50%	-0.03
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.01	0.03	10	48%	0.01	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Chris Quinn	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	7	29%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.01	19	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	3.7	33.1	16.0	28.3	3.5	39.2	148.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +37.8%

SAS +7.1%

SAS +8.0%

CHI -4.8%

SAS +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	SAS	NBA	CHI	SAS	NBA
this game	14.7	15.3	15.5	97.9	107.3	105.7
season	15.7	15.5		106.5	109.3
opponent	15.2	15.9		103.6	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.1	14.8	17.0	12.0	14.7
SAS	14.9	15.2	14.3	16.8	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Omer Asik	31	31	0.22	-0.72	0.93	-0.17	13	-22	35	12.2	15.8	-3.65	15.3	15.3	-0.02
CJ Watson	39	39	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.23	15	-24	39	12.4	16.2	-3.84	16.4	14.6	1.73
Brian Scalabrine	19	19	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.20	6	-15	21	12.1	15.3	-3.26	17.7	14.8	2.93
Kyle Korver	56	57	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.17	2	-11	13	13.7	16.1	-2.41	15.4	15.3	0.09
Ronnie Brewer	51	50	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-6	3	14.4	14.9	-0.50	14.8	16.0	-1.20
Taj Gibson	31	31	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.03	-9	0	-9	16.4	13.9	2.49	15.0	15.5	-0.44
Keith Bogans	31	30	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	2	-13	17.0	13.6	3.45	14.3	15.8	-1.50
Luol Deng	83	83	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.07	-17	8	-25	15.1	11.9	3.17	15.1	17.1	-2.02
Joakim Noah	65	65	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.07	-22	13	-35	15.8	12.2	3.65	15.3	15.3	0.02
Derrick Rose	74	75	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.18	-19	10	-29	15.3	12.5	2.75	15.4	15.1	0.30

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Bonner	41	41	0.74	-0.24	0.98	-0.11	29	-20	49	14.7	15.8	-1.09	17.0	13.0	3.99
Tim Duncan	67	67	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.15	15	-6	21	15.3	15.4	-0.12	15.4	12.9	2.49
Richard Jefferson	68	70	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.21	8	1	7	15.1	16.0	-0.89	14.8	14.2	0.65
Manu Ginobili	69	72	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	-3	15	15.0	16.3	-1.29	14.8	14.3	0.50
Tony Parker	71	70	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.26	1	8	-7	15.5	14.9	0.61	15.1	13.6	1.44
George Hill	70	69	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.26	-4	13	-17	15.7	14.5	1.20	13.8	16.8	-2.94
Gary Neal	34	33	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	11	-13	15.4	15.3	0.08	12.6	15.7	-3.14
Chris Quinn	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	9	-9	18.0	15.3	2.69	4.0	14.8	-10.78
Danny Green	2	1	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	11	-13	9.0	15.5	-6.47	4.0	14.8	-10.78
Antonio McDyess	36	35	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.18	-7	16	-23	16.4	14.7	1.69	13.0	15.6	-2.58
DeJuan Blair	21	21	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.05	-5	14	-19	15.7	15.2	0.43	15.2	14.5	0.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.32,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.78,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.96,0.94,0.89,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 110, OKC 128	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.36,0.52,0.58,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%
CLE 91, TOR 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.54,0.65,0.65,0.75,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.5%
MEM 82, NOP 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.31,0.25,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.36,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.8,0.76,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.91,0.99,0.99,0.93,1,1,1	93.0%