NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	81		Excitement	5.6 [703]		MVP	Hollis Thompson (PHI): +17.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	89		Comeback	5.9 [140]		LVP	Tim Frazier (PHI): -19.3%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09	0.05	0.00	-0.03	7	72%	0.13	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Jeff Taylor	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	86%	0.09	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	56%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	56%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Gerald Henderson	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	17	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Al Jefferson	-0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.04	0.04	17	53%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	4	42%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Lance Stephenson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	11	27%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	12	24%	-0.12	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Gary Neal	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.01	-0.00	6	0%	-0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.04	0.01	9	82%	0.18	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Robert Covington	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.07	-0.01	15	63%	0.23	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	9	60%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Henry Sims	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	7	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
KJ McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	57%	0.05	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	13	42%	0.02	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
JaKarr Sampson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	5	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Tim Frazier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.19	-0.03	-0.03	7	0%	-0.10	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.4	28.7	16.3	30.6	2.4	25.5	133.2
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +51.7%

CHA -2.9%

PHI +10.4%

CHA -8.6%

CHA -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	PHI	NBA	CHA	PHI	NBA
this game	15.4	14.4	15.1	83.5	92.7	104.2
season	15.6	14.9		98.9	94.3
opponent	14.8	15.1		103.4	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.7	13.5	17.0	14.5	15.4
PHI	12.6	13.1	14.3	18.2	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	29	28	0.29	-0.79	1.07	-0.04	11	-19	30	16.1	15.1	0.97	13.7	14.7	-0.99
Marvin Williams	68	67	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.39	12	-20	32	14.3	18.0	-3.77	15.8	11.3	4.55
Jeff Taylor	16	14	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.09	1	-9	10	13.6	15.7	-2.12	16.7	14.1	2.65
Jason Maxiell	24	25	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.05	-6	-2	-4	13.9	15.9	-2.02	13.0	15.0	-2.01
Lance Stephenson	69	68	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.22	0	-8	8	14.2	18.4	-4.22	14.8	13.7	1.09
Al Jefferson	58	58	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.24	-3	-5	2	16.6	13.6	2.93	14.6	14.3	0.26
Gary Neal	38	38	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.01	-12	4	-16	15.3	15.5	-0.17	13.3	15.2	-1.92
Gerald Henderson	73	73	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.28	-7	-1	-6	15.9	13.8	2.07	14.9	12.9	2.02
Cody Zeller	44	42	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.05	-19	11	-30	16.4	14.5	1.86	13.0	15.6	-2.57
Brian Roberts	66	67	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.16	-17	9	-26	16.3	13.5	2.80	14.1	15.3	-1.24

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Frazier	72	72	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.19	15	-7	22	14.3	14.8	-0.46	16.3	12.8	3.49
Luc Mbah a Moute	63	65	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.17	12	-4	16	14.6	14.2	0.45	16.5	13.2	3.24
Robert Covington	62	63	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.28	4	4	0	15.2	13.0	2.24	16.5	13.4	3.09
Nerlens Noel	67	68	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.11	9	-1	10	14.2	15.0	-0.74	16.3	13.2	3.07
Hollis Thompson	69	68	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.28	0	8	-8	14.9	13.2	1.76	14.3	17.9	-3.52
KJ McDaniels	37	38	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.04	5	3	2	14.1	14.7	-0.64	13.9	16.4	-2.50
Henry Sims	29	29	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.15	-1	9	-10	15.0	14.2	0.74	13.2	16.3	-3.07
JaKarr Sampson	46	48	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	5	-2	13.2	15.6	-2.36	15.2	15.6	-0.40
Jerami Grant	35	34	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.12	-7	15	-22	14.1	14.7	-0.61	13.5	16.4	-2.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.21,0.22,0.33,0.26,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.65,0.75,0.82,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.82,0.9,0.76,0.77,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 82, NOP 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.31,0.25,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.36,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.8,0.76,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.91,0.99,0.99,0.93,1,1,1	93.6%
CHI 94, SAS 103	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.32,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.78,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.96,0.94,0.89,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1	93.0%
CLE 89, BOS 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.2,0.22,0.28,0.33,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.77,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1	92.8%