NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	108		Excitement	11.9 [26]		MVP	Robert Covington (PHI): +55.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	114		Comeback	2.0 [761]		LVP	Al-Farouq Aminu (POR): -45.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Covington	0.56	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.16,0.06,0.06,0.53,0.46,0.4,0.56,0.56,0.56	0.06	0.46	-0.03	21	57%	0.60	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dario Saric	0.28	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.28,0.28	0.13	0.14	-0.02	16	80%	0.62	5	-0.33	3	67%	0.12
Richaun Holmes	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	6	71%	0.10	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Jahlil Okafor	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.01	14	53%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Henderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	0.04	-0.04	0.01	10	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.02
Justin Anderson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	9	40%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Nik Stauskas	-0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.21,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.13	-0.15	-0.01	6	19%	-0.11	3	-0.16	4	75%	-0.00
T.J. McConnell	-0.39	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.24,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39	-0.12	-0.26	-0.00	8	0%	-0.39	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.04	0.00	12	75%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.10	0.00	18	57%	0.26	3	-0.10	13	77%	-0.10
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,0,0.09	0.09	-0.04	0.12	-0.01	21	44%	0.18	3	-0.09	12	100%	0.16
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.09	0.11	-0.01	0.01	16	64%	0.16	1	-0.07	4	100%	0.09
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	3	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.03	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.02
Shabazz Napier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.05	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.27,-0.35,-0.46,-0.46,-0.46,-0.46,-0.46,-0.46	-0.46	-0.16	-0.30	-0.00	7	14%	-0.16	4	-0.29	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	31.7	14.8	24.4	2.5	35.8	2.5	18.1	155.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.9	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI -48.8%

POR +44.5%

POR +53.0%

PHI -2.2%

POR +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	POR	NBA	PHI	POR	NBA
this game	15.0	14.4	14.8	100.9	104.6	107.7
season	14.5	14.9		101.9	108.6
opponent	14.5	14.4		109.8	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHI	17.2	13.6	13.3	16.9	13.9	15.0
POR	14.8	15.2	13.9	13.8	14.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	34	35	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.13	12	-18	30	15.7	14.7	0.99	16.6	13.4	3.13
Sergio Rodriguez	39	40	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.11	6	-12	18	15.8	14.5	1.33	16.6	13.2	3.40
Nik Stauskas	50	53	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.12	-2	-4	2	16.2	14.0	2.22	14.0	14.9	-0.87
Justin Anderson	17	16	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	-3	0	13.8	15.2	-1.40	16.1	14.2	1.89
Richaun Holmes	49	44	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	-2	-2	14.0	15.8	-1.81	14.7	14.3	0.39
Gerald Henderson	60	61	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.23	0	-6	6	13.8	16.5	-2.62	14.2	14.7	-0.46
Jahlil Okafor	53	59	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.31	-3	-3	0	16.6	13.4	3.22	14.3	14.6	-0.28
Robert Covington	82	84	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.22	-10	4	-14	14.8	15.6	-0.78	13.9	16.2	-2.22
Dario Saric	83	86	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.32	-10	4	-14	14.8	15.7	-0.86	13.9	16.5	-2.63
T.J. McConnell	68	67	-0.90	0.40	-1.30	-0.43	-16	10	-26	14.5	15.8	-1.33	13.5	15.9	-2.41

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ McCollum	89	85	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.41	8	-2	10	14.1	15.8	-1.65	14.9	15.2	-0.29
Maurice Harkless	85	81	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.39	5	1	4	13.8	16.9	-3.11	15.0	15.1	-0.15
Jusuf Nurkic	81	79	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.25	9	-3	12	13.7	16.7	-3.05	14.8	15.6	-0.82
Damian Lillard	86	85	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.20	10	-4	14	13.7	17.3	-3.56	14.8	16.0	-1.20
Al-Farouq Aminu	76	76	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.33	1	5	-4	14.6	14.0	0.64	15.0	15.1	-0.09
Noah Vonleh	26	26	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.03	2	4	-2	13.3	14.8	-1.55	14.8	15.0	-0.20
Shabazz Napier	30	30	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.05	-1	7	-8	16.7	13.6	3.06	15.8	14.7	1.07
Meyers Leonard	28	28	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.07	-3	9	-12	16.7	13.7	3.05	15.6	14.8	0.82
Allen Crabbe	44	45	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.12	-1	7	-8	16.7	12.9	3.78	15.3	14.8	0.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.55,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.58,0.5,0.47,0.72,0.57,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 107, NYK 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.6,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.5,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.65,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.77,0.98,1	89.9%
MIA 118, LAL 124	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.61,0.6,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.43,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.79,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.74,0.64,0.76,0.87,0.86,0.96,0.78,0.58,0.46,0.45,0.63,0.77,0.83,1	89.9%
IND 110, MIN 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.67,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.76,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.73,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.59,0.54,0.68,0.55,0.43,0.58,1	89.5%