NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	112		Excitement	7.6 [351]		MVP	Damian Lillard (POR): +40.9%
Orlando Magic	103		Comeback	11.3 [145]		LVP	Elfrid Payton (ORL): -16.7%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0.41	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.17,0.12,0.24,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.41	0.17	0.23	-0.02	23	63%	0.48	2	-0.07	6	83%	-0.01
Maurice Harkless	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.21,0.21	0.04	0.17	-0.00	8	60%	0.23	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Meyers Leonard	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Shabazz Napier	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	9	56%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jake Layman	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allen Crabbe	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	3	87%	0.06	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Ed Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	3	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.03
Jusuf Nurkic	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	12	50%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.04	0.02	17	54%	0.05	5	-0.15	7	100%	0.03

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mario Hezonja	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.01	0.00	5	100%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	3	57%	0.08	0	0.00	8	75%	0.01
Evan Fournier	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	17	48%	0.08	2	-0.04	8	62%	-0.05
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.06,-0.05,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	20	50%	0.08	3	-0.07	10	80%	-0.00
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	0.00	-0.06	0.02	-0.04	17	35%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	0.00	7	44%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	9	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	8	45%	-0.03	4	-0.14	4	25%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.4	31.4	15.4	27.5	2.3	33.6	140.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +61.5%

ORL -4.2%

POR +4.3%

ORL -10.9%

ORL -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	ORL	NBA	POR	ORL	NBA
this game	14.4	14.2	14.8	109.8	103.0	107.7
season	14.9	14.6		108.6	103.0
opponent	14.9	14.5		109.8	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.6	14.5	14.9	13.6	14.4
ORL	16.7	13.2	13.3	13.6	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damian Lillard	69	66	0.98	-0.48	1.46	0.22	26	-17	43	14.1	14.8	-0.64	15.1	12.3	2.87
Jusuf Nurkic	74	72	0.94	-0.44	1.38	0.27	23	-14	37	14.1	15.0	-0.94	14.5	13.4	1.12
Maurice Harkless	80	78	0.86	-0.36	1.21	0.24	21	-12	33	14.3	14.6	-0.36	14.5	12.9	1.60
Shabazz Napier	57	56	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.19	20	-11	31	14.1	14.7	-0.68	13.4	15.1	-1.66
CJ McCollum	81	80	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.35	-4	13	-17	14.8	12.7	2.06	13.4	17.0	-3.55
Noah Vonleh	33	34	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	10	-11	15.2	14.0	1.18	14.4	14.0	0.34
Jake Layman	12	12	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.10	-11	20	-31	14.8	14.3	0.54	13.6	14.2	-0.66
Allen Crabbe	52	52	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.17	-3	12	-15	13.7	15.1	-1.39	14.6	13.7	0.91
Meyers Leonard	24	23	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	-0.02	-10	19	-29	14.6	14.3	0.36	13.1	14.5	-1.39
Ed Davis	28	27	-0.44	0.94	-1.39	0.02	-16	25	-41	15.0	14.1	0.94	13.6	14.4	-0.78

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bismack Biyombo	35	35	0.28	-0.78	1.07	-0.01	10	-19	29	13.6	14.5	-0.86	13.3	14.9	-1.58
Jeff Green	41	41	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.07	5	-14	19	13.6	14.5	-0.93	13.6	14.9	-1.24
Mario Hezonja	52	55	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.08	8	-17	25	13.8	14.5	-0.73	13.6	15.3	-1.67
D.J. Augustin	54	56	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.00	2	-11	13	13.6	14.8	-1.15	13.7	15.1	-1.34
Terrence Ross	71	71	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.08	-16	7	-23	14.4	13.6	0.76	14.3	14.5	-0.23
Elfrid Payton	46	46	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.24	-11	2	-13	14.8	13.6	1.15	15.1	13.7	1.34
Evan Fournier	77	79	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.26	-12	3	-15	14.2	14.0	0.15	14.8	12.8	1.97
Aaron Gordon	60	60	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.30	-14	5	-19	14.4	13.8	0.64	15.1	13.3	1.73
Nikola Vucevic	64	67	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.28	-17	8	-25	14.6	13.4	1.16	14.9	13.3	1.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.8,0.68,0.62,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.46,0.19,0.12,0.15,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 99, DAL 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.72,0.73,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.78,0.72,0.7,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.39,0.38,0.28,0.24,0.15,0	91.0%
DAL 121, GSW 116	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.73,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.76,0.86,0.87,0.8,0.84,0.74,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.81,0.78,0.47,0.46,0.31,0.15,0.06,0.01,0	90.8%
UTA 94, SAC 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.83,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.66,0.75,0.83,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.53,0.39,0.28,0.17,0.05,0	90.5%