NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	94		Excitement	6.9 [408]		MVP	John Stockton (UTA): +32.2%
Sacramento Kings	90		Comeback	5.6 [243]		LVP	John Starks (UTA): -25.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Stockton	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.14	0.20	0.02	12	83%	0.34	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.06	0.01	17	70%	0.20	2	-0.03	10	100%	0.05
Karl Malone	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	18	53%	0.07	2	-0.06	9	89%	0.05
Scott Padgett	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Crotty	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	7	31%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Danny Manning	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.25	-0.15	-0.10	0.01	9	27%	-0.10	3	-0.16	4	100%	0.04

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	7	44%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	9	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	87%	0.07	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	9	62%	0.01	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.07	0.00	12	56%	-0.00	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Doug Christie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.15	-0.02	-0.02	8	30%	-0.08	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.04
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.13	-0.06	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.21	-0.21	0.01	-0.20	0.03	23	50%	-0.21	0	0.00	8	87%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.8	32.2	21.3	25.6	3.7	39.2	148.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +41.7%

UTA +5.7%

UTA +13.9%

SAC -8.9%

SAC -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SAC	NBA	UTA	SAC	NBA
this game	16.9	16.4	15.5	108.0	104.7	100.9
season	16.0	14.4		105.3	103.1
opponent	15.5	15.5		97.8	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.1	20.0	15.5	15.3	16.9
SAC	16.4	13.7	15.8	19.9	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Stockton	58	57	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.48	7	-3	10	16.8	17.2	-0.48	16.4	16.3	0.09
Bryon Russell	63	62	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.40	9	-5	14	17.0	16.7	0.29	16.6	15.7	0.86
John Starks	60	58	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.41	8	-4	12	16.2	18.5	-2.32	16.0	17.1	-1.04
Karl Malone	70	71	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.40	8	-4	12	16.5	18.7	-2.22	15.9	18.7	-2.86
Donyell Marshall	75	73	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.35	9	-5	14	15.9	23.1	-7.15	16.3	16.5	-0.20
Scott Padgett	1	2	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	4	-4	24.0	16.8	7.16	5.0	16.6	-11.64
Olden Polynice	14	13	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	7	-10	17.2	16.9	0.35	15.5	16.5	-0.98
Greg Ostertag	15	14	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.02	-3	7	-10	20.3	16.2	4.12	18.3	16.0	2.29
John Crotty	27	28	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.03	-4	8	-12	18.5	16.2	2.32	17.1	16.0	1.04
Jacque Vaughn	29	29	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.10	-3	7	-10	17.2	16.8	0.48	16.3	16.4	-0.09
Danny Manning	23	23	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.04	-8	12	-20	18.5	16.3	2.18	17.7	15.9	1.75

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hedo Turkoglu	29	30	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.00	1	-5	6	17.0	16.1	0.90	18.7	16.0	2.72
Lawrence Funderburke	21	20	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.16	3	-7	10	19.2	15.5	3.73	18.4	16.5	1.99
Scot Pollard	36	37	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-3	2	16.1	16.5	-0.40	18.0	16.1	1.88
Vlade Divac	61	61	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.17	-8	4	-12	15.5	18.4	-2.86	16.8	17.1	-0.28
Jason Williams	68	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.32	-3	-1	-2	15.5	19.6	-4.03	16.5	18.5	-2.00
Doug Christie	71	72	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.38	-1	-3	2	16.9	13.9	2.95	16.2	20.2	-3.96
Bobby Jackson	73	73	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.35	-3	-1	-2	16.7	14.4	2.34	16.9	16.8	0.16
Peja Stojakovic	71	72	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.40	-8	4	-12	16.1	17.9	-1.81	16.3	19.9	-3.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.83,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.66,0.75,0.83,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.53,0.39,0.28,0.17,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 95, ORL 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.64,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.62,0.52,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.7,0.61,0.47,0.16,0,0,0	92.7%
LAL 117, SAC 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.79,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.63,0.55,0.6,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.8,0.86,0.72,0.74,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.47,0.16,0.09,0.05,0	92.6%
PHX 91, SEA 88	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.71,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.77,0.71,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.67,0.38,0.15,0.14,0.09,0	92.3%