NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	94		Excitement	8.1 [240]		MVP	John Henson (MIL): +29.7%
Milwaukee Bucks	98		Comeback	3.2 [460]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -33.9%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Semaj Christon	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.06	0.10	-0.00	6	79%	0.18	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.06
Victor Oladipo	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.01	12	75%	0.14	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.17	-0.05	0.02	11	83%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alex Abrines	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	40%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Joffrey Lauvergne	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Roberson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.34	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.07,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.34	-0.08	-0.25	0.01	28	45%	-0.09	5	-0.25	11	91%	0.06

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Henson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.3	0.30	0.10	0.20	0.01	7	86%	0.30	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.07	-0.01	7	60%	0.14	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.07	0.01	10	62%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.05
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.04	0.01	19	54%	0.06	1	-0.04	10	50%	-0.07
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Parker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	17	50%	0.09	4	-0.19	4	75%	0.01
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-0.12	0.01	12	41%	-0.01	2	-0.16	5	100%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	29.6	14.8	28.5	2.4	34.5	135.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +34.4%

MIL +5.2%

MIL +12.2%

OKC -6.9%

MIL +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	MIL	NBA	OKC	MIL	NBA
this game	14.8	16.7	14.8	101.1	108.9	107.7
season	14.0	14.9		107.0	107.4
opponent	15.3	15.1		107.8	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	15.3	17.1	14.0	13.2	14.8
MIL	19.0	16.3	14.8	17.0	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Domantas Sabonis	49	49	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.39	11	-15	26	13.7	16.1	-2.44	18.4	14.7	3.75
Andre Roberson	35	35	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.04	-1	-3	2	14.4	15.1	-0.65	18.9	15.3	3.67
Steven Adams	64	64	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.34	7	-11	18	14.3	15.9	-1.58	17.3	15.2	2.12
Russell Westbrook	69	68	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.32	3	-7	10	14.0	17.0	-2.96	17.2	15.0	2.25
Semaj Christon	24	22	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.07	-7	3	-10	17.0	14.0	2.96	15.0	17.2	-2.25
Victor Oladipo	65	62	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.44	5	-9	14	14.2	16.1	-1.91	18.2	13.5	4.70
Jerami Grant	58	54	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.16	-5	1	-6	14.8	14.8	-0.04	15.6	18.4	-2.86
Joffrey Lauvergne	28	26	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.06	-9	5	-14	16.2	14.2	1.96	15.2	17.3	-2.12
Enes Kanter	43	41	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	9	-22	16.3	13.5	2.74	14.7	18.4	-3.75
Alex Abrines	30	29	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.08	-11	7	-18	16.1	14.2	1.91	13.0	18.5	-5.46

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Giannis Antetokounmpo	76	79	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.41	8	-4	12	17.0	15.1	1.93	15.1	13.1	1.96
Jabari Parker	76	78	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.35	1	3	-2	17.1	14.7	2.35	14.7	15.2	-0.47
John Henson	46	49	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.43	-3	7	-10	18.7	14.6	4.13	14.8	14.8	-0.02
Tony Snell	56	59	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.38	-2	6	-8	17.6	15.2	2.45	14.0	16.2	-2.25
Jason Terry	31	30	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.01	10	-6	16	14.2	18.0	-3.77	16.8	13.9	2.89
Malcolm Brogdon	61	63	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.36	-5	9	-14	17.6	14.8	2.86	13.8	16.8	-2.99
Greg Monroe	54	54	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.06	8	-4	12	15.3	18.8	-3.56	14.9	14.7	0.20
Michael Beasley	19	20	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.06	2	2	0	14.7	17.2	-2.56	15.8	14.5	1.27
Mirza Teletovic	31	33	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	3	-2	14.8	17.7	-2.94	15.1	14.6	0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.27,0.28,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.4,0.29,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.46,0.6,0.55,0.69,0.76,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 83, MIA 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.51,0.41,0.41,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.78,0.43,0.58,1	90.4%
ORL 92, LAC 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.3,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.73,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.68,0.58,1	90.4%
DEN 98, ORL 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.62,0.62,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.78,0.68,0.84,0.86,0.73,1	90.3%