NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	92		Excitement	9.3 [91]		MVP	Steven Hunter (ORL): +8.1%
Los Angeles Clippers	95		Comeback	4.6 [599]		LVP	Chris Kaman (LAC): -34.5%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Hunter	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	6	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	12	55%	0.07	2	-0.05	9	78%	-0.00
Juwan Howard	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	18	52%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.07
Andrew DeClercq	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donnell Harvey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Reece Gaines	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	7	47%	-0.04	1	-0.05	3	67%	0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.30	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.3	-0.08	-0.22	-0.01	12	44%	-0.15	3	-0.15	3	67%	-0.02
Tracy McGrady	-0.31	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.25,-0.13,-0.31	-0.05	-0.26	-0.00	16	54%	-0.08	5	-0.22	3	67%	-0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,0.03,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	0.00	13	46%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.03	0.00	10	75%	0.11	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.06	-0.01	10	42%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Keyon Dooling	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.06,-0.16	-0.16	-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	12	49%	-0.13	1	-0.03	11	91%	0.11
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.16	-0.16	0.07	-0.21	0.02	24	58%	-0.05	2	-0.11	5	60%	-0.01
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.35,-0.35	-0.35	-0.07	-0.27	-0.00	8	44%	-0.16	3	-0.18	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	1.7	24.8	15.7	28.3	2.7	36.2	137.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL -18.1%

LAC +17.3%

LAC +52.7%

ORL -1.8%

ORL -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	LAC	NBA	ORL	LAC	NBA
this game	15.1	15.9	15.7	98.9	102.2	100.5
season	15.7	15.5		100.9	101.3
opponent	15.4	15.4		106.0	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.2	17.7	14.7	15.0	15.1
LAC	15.6	14.4	16.6	17.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Hunter	31	32	0.37	-0.87	1.24	0.07	10	-13	23	13.8	15.7	-1.97	17.2	15.2	1.99
Donnell Harvey	24	24	0.13	-0.63	0.75	0.01	4	-7	11	14.1	15.4	-1.30	15.9	15.9	-0.01
Andrew DeClercq	3	2	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.02	-1	-2	1	3.0	15.5	-12.49	15.0	15.9	-0.90
Zaza Pachulia	5	4	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	1	-5	17.8	14.9	2.87	12.0	16.1	-4.06
Tyronn Lue	79	80	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.31	-1	-2	1	15.2	14.6	0.61	16.1	14.5	1.56
Reece Gaines	35	34	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.14	-7	4	-11	15.6	14.8	0.82	14.4	16.7	-2.36
Keith Bogans	82	83	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.36	-1	-2	1	15.0	15.9	-0.93	15.7	17.8	-2.15
Juwan Howard	60	61	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.35	-2	-1	-1	15.9	13.5	2.43	15.9	15.9	0.01
Tracy McGrady	73	73	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.44	-1	-2	1	15.0	15.3	-0.27	16.1	15.0	1.06
Drew Gooden	73	72	-0.91	0.41	-1.33	-0.56	-12	9	-21	15.4	13.9	1.45	16.0	15.3	0.71

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Kaman	59	59	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.22	20	-17	37	15.5	16.5	-0.97	16.8	12.1	4.77
Marko Jaric	67	65	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.37	14	-11	25	15.6	16.7	-1.18	15.8	13.5	2.27
Quentin Richardson	74	75	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.45	6	-3	9	15.6	17.0	-1.41	15.1	14.9	0.24
Corey Maggette	72	73	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.35	6	-3	9	15.9	15.8	0.15	15.2	14.6	0.62
Chris Wilcox	60	62	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.44	0	3	-3	16.4	15.0	1.41	14.9	15.4	-0.45
Bobby Simmons	15	15	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.12	-5	8	-13	14.9	16.1	-1.21	13.7	15.3	-1.61
Melvin Ely	44	42	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.04	-1	4	-5	15.5	16.2	-0.77	15.5	14.7	0.80
Predrag Drobnjak	16	15	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.10	-8	11	-19	17.9	15.5	2.48	10.1	16.1	-5.98
Keyon Dooling	18	19	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.11	-10	13	-23	16.4	15.7	0.70	11.8	15.9	-4.14
Eddie House	40	40	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.06	-7	10	-17	16.4	15.5	0.95	14.8	15.3	-0.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.3,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.73,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.68,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 96, BOS 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.29,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.58,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.61,0.55,0.85,0.84,1	91.1%
CLE 106, MIL 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.21,0.15,0.2,0.25,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.94,0.9,1	91.0%
PHX 89, LAL 95	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.19,0.23,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.79,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.66,0.69,0.79,0.57,0.84,1	91.0%