inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 106 Excitement7.9 [271] MVPLeBron James (CLE): +45.6%
Milwaukee Bucks 111 Comeback5.8 [505] LVPDonyell Marshall (CLE): -27.8%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0.460,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.460.360.120.022976%0.543-0.081090%0.04
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0.160,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.160.140.02-0.001367%0.1600.004100%0.02
Eric Snow0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.090.030.06-0.00460%0.0900.002100%0.03
Alan Henderson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.00050%0.0000.00250%-0.03
Mike Wilks0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00150%0.0000.0020%-0.03
Drew Gooden-0.040,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.030.000.01550%0.022-0.06475%0.01
Damon Jones-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.020.0000%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Larry Hughes-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.02841%0.043-0.11683%-0.00
Donyell Marshall-0.280,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.28-0.08-0.20-0.01850%-0.045-0.232100%0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
T.J. Ford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.360.360.190.170.001296%0.423-0.061100%0.00
Mo Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.220.070.15-0.00958%0.2200.006100%0.05
Andrew Bogut0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.20.200.120.090.011466%0.241-0.04475%-0.01
Jamaal Magloire0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.010.00280%0.061-0.01667%-0.03
Michael Redd0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0-0.000.04-0.030.022051%0.031-0.04560%-0.03
Bobby Simmons0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08-0.080.03-0.080.031153%-0.051-0.02887%0.02
Toni Kukoc0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08-0.08-0.10-0.01-0.02831%-0.023-0.0600%0.00
Dan Gadzuric0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.04-0.0030%-0.071-0.0400%0.00
Charlie Bell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.10-0.01-0.0140%-0.072-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.01.827.116.429.62.739.8142.3
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +3.3%
CLE -8.9%
MIL +43.7%
MIL +16.7%
CLE -4.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLEMILNBACLEMILNBA
this game15.715.815.6116.5120.7104.4
season16.215.5105.6104.6
opponent15.515.5106.0103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE14.917.717.013.515.7
MIL15.817.414.315.815.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Damon Jones24240.17-0.670.850.035-101514.416.2-1.8013.716.5-2.85
Mike Wilks2726-0.06-0.440.37-0.246-111715.415.8-0.3717.515.12.36
Alan Henderson2121-0.18-0.320.130.02-72-916.515.51.0715.315.9-0.63
Drew Gooden3840-0.23-0.270.050.04-94-1317.714.33.4015.815.70.14
Donyell Marshall6565-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.435-101514.618.5-3.9715.316.8-1.48
Zydrunas Ilgauskas6162-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.352-7915.815.40.4017.013.23.82
LeBron James8484-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.30-3-2-115.221.4-6.2015.221.7-6.55
Eric Snow5657-0.46-0.04-0.43-0.29-61-716.714.12.6817.113.63.46
Larry Hughes7981-0.770.27-1.05-0.24-1813-3115.616.2-0.5315.021.5-6.45

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
T.J. Ford73720.64-0.140.780.2015-102514.719.8-5.0615.615.9-0.31
Bobby Simmons73720.62-0.120.740.2413-82115.516.8-1.2816.014.41.62
Andrew Bogut62600.60-0.100.700.1615-102516.115.01.1516.614.02.58
Toni Kukoc51510.360.140.210.47-49-1314.817.0-2.2613.818.1-4.23
Michael Redd73740.270.230.030.38-49-1315.616.3-0.6915.018.6-3.62
Jamaal Magloire52510.200.30-0.09-0.069-41315.815.70.0816.614.52.15
Mo Williams40390.170.33-0.170.1414-316.215.40.7616.115.40.65
Dan Gadzuric1920-0.160.66-0.820.13-1015-2517.215.41.7515.415.8-0.39
Charlie Bell1716-0.190.69-0.880.10-1015-2521.014.66.4116.715.51.19


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.21,0.15,0.2,0.25,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.94,0.9,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 73, CLE 790.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.7,0.63,0.56,0.66,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.58,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.53,0.79,0.97,0.99,191.8%
MIA 96, BOS 1010.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.29,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.58,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.61,0.55,0.85,0.84,191.5%
ATL 102, BOS 1030.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.17,0.22,0.29,0.24,0.31,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.54,0.69,0.71,0.85,0.85,191.4%