NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	73		Excitement	6.8 [462]		MVP	Anderson Varejao (CLE): +14.6%
Cleveland Cavaliers	79		Comeback	2.7 [765]		LVP	Rodney Stuckey (DET): -16.8%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Maxiell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Allen Iverson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	8	58%	0.11	3	-0.08	3	33%	-0.02
Walter Herrmann	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	7	43%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	0.02	-0.11	-0.01	8	56%	0.01	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	10	36%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Will Bynum	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.04	-0.09	-0.00	8	44%	-0.02	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Richard Hamilton	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	0.00	14	39%	-0.06	4	-0.08	5	100%	0.04
Antonio McDyess	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	9	33%	-0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	-0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17	-0.15	-0.05	-0.04	14	21%	-0.09	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.09	0.01	5	79%	0.18	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.01	0.13	0.00	24	45%	0.15	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darnell Jackson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	11	52%	0.05	3	-0.10	1	0%	-0.01
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	9	22%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	14	35%	-0.14	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.03
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.02	11	18%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.4	25.8	15.0	26.0	2.5	31.6	128.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +35.7%

CLE +4.1%

DET -22.0%

CLE +31.8%

CLE +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CLE	NBA	DET	CLE	NBA
this game	16.5	17.3	15.5	85.9	92.9	106.4
season	16.9	16.9		104.9	110.6
opponent	15.2	15.7		101.0	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	17.6	15.8	18.0	14.8	16.5
CLE	18.4	15.5	16.3	19.5	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walter Herrmann	19	21	0.41	-0.91	1.31	0.14	9	-15	24	16.1	16.7	-0.56	21.7	15.9	5.81
Will Bynum	33	33	0.16	-0.66	0.83	0.02	5	-11	16	16.5	16.6	-0.14	19.6	15.9	3.70
Jason Maxiell	33	35	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.12	0	-6	6	16.2	16.8	-0.59	19.7	15.7	4.03
Allen Iverson	30	30	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.05	2	-8	10	16.1	16.8	-0.68	20.2	15.8	4.42
Kwame Brown	41	39	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-6	6	17.8	15.3	2.49	15.6	18.8	-3.14
Rasheed Wallace	45	46	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.28	-4	-2	-2	15.4	17.8	-2.47	18.9	15.5	3.38
Rodney Stuckey	50	50	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.23	-9	3	-12	16.3	16.9	-0.59	16.0	19.3	-3.26
Antonio McDyess	51	50	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.45	-8	2	-10	16.8	16.2	0.56	15.6	19.9	-4.28
Tayshaun Prince	61	60	-0.77	0.27	-1.03	-0.44	-11	5	-16	16.9	15.6	1.28	15.6	21.4	-5.81
Richard Hamilton	62	61	-0.82	0.32	-1.13	-0.41	-14	8	-22	16.8	15.9	0.86	16.0	20.8	-4.81

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	72	72	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.42	10	-4	14	17.2	18.2	-1.05	16.4	17.3	-0.90
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	47	46	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.41	8	-2	10	16.6	18.3	-1.76	17.3	15.6	1.71
Anderson Varejao	65	66	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.34	9	-3	12	16.3	20.7	-4.46	16.7	15.8	0.90
Delonte West	63	64	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.29	7	-1	8	16.8	18.8	-1.93	16.6	16.4	0.15
Mo Williams	71	70	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.39	-2	8	-10	17.7	15.6	2.03	17.1	14.0	3.09
Darnell Jackson	3	3	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	5	-4	23.3	17.1	6.21	21.0	16.4	4.62
Daniel Gibson	37	38	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.14	5	1	4	17.7	17.1	0.64	15.6	17.3	-1.74
Wally Szczerbiak	20	19	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	9	-12	20.7	16.3	4.46	15.8	16.7	-0.90
Joe Smith	47	47	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.06	-5	11	-16	17.9	16.7	1.19	15.6	17.7	-2.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.7,0.63,0.56,0.66,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.58,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.53,0.79,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 91, DET 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.57,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.47,0.46,0.62,0.71,0.96,0.98,1	92.2%
NYK 125, DEN 128	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.63,0.6,0.7,0.82,0.82,0.67,0.58,0.47,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.91,0.91,1	92.0%
SAS 75, UTA 83	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.53,0.62,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.8,0.79,0.97,1,1	91.9%