inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 98 Excitement8.3 [192] MVPChris Andersen (DEN): +10.4%
Orlando Magic 102 Comeback3.0 [687] LVPDesmond Penigar (ORL): -14.2%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Andersen0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.080.020.00683%0.1000.0000%0.00
Earl Boykins0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.00-0.00750%0.0200.0000%0.00
Ryan Bowen0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nene-0.010,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.030.001060%0.001-0.01560%-0.02
Rodney White-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Jon Barry-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.0130%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Carmelo Anthony-0.080,0,0,0.01,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.080.04-0.090.031970%0.176-0.251283%0.01
Marcus Camby-0.100,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1-0.02-0.09-0.001250%0.012-0.1100%0.00
Voshon Lenard-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.16-0.05-0.091121%-0.1200.00757%0.03
Andre Miller-0.130,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.06-0.09-0.011542%-0.082-0.061100%0.01

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steven Hunter0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.01250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Tracy McGrady0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.01-0.011447%-0.0100.00475%0.00
Tyronn Lue0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.01-0.01562%0.042-0.05367%0.01
Drew Gooden0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.16,-0.02-0.02-0.050.03-0.001350%0.052-0.0660%-0.24
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Rod Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.030.00955%0.011-0.04450%-0.01
DeShawn Stevenson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.03-0.001045%-0.031-0.0320%-0.02
Keith Bogans0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.030.01945%-0.051-0.022100%0.01
Juwan Howard0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.14,-0.08,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.12-0.12-0.05-0.050.021855%0.024-0.13850%-0.08
Desmond Penigar0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.08-0.070.00825%-0.121-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.51.827.00.132.92.538.4129.3
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +23.0%
DEN -29.7%
ORL +52.2%
ORL +5.7%
DEN -1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENORLNBADENORLNBA
this game15.015.315.7103.2107.4100.5
season14.915.7101.6100.9
opponent15.415.4108.2101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN14.916.414.014.615.0
ORL13.914.217.316.015.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ryan Bowen55-0.06-0.440.380.06-40-418.214.83.3812.815.5-2.66
Andre Miller6868-0.08-0.420.35-0.287-111814.616.0-1.4015.115.9-0.80
Voshon Lenard7070-0.18-0.320.14-0.387-111814.017.7-3.6415.115.9-0.77
Rodney White1210-0.19-0.310.110.01-73-1019.214.44.8613.515.5-2.03
Chris Andersen4039-0.21-0.290.080.03-84-1216.214.12.0714.715.8-1.10
Carmelo Anthony8385-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.403-71014.419.2-4.8615.513.52.03
Nene6160-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.433-71015.514.11.4216.413.52.94
Marcus Camby8183-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.412-6814.219.6-5.3615.414.41.03
Jon Barry1919-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.04-117-1817.314.42.8915.315.3-0.07
Earl Boykins3636-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.07-128-2015.514.70.8515.115.4-0.33

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rod Strickland56560.80-0.301.100.3017-133014.516.4-1.9015.514.21.30
Drew Gooden49500.63-0.130.760.3111-71816.314.22.0915.814.11.73
Keith Bogans55550.450.050.400.48-15-616.214.12.1414.315.9-1.64
Desmond Penigar33340.370.130.240.0511-71816.314.81.5617.313.73.62
DeShawn Stevenson60600.280.220.060.1931215.115.7-0.6814.016.6-2.58
Zaza Pachulia37370.250.250.000.057-31016.014.91.1215.914.41.51
Juwan Howard89880.230.27-0.040.29-26-815.118.8-3.7514.620.1-5.55
Tracy McGrady4241-0.100.60-0.700.05-59-1413.716.6-2.9115.414.70.69
Steven Hunter1212-0.150.65-0.790.12-913-2214.015.5-1.5114.315.1-0.76
Tyronn Lue4242-0.270.77-1.030.09-1216-2815.515.20.2413.516.2-2.60


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.62,0.62,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.78,0.68,0.84,0.86,0.73,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 98, SAS 1020.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.76,0.85,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.68,0.78,0.84,0.92,192.3%
NYK 71, CHA 760.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.95,192.2%
BOS 91, CHI 920.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.27,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.34,0.43,0.67,0.83,0.76,0.64,0.47,0.61,0.74,0.79,0.89,0.69,192.2%