NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	91		Excitement	9.6 [75]		MVP	Fred Hoiberg (CHI): +14.7%
Chicago Bulls	92		Comeback	3.1 [85]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -35.5%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenny Anderson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,0.05	-0.00	0.07	0.02	13	61%	0.17	3	-0.12	7	100%	0.08
Walter McCarty	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dana Barros	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	7	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Paul Pierce	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.04,-0.1	0.07	-0.22	-0.05	13	63%	-0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Eric Williams	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	8	29%	-0.11	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Adrian Griffin	-0.13	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	5	43%	-0.07	1	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.22	-0.07	-0.17	-0.02	8	50%	0.03	4	-0.26	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.36	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.04,-0.36	-0.10	-0.28	-0.02	23	42%	-0.32	1	-0.03	11	55%	-0.21

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.08	0.00	10	73%	0.20	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.03
Chris Anstey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	5	80%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kornel David	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	12	54%	0.08	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.02
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.08	-0.02	15	56%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.04
Dedric Willoughby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	3	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Will Perdue	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	0.01	7	37%	-0.09	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.06
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.16,-0.04,-0.19	-0.19	-0.17	-0.04	-0.02	7	41%	0.06	5	-0.25	8	62%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.7	29.6	15.7	29.0	1.8	43.2	143.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +68.3%

CHI +8.2%

BOS -29.0%

BOS -5.1%

CHI +7.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CHI	NBA	BOS	CHI	NBA
this game	14.6	15.9	15.2	96.8	96.8	101.7
season	14.7	16.5		102.4	91.8
opponent	14.9	15.1		102.3	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.0	15.9	15.2	13.5	14.6
CHI	16.6	14.8	18.4	14.2	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vitaly Potapenko	54	57	0.30	-0.80	1.10	-0.11	14	-15	29	12.8	17.0	-4.20	16.2	15.4	0.82
Kenny Anderson	69	68	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.43	13	-14	27	13.4	17.9	-4.54	16.5	14.3	2.22
Antoine Walker	75	75	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.45	9	-10	19	13.6	18.6	-5.01	16.3	14.3	2.01
Adrian Griffin	80	82	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.51	9	-10	19	13.8	18.9	-5.02	15.9	15.6	0.31
Eric Williams	31	31	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.00	-12	11	-23	17.5	13.2	4.33	15.1	16.3	-1.22
Paul Pierce	77	77	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.43	1	-2	3	14.2	16.4	-2.16	16.2	14.7	1.50
Tony Battie	39	38	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.01	-14	13	-27	17.4	12.6	4.83	15.4	16.2	-0.82
Walter McCarty	20	20	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.22	-11	10	-21	17.7	13.7	3.96	14.3	16.3	-2.01
Dana Barros	25	27	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.20	-14	13	-27	17.9	13.4	4.54	14.3	16.5	-2.22

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Hoiberg	72	72	0.82	-0.32	1.15	0.38	15	-14	29	15.0	18.5	-3.48	14.8	14.0	0.82
Michael Ruffin	37	35	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.69	-6	7	-13	17.8	14.7	3.07	12.5	15.8	-3.25
Hersey Hawkins	71	69	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.57	-5	6	-11	15.3	17.7	-2.44	14.1	15.9	-1.76
Dedric Willoughby	25	25	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.03	12	-11	23	15.0	16.2	-1.15	17.1	13.7	3.40
Dickey Simpkins	52	53	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.27	1	0	1	16.7	14.8	1.91	14.5	14.7	-0.22
Will Perdue	49	46	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.25	-1	2	-3	14.8	17.0	-2.21	14.7	14.4	0.30
Randy Brown	70	69	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.44	-11	12	-23	16.2	15.0	1.15	13.7	17.1	-3.40
Chris Anstey	11	12	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	-1	3	15.7	15.9	-0.18	18.7	14.0	4.77
Kornel David	33	33	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.10	2	-1	3	17.9	14.8	3.15	15.5	14.1	1.48
Metta World Peace	18	17	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.08	-7	8	-15	16.5	15.7	0.76	14.1	14.7	-0.57
Elton Brand	37	39	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.23	3	-2	5	14.9	16.5	-1.54	14.9	14.3	0.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.27,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.34,0.43,0.67,0.83,0.76,0.64,0.47,0.61,0.74,0.79,0.89,0.69,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 98, ORL 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.62,0.62,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.78,0.68,0.84,0.86,0.73,1	92.2%
POR 80, CLE 88	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.26,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.24,0.33,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.3,0.33,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.69,0.53,0.66,0.81,0.71,0.86,0.99,1	90.5%
DET 87, ORL 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.31,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.33,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.9,0.92,0.87,1	90.5%