NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	101		Excitement	6.9 [468]		MVP	Thaddeus Young (IND): +14.6%
Indiana Pacers	111		Comeback	1.2 [838]		LVP	Nikola Mirotic (CHI): -12.9%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cristiano Felicio	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	-0.02	0.00	5	80%	0.08	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Doug McDermott	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.01	5	83%	0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jimmy Butler	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.02	-0.04	17	56%	0.16	4	-0.09	11	82%	0.03
Michael Carter-Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	10	52%	0.08	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Jerian Grant	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dwyane Wade	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	18	50%	0.04	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	100%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Taj Gibson	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	12	38%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nikola Mirotic	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.03,0.04,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	14	29%	-0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.07	-0.00	11	65%	0.19	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Paul George	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.1,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.04	0.03	20	65%	0.29	4	-0.16	9	100%	0.07
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.03	-0.03	10	58%	0.12	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.05	0.00	5	80%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	3	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.02	4	100%	0.13	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	53%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	6	43%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.15	-0.01	-0.05	13	23%	-0.05	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.4	33.3	15.4	25.9	2.0	36.2	137.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +54.6%

IND +7.5%

CHI -8.9%

CHI -5.6%

IND +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	IND	NBA	CHI	IND	NBA
this game	15.0	15.0	14.8	105.2	115.6	107.7
season	15.1	14.9		105.9	107.5
opponent	14.8	14.8		108.0	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.4	15.2	16.0	14.4	15.0
IND	13.8	14.8	14.7	16.9	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerian Grant	15	16	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.07	6	-16	22	14.1	15.1	-1.00	16.2	14.8	1.47
Doug McDermott	57	58	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.20	8	-18	26	13.9	16.6	-2.71	15.7	14.0	1.69
Cristiano Felicio	43	44	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.26	6	-16	22	13.9	15.9	-2.03	16.5	13.7	2.81
Michael Carter-Williams	56	54	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.32	4	-14	18	14.7	15.3	-0.59	15.6	14.3	1.22
Nikola Mirotic	55	54	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-11	12	14.1	16.1	-1.95	15.8	14.0	1.73
Robin Lopez	38	38	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.09	-13	3	-16	16.2	14.2	1.99	13.6	16.0	-2.39
Taj Gibson	56	56	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.01	-14	4	-18	15.8	13.8	2.06	14.1	16.3	-2.28
Rajon Rondo	22	23	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.18	-20	10	-30	17.2	14.3	2.92	12.3	15.9	-3.57
Dwyane Wade	59	59	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.06	-13	3	-16	15.9	13.5	2.47	15.3	14.5	0.83
Jimmy Butler	79	78	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.15	-15	5	-20	14.8	15.9	-1.17	14.5	17.4	-2.98

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glenn Robinson	48	48	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.03	23	-13	36	14.0	16.1	-2.12	16.1	13.8	2.33
Jeff Teague	71	72	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.11	19	-9	28	14.2	17.4	-3.27	15.0	15.0	-0.03
Paul George	74	74	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.10	18	-8	26	14.2	17.6	-3.39	15.1	14.6	0.44
Thaddeus Young	73	71	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.04	13	-3	16	15.0	15.0	0.03	15.5	13.4	2.08
Kevin Seraphin	27	29	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.35	0	10	-10	15.2	14.9	0.28	14.0	15.4	-1.45
Myles Turner	60	61	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.11	9	1	8	14.1	16.5	-2.37	15.0	14.9	0.15
Al Jefferson	32	31	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.14	-2	12	-14	16.5	14.3	2.22	14.6	15.2	-0.59
CJ Miles	45	45	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.17	-10	20	-30	16.0	14.2	1.84	13.9	15.9	-2.01
Aaron Brooks	25	24	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.10	-9	19	-28	17.4	14.2	3.27	15.0	15.0	0.03
Monta Ellis	25	25	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.12	-11	21	-32	17.6	14.1	3.49	14.4	15.2	-0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.69,0.8,0.82,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.76,0.77,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.68,0.64,0.94,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 93, DAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.65,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.9,0.82,0.8,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.78,0.95,0.96,1	93.4%
PHI 98, LAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.59,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.8,0.87,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.76,0.68,0.59,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.85,0.82,1	92.3%
MIL 89, GSW 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.84,0.98,1,1	92.2%