NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	98		Excitement	7.6 [317]		MVP	Thaddeus Young (PHI): +20.2%
Los Angeles Lakers	102		Comeback	1.1 [1147]		LVP	Evan Turner (PHI): -27.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.29,0.2	0.06	0.14	-0.00	10	58%	0.23	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.05
Andres Nocioni	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	-0.00	6	76%	0.15	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
Spencer Hawes	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.00	5	80%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.14,0.06,0.06,-0.01	0.07	-0.09	-0.01	15	58%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Jrue Holiday	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.13,0.13,-0.01	0.04	-0.06	-0.00	16	53%	0.05	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Tony Battie	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	-0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	7	43%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.27,-0.27	-0.05	-0.21	0.01	13	43%	-0.21	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.03

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.04	0.01	12	77%	0.20	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.2,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.13	0.03	24	59%	0.34	4	-0.18	8	75%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.01	13	62%	0.17	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Andrew Bynum	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	57%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	6	79%	0.09	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	-0.02	6	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.13	-0.00	-0.04	7	6%	-0.08	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	28.5	16.5	25.4	2.7	36.3	135.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +60.9%

PHI -16.0%

LAL +11.8%

PHI -9.2%

LAL +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	LAL	NBA	PHI	LAL	NBA
this game	14.9	15.7	15.5	104.3	108.5	105.7
season	15.5	15.9		104.6	108.8
opponent	15.5	15.5		103.1	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.3	14.0	14.1	15.6	14.9
LAL	15.7	14.8	15.3	17.1	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Battie	14	15	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.09	4	-8	12	17.4	14.5	2.93	16.9	15.5	1.46
Thaddeus Young	50	53	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.50	10	-14	24	15.7	14.1	1.63	16.0	15.3	0.68
Lou Williams	50	50	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.38	6	-10	16	15.0	14.9	0.14	16.0	15.4	0.64
Jodie Meeks	34	35	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.08	-11	7	-18	14.2	15.3	-1.14	16.3	15.3	1.02
Evan Turner	69	67	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.38	3	-7	10	15.3	14.0	1.22	15.8	15.6	0.21
Spencer Hawes	46	45	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.01	-11	7	-18	14.1	15.8	-1.71	14.8	16.5	-1.69
Jrue Holiday	82	81	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.39	0	-4	4	15.0	14.7	0.21	15.8	15.3	0.46
Elton Brand	76	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.30	-3	-1	-2	15.1	14.2	0.95	16.2	13.5	2.72
Andres Nocioni	49	48	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.04	-18	14	-32	13.9	16.0	-2.13	14.0	17.5	-3.44

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	70	70	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.34	11	-7	18	15.3	16.9	-1.57	14.7	15.6	-0.87
Pau Gasol	62	64	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.24	12	-8	20	17.0	13.2	3.77	15.3	14.2	1.08
Derek Fisher	56	56	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.11	11	-7	18	15.1	16.6	-1.43	14.6	15.4	-0.73
Metta World Peace	51	51	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.01	10	-6	16	15.1	16.4	-1.32	14.5	15.4	-0.85
Lamar Odom	61	61	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.44	-6	10	-16	15.4	16.3	-0.93	15.0	14.9	0.04
Matt Barnes	43	43	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.37	-6	10	-16	16.4	15.1	1.32	15.4	14.5	0.85
Andrew Bynum	65	63	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.09	2	2	0	14.8	17.8	-2.97	14.6	15.7	-1.11
Steve Blake	33	33	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.24	-7	11	-18	17.8	14.6	3.26	16.0	14.4	1.64
Shannon Brown	29	29	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.08	-7	11	-18	15.4	15.8	-0.47	14.8	15.0	-0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.59,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.8,0.87,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.76,0.68,0.59,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.85,0.82,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 80, WAS 82	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.49,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.89,0.89,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.81,0.72,0.75,0.72,0.9,0.91,1	94.2%
MIL 93, DAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.65,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.9,0.82,0.8,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.78,0.95,0.96,1	93.8%
MIA 93, MIN 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.72,0.87,0.92,0.85,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.71,0.82,1	93.2%