NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	93		Excitement	6.1 [610]		MVP	Wesley Matthews (DAL): +35.3%
Dallas Mavericks	103		Comeback	1.0 [1021]		LVP	Greg Monroe (MIL): -12.7%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Miles Plumlee	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	3	100%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.00	-0.00	8	81%	0.13	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	12	73%	0.20	5	-0.18	2	100%	0.01
Johnny O'Bryant	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	10	46%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Michael Carter-Williams	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rashad Vaughn	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Parker	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	37%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Khris Middleton	-0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	13	52%	0.06	5	-0.14	3	100%	0.01
Greg Monroe	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.09,-0.13	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	10	36%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.17	0.21	0.02	10	85%	0.38	1	-0.03	6	83%	-0.01
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.05	0.00	6	87%	0.17	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	5	70%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	8	44%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	12	50%	0.08	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	12	53%	0.00	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.04
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.00	5	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.04	-0.04	15	23%	-0.08	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.4	26.1	15.7	26.2	2.4	30.3	130.5
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +26.5%

MIL -2.4%

MIL -17.5%

DAL +42.5%

DAL +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	DAL	NBA	MIL	DAL	NBA
this game	14.5	15.8	14.9	96.9	109.6	105.1
season	14.8	15.5		102.8	105.0
opponent	14.7	15.3		106.5	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.0	13.8	14.8	14.3	14.5
DAL	13.8	16.9	15.9	17.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johnny O'Bryant	31	30	0.28	-0.78	1.07	-0.07	12	-22	34	14.6	14.4	0.17	17.0	15.3	1.77
Miles Plumlee	29	28	0.23	-0.73	0.95	-0.01	8	-18	26	14.4	14.6	-0.17	17.5	15.1	2.33
Rashad Vaughn	29	27	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.04	4	-14	18	15.2	14.2	1.06	16.8	15.4	1.38
Jerryd Bayless	54	52	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.32	8	-18	26	14.1	15.1	-1.02	16.6	14.8	1.80
O.J. Mayo	62	61	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.26	3	-13	16	14.3	14.9	-0.64	16.1	15.3	0.86
Jabari Parker	37	35	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.07	-13	3	-16	15.3	14.0	1.30	15.4	16.1	-0.68
Michael Carter-Williams	42	42	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.11	-18	8	-26	15.1	14.1	1.02	14.8	16.6	-1.80
Khris Middleton	71	71	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.23	-14	4	-18	14.3	15.1	-0.78	15.5	16.9	-1.38
Greg Monroe	67	66	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.20	-18	8	-26	14.6	14.4	0.17	15.1	17.5	-2.33
Giannis Antetokounmpo	58	58	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.10	-22	12	-34	14.1	15.2	-1.13	15.1	17.0	-1.90

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Matthews	61	65	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.09	22	-12	34	15.2	17.0	-1.80	15.6	12.3	3.31
Zaza Pachulia	71	72	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.20	17	-7	24	15.3	17.6	-2.36	14.8	13.7	1.06
Dirk Nowitzki	55	57	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.26	6	4	2	17.0	14.2	2.86	13.9	15.4	-1.49
Chandler Parsons	74	74	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.22	6	4	2	16.4	13.6	2.83	13.5	17.8	-4.30
Raymond Felton	52	56	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.21	2	8	-6	16.5	15.0	1.41	14.6	14.4	0.21
Devin Harris	45	45	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.06	6	4	2	13.9	17.6	-3.72	14.5	14.5	-0.02
Jose Juan Barea	52	50	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	10	-10	16.2	15.3	0.94	14.1	14.9	-0.83
Charlie Villanueva	11	12	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	10	-10	16.8	15.7	1.12	17.7	14.0	3.62
Dwight Powell	33	33	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	13	-16	14.4	16.6	-2.21	14.0	14.7	-0.72
JaVale McGee	16	16	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.01	-6	16	-22	18.2	15.3	2.92	15.2	14.3	0.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.65,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.9,0.82,0.8,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.78,0.95,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 98, LAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.59,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.8,0.87,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.76,0.68,0.59,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.85,0.82,1	93.8%
CHI 101, IND 111	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.69,0.8,0.82,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.76,0.77,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.68,0.64,0.94,0.99,1	93.4%
LAC 89, MEM 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.8,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.53,0.69,0.84,0.97,1,1	93.2%