NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	95		Excitement	8.9 [163]		MVP	Kyle Lowry (TOR): +20.8%
Portland Trail Blazers	91		Comeback	2.4 [674]		LVP	Evan Turner (POR): -20.2%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Lowry	0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.2,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.16,0.11,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.10	0.10	-0.01	18	63%	0.29	3	-0.08	7	86%	0.01
Patrick Patterson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	12	62%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	7	43%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lucas Nogueira	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	1	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Pascal Siakam	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.1,-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	11	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Norman Powell	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	17%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
Jonas Valanciunas	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.07	0.01	13	43%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Terrence Ross	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	8	25%	-0.06	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2	-0.10	-0.08	0.02	22	39%	-0.13	3	-0.07	7	57%	-0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	-0.01	7	57%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.07	-0.01	5	71%	0.18	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.04
CJ McCollum	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.05,0,-0.08,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.04	0.00	23	60%	0.12	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	5	42%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.04	-0.08	0.02	10	54%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.03	-0.00	9	50%	0.10	5	-0.17	2	0%	-0.05
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	11	29%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.08	-0.13	-0.01	9	45%	-0.04	4	-0.16	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.0	27.2	15.4	27.4	2.5	36.6	132.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR -22.8%

TOR +7.2%

TOR +38.2%

TOR +26.9%

TOR +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	POR	NBA	TOR	POR	NBA
this game	15.8	13.2	14.8	95.0	91.9	107.7
season	15.2	14.9		110.0	108.6
opponent	14.5	14.9		109.8	106.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.6	18.0	16.1	15.9	15.8
POR	13.6	14.1	12.7	12.3	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMar DeRozan	76	75	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.49	12	-8	20	16.1	14.6	1.55	13.2	13.0	0.17
Patrick Patterson	66	66	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.43	12	-8	20	15.1	17.1	-2.06	13.7	12.1	1.62
Norman Powell	21	21	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.17	9	-5	14	19.3	14.8	4.46	14.2	12.9	1.35
Jonas Valanciunas	56	54	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.32	-1	5	-6	16.4	14.9	1.56	13.2	13.2	-0.01
Lucas Nogueira	44	45	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.07	5	-1	6	14.9	16.4	-1.56	13.2	13.2	0.01
Kyle Lowry	87	85	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.43	-8	12	-20	15.5	17.3	-1.78	12.8	15.2	-2.38
Cory Joseph	47	48	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	1	2	15.5	16.0	-0.43	13.1	13.2	-0.05
Terrence Ross	30	31	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	2	0	14.6	16.3	-1.66	14.0	12.8	1.16
Pascal Siakam	14	13	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	7	-10	13.6	16.1	-2.46	13.5	13.1	0.42
DeMarre Carroll	59	57	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	0.05	-11	15	-26	16.4	14.8	1.62	12.1	14.6	-2.51

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ed Davis	21	21	0.11	-0.61	0.73	0.03	3	-7	10	12.0	13.5	-1.49	15.6	15.8	-0.18
Shabazz Napier	30	29	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-3	2	13.8	12.9	0.90	14.9	16.1	-1.26
Noah Vonleh	33	31	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.08	-6	2	-8	14.0	12.7	1.29	14.8	16.2	-1.38
Evan Turner	60	58	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-2	0	13.2	13.2	-0.01	14.8	17.1	-2.30
Meyers Leonard	18	17	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.08	-7	3	-10	15.6	12.6	2.98	13.7	16.2	-2.47
Allen Crabbe	71	72	-0.35	-0.14	-0.21	-0.27	-3	-1	-2	13.5	12.3	1.24	15.7	15.8	-0.04
Mason Plumlee	58	61	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.48	2	-6	8	13.1	13.3	-0.25	16.6	14.4	2.25
CJ McCollum	69	71	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	-1	-2	12.9	13.8	-0.90	16.1	14.9	1.26
Maurice Harkless	68	70	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	-2	0	12.8	14.0	-1.16	16.3	14.6	1.66
Al-Farouq Aminu	67	70	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.47	-1	-3	2	12.6	14.5	-1.92	16.3	14.6	1.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.53,0.27,0.31,0.16,0.1,0.03,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 102, DET 98	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.28,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.61,0.68,0.53,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.12,0.22,0.09,0	92.7%
POR 98, WAS 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.56,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.56,0.73,0.59,0.41,0.4,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.08,0	92.3%
ORL 104, SAC 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.59,0.41,0.27,0.31,0.22,0.09,0.02,0	92.2%