NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	104		Excitement	7.7 [245]		MVP	Jason Richardson (ORL): +26.3%
Sacramento Kings	97		Comeback	2.1 [681]		LVP	JJ Redick (ORL): -11.7%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0.26	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.26	0.14	0.13	0.00	16	65%	0.26	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Von Wafer	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.06	0.00	7	67%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.03	0.10	0.01	11	46%	0.11	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Ryan Anderson	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	16	47%	0.04	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Dwight Howard	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	0.00	2	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.05
Earl Clark	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.06	-0.07	0.02	13	61%	0.08	2	-0.11	7	57%	-0.08
Jameer Nelson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	36%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Chris Duhon	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	4	25%	-0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	9	32%	-0.07	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.21	0.21	0.09	0.10	-0.02	16	67%	0.28	4	-0.07	10	80%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	5	83%	0.12	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
John Salmons	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	8	50%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	-0.00	7	70%	0.11	4	-0.15	6	67%	-0.01
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	16	41%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	0.02	8	73%	0.06	5	-0.14	6	67%	-0.01
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	3	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	29.2	15.8	28.9	0.8	37.6	139.9
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +9.8%

SAC -2.2%

ORL +30.5%

ORL +13.9%

SAC -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	SAC	NBA	ORL	SAC	NBA
this game	16.6	14.4	15.6	111.8	104.3	102.8
season	16.2	14.9		102.8	102.2
opponent	15.1	15.8		107.9	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.3	17.7	16.3	16.0	16.6
SAC	13.1	15.8	12.5	16.7	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Anderson	67	65	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.36	10	-3	13	16.3	17.2	-0.81	14.2	14.9	-0.66
Jameer Nelson	59	58	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.37	9	-2	11	16.3	17.0	-0.72	14.5	14.2	0.27
Dwight Howard	35	37	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.27	10	-3	13	15.5	17.2	-1.74	17.3	12.5	4.82
Hedo Turkoglu	52	52	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.39	3	4	-1	16.4	16.7	-0.29	14.4	14.4	0.01
Jason Richardson	64	64	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.32	0	7	-7	16.5	16.8	-0.32	14.8	13.4	1.43
JJ Redick	39	39	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.11	10	-3	13	16.4	16.7	-0.36	13.8	14.8	-0.95
Earl Clark	29	28	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.05	3	4	-1	18.6	15.7	2.88	14.0	14.6	-0.52
Von Wafer	31	31	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.02	1	6	-5	17.3	16.2	1.03	14.2	14.5	-0.35
Chris Duhon	34	35	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.07	-2	9	-11	17.0	16.3	0.72	14.2	14.5	-0.27
Glen Davis	55	56	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	-0.00	-9	16	-25	16.5	16.7	-0.19	12.9	16.7	-3.78

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Thompson	42	40	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-7	7	12.7	15.8	-3.16	16.7	16.5	0.18
Marcus Thornton	75	76	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-3	-1	13.8	16.8	-2.95	16.2	18.4	-2.18
JJ Hickson	78	77	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.20	2	-9	11	14.0	16.3	-2.31	16.1	19.1	-3.01
Travis Outlaw	12	12	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.06	-7	0	-7	17.7	13.9	3.75	16.1	16.6	-0.56
Francisco Garcia	12	12	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.06	-7	0	-7	17.7	13.9	3.75	16.1	16.6	-0.56
Donte Greene	13	15	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.19	-1	-6	5	16.0	14.1	1.86	19.1	16.1	3.06
Jimmer Fredette	27	26	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.00	-8	1	-9	15.8	13.8	1.94	16.3	16.7	-0.31
Isaiah Thomas	8	7	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	-2	-3	20.2	13.8	6.40	17.6	16.5	1.08
John Salmons	75	76	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.37	1	-8	9	13.8	16.9	-3.16	16.7	15.8	0.91
Tyreke Evans	82	82	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.43	2	-9	11	14.0	17.5	-3.57	16.8	14.5	2.30
DeMarcus Cousins	41	42	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.28	-8	1	-9	15.4	13.6	1.82	16.6	16.5	0.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.59,0.41,0.27,0.31,0.22,0.09,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 105, DAL 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.16,0.23,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.27,0.24,0.16,0.01,0.01,0	92.6%
LAL 90, NOH 82	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.3,0.3,0.47,0.38,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.33,0.26,0.07,0.1,0,0	92.6%
SAS 88, HOU 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.35,0.28,0.41,0.56,0.58,0.46,0.52,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.34,0.4,0.25,0.15,0.09,0.09,0	92.6%