NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	88		Excitement	7.6 [303]		MVP	Michael Finley (SAS): +12.0%
Houston Rockets	85		Comeback	1.7 [465]		LVP	Aaron Brooks (HOU): -20.1%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	0.00	14	61%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,0.07,0.14,0.12	0.03	0.10	0.02	23	51%	0.16	2	-0.04	9	89%	0.08
George Hill	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	10	54%	0.10	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Roger Mason Jr.	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ime Udoka	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Tim Duncan	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.12,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04	-0.06	0.03	0.01	18	39%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Bonner	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	6	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	9	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	4	78%	0.12	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Yao Ming	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	0.01	17	53%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Von Wafer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Metta World Peace	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.07	0.00	19	49%	-0.01	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,-0.2	-0.20	-0.02	-0.18	0.00	18	47%	-0.14	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.5	29.2	15.8	22.6	1.8	35.0	128.2
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +28.8%

SAS +8.9%

SAS +7.8%

SAS +6.1%

HOU -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	HOU	NBA	SAS	HOU	NBA
this game	15.8	15.9	15.5	97.8	92.4	106.4
season	16.4	16.3		106.6	105.9
opponent	15.2	15.7		102.7	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	13.9	16.0	15.5	18.1	15.8
HOU	17.4	15.3	14.5	16.3	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ime Udoka	47	48	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.39	4	-1	5	15.7	15.8	-0.07	15.7	16.0	-0.29
Tim Duncan	61	64	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.32	6	-3	9	15.0	17.5	-2.57	16.6	14.2	2.38
Matt Bonner	54	53	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.26	6	-3	9	16.2	15.1	1.06	16.7	14.8	1.87
Tony Parker	71	73	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.40	0	3	-3	15.2	18.1	-2.88	16.1	15.0	1.10
Michael Finley	70	74	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	0	3	14.7	19.4	-4.72	15.7	16.7	-0.99
George Hill	27	27	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	-2	7	18.6	14.6	4.07	15.0	16.2	-1.18
Roger Mason Jr.	55	55	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.13	-3	6	-9	16.5	14.6	1.93	16.2	15.4	0.78
Kurt Thomas	36	38	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.06	-3	6	-9	15.1	16.2	-1.06	15.0	16.5	-1.44
Drew Gooden	29	28	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	6	-9	17.5	15.0	2.57	14.2	16.6	-2.38

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Von Wafer	37	38	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-4	5	14.7	16.6	-1.91	17.6	14.4	3.21
Shane Battier	69	66	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.19	3	-6	9	15.8	16.0	-0.17	15.0	17.9	-2.92
Charles Hayes	14	15	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	1	-5	14.4	16.1	-1.78	17.8	15.4	2.43
Brent Barry	17	17	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	1	-5	13.6	16.4	-2.73	17.9	15.3	2.59
Metta World Peace	65	62	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.37	5	-8	13	16.2	15.0	1.28	15.2	17.1	-1.88
Carl Landry	29	31	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.07	-6	3	-9	14.9	16.3	-1.37	17.3	15.0	2.36
Aaron Brooks	64	60	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.34	1	-4	5	16.2	15.1	1.10	14.3	18.7	-4.38
Kyle Lowry	33	35	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.21	-6	3	-9	15.9	15.9	0.01	18.3	14.1	4.20
Yao Ming	69	66	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.40	0	-3	3	16.1	15.2	0.93	14.9	18.3	-3.43
Luis Scola	63	60	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.32	-5	2	-7	17.0	13.5	3.49	15.1	17.1	-1.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.35,0.28,0.41,0.56,0.58,0.46,0.52,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.34,0.4,0.25,0.15,0.09,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 97, HOU 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.28,0.19,0.02,0.01,0,0	93.1%
DET 87, MEM 79	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.4,0.31,0.11,0.15,0.05,0	92.7%
CHI 96, SAS 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.6,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.47,0.34,0.34,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.08,0	92.6%