NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	87		Excitement	7.1 [400]		MVP	Allen Iverson (DET): +9.5%
Memphis Grizzlies	79		Comeback	1.6 [720]		LVP	O.J. Mayo (MEM): -21.6%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.07	0.02	18	61%	0.24	4	-0.14	8	62%	-0.03
Rasheed Wallace	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06	0.01	0.06	0.01	12	46%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Antonio McDyess	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	3	80%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.06
Rodney Stuckey	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	12	58%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	58%	0.03	2	-0.03	6	50%	-0.06
Will Bynum	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.09	-0.01	12	58%	0.04	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.21	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.14	-0.07	0.01	12	17%	-0.18	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	5	83%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Greg Buckner	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	9	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	6	67%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	9	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	2	50%	-0.03	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.10	-0.01	14	43%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.05	0.01	16	47%	-0.01	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.22	-0.22	-0.09	-0.13	-0.01	16	41%	-0.05	3	-0.17	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	3.5	28.4	20.6	28.2	4.3	39.4	147.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +44.3%

MEM -6.6%

MEM -2.5%

DET +16.3%

MEM -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	MEM	NBA	DET	MEM	NBA
this game	17.3	15.8	15.5	100.0	90.8	106.4
season	16.9	16.1		104.9	101.7
opponent	15.3	15.7		107.6	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.6	17.3	17.7	17.6	17.3
MEM	15.4	17.0	14.2	16.7	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	62	63	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.34	11	-3	14	17.2	17.6	-0.33	16.0	15.2	0.85
Rodney Stuckey	70	70	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.36	7	1	6	18.1	14.3	3.76	15.8	15.9	-0.13
Rasheed Wallace	60	61	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.37	6	2	4	17.6	16.8	0.79	16.6	13.8	2.76
Antonio McDyess	46	46	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.23	10	-2	12	17.4	17.2	0.19	15.3	16.3	-0.92
Allen Iverson	77	76	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.27	6	2	4	17.5	15.6	1.95	15.4	18.3	-2.85
Will Bynum	6	6	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.05	5	3	2	15.7	17.4	-1.78	19.8	15.5	4.35
Kwame Brown	12	13	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.00	2	6	-4	14.7	17.7	-2.98	12.4	16.4	-3.99
Richard Hamilton	61	59	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.09	0	8	-8	17.1	17.9	-0.86	15.6	16.1	-0.53
Arron Afflalo	7	7	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.04	-2	10	-12	14.0	17.6	-3.61	17.6	15.6	1.95
Jason Maxiell	34	34	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.06	-5	13	-18	17.3	17.4	-0.09	15.8	15.8	0.07

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Buckner	4	5	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.02	2	-10	12	13.2	15.9	-2.65	19.8	17.2	2.63
Darrell Arthur	28	28	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-8	8	17.0	15.2	1.80	19.1	16.5	2.58
Marko Jaric	25	24	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.07	-7	-1	-6	16.0	15.7	0.25	17.2	17.3	-0.10
Mike Conley	59	59	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.26	2	-10	12	15.8	15.7	0.10	17.3	17.4	-0.10
Darius Miles	14	14	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.03	-9	1	-10	17.2	15.5	1.71	19.5	16.9	2.60
Kyle Lowry	33	33	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.04	-10	2	-12	15.7	15.8	-0.09	16.9	17.6	-0.62
Hakim Warrick	61	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.22	-4	-4	0	15.2	17.0	-1.79	16.6	19.0	-2.34
Marc Gasol	70	70	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.33	-1	-7	6	15.6	16.4	-0.71	17.0	18.6	-1.65
Rudy Gay	76	75	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	-4	0	15.6	17.3	-1.71	17.3	17.7	-0.50
O.J. Mayo	65	66	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.30	-9	1	-10	15.9	15.3	0.62	17.2	17.6	-0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.4,0.31,0.11,0.15,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 102, BOS 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.44,0.3,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.31,0.21,0.17,0.02,0	93.2%
UTA 109, ATL 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.24,0.11,0.15,0.01,0	92.8%
SAS 88, HOU 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.35,0.28,0.41,0.56,0.58,0.46,0.52,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.34,0.4,0.25,0.15,0.09,0.09,0	92.7%