inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Portland Trail Blazers 98 Excitement7.2 [383] MVPRudy Fernandez (POR): +32.0%
Washington Wizards 92 Comeback2.6 [619] LVPSergio Rodriguez (POR): -5.5%


Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rudy Fernandez0.320,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.32,0.32,0.320.140.180.006100%0.3200.001100%0.01
Brandon Roy0.120,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.12-0.040.170.011950%0.214-0.09667%0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.060.020.050.001647%0.0600.002100%0.02
Greg Oden0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.01672%0.133-0.11683%0.01
Joel Przybilla0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.010.002100%0.061-0.0500%0.00
Channing Frye-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.02-0.00450%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Travis Outlaw-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.030.00756%0.011-0.02250%-0.01
Steve Blake-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.020.02-0.040.001250%-0.011-0.01683%0.04
Nicolas Batum-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Sergio Rodriguez-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.07-0.02-0.03425%-0.012-0.0400%0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Antawn Jamison0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.150.150.110.070.031765%0.171-0.0200%0.00
Darius Songaila0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.090.090.050.040.00667%0.0900.0000%0.00
Nick Young0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.03-0.00961%0.122-0.0700%0.00
Etan Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.01-0.00250%0.0200.0000%0.00
JaVale McGee0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.01-0.00743%0.0100.0000%0.00
Antonio Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.020.00250%0.041-0.034100%0.05
Caron Butler0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.020.011353%0.103-0.104100%0.05
Andray Blatche0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.01-0.01-0.00861%0.082-0.08250%-0.02
Dominic McGuire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Dee Brown0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.000.00367%0.022-0.0400%0.00
DeShawn Stevenson0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.01-0.06-0.01547%-0.0400.00757%-0.12
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.02.725.515.524.32.636.6132.2
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
POR +3.6%
POR +9.9%
POR +30.8%
POR +4.4%
POR +1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPORWASNBAPORWASNBA
this game17.516.015.5115.3105.7106.4
season16.715.9111.0103.5
opponent15.216.0111.7105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
POR16.616.816.919.917.5
WAS16.116.715.216.116.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brandon Roy63640.68-0.180.870.3312-61816.520.2-3.6915.417.8-2.47
LaMarcus Aldridge68690.65-0.150.790.4760617.418.0-0.6315.517.9-2.44
Steve Blake61600.54-0.040.580.57-17-818.016.21.8516.016.00.07
Rudy Fernandez43450.53-0.030.550.2310-41419.016.03.0515.816.3-0.53
Greg Oden53540.400.100.300.3424-218.316.22.0516.914.62.31
Sergio Rodriguez24260.020.48-0.46-0.187-1816.218.0-1.8516.515.80.75
Channing Frye2022-0.000.50-0.51-0.0933017.217.6-0.3816.116.00.17
Nicolas Batum2930-0.070.57-0.650.01-39-1216.218.2-2.0117.015.51.51
Travis Outlaw3841-0.100.59-0.69-0.01-39-1217.417.5-0.0815.017.0-2.01
Joel Przybilla2624-0.140.64-0.78-0.05-39-1217.817.30.5117.515.42.11

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andray Blatche35350.21-0.710.92-0.028-142216.315.80.5119.316.23.09
Dominic McGuire20200.06-0.560.620.12-2-4218.415.33.1718.317.21.12
Dee Brown3029-0.01-0.490.48-0.103-91217.015.51.5616.118.2-2.16
Etan Thomas76-0.02-0.480.450.01-1-5418.715.82.9416.717.6-0.89
Nick Young3434-0.06-0.440.390.00-2-4217.315.22.1518.716.71.97
Darius Songaila3532-0.12-0.380.260.03-5-1-413.617.6-4.0317.017.8-0.79
Antawn Jamison7675-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.29-2-4215.519.8-4.3617.418.4-1.03
DeShawn Stevenson6058-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.39-3-3015.118.0-2.8317.018.6-1.66
Caron Butler7068-0.510.01-0.53-0.45-2-4215.617.8-2.1817.616.90.76
Antonio Daniels3535-0.590.09-0.67-0.17-148-2216.715.51.1817.817.30.52
JaVale McGee3333-0.650.15-0.79-0.35-104-1416.915.41.4916.318.3-2.00


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.56,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.56,0.73,0.59,0.41,0.4,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.08,0
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 95, POR 910.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.53,0.27,0.31,0.16,0.1,0.03,092.3%
SAC 109, VAN 1010.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.48,0.34,0.33,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.64,0.54,0.46,0.32,0.28,0.33,0.01,092.2%
MIA 76, HOU 730.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.25,0.37,0.22,0.09,091.3%