NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	104		Excitement	6.7 [509]		MVP	Langston Galloway (NOP): +28.5%
New Orleans Pelicans	111		Comeback	1.6 [818]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (NOP): -22.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0.20	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.2	0.10	0.09	-0.01	18	60%	0.25	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Seth Curry	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.02	-0.00	9	70%	0.17	1	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Justin Anderson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.04	0.01	6	75%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	3	60%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Dirk Nowitzki	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	9	56%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
AJ Hammons	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Salah Mejri	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Gibson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Brussino	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11	-0.01	-0.09	0.02	11	59%	-0.02	4	-0.09	7	86%	0.02
Harrison Barnes	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.01	-0.14	-0.01	14	50%	-0.04	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.15	0.14	-0.00	8	106%	0.36	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.07	0.12	-0.00	7	69%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.05	0.00	10	80%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.03	0.01	8	87%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.02	0.03	5	71%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Anthony Davis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.01,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.01	14	67%	0.22	6	-0.19	14	86%	0.02
Terrence Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Tim Frazier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.10	-0.10	0.02	11	27%	-0.17	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	28.4	16.3	22.6	2.5	37.3	135.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +38.8%

NOP +2.6%

NOP +11.5%

DAL -2.8%

DAL -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	NOP	NBA	DAL	NOP	NBA
this game	18.0	13.5	14.8	114.3	120.7	107.7
season	16.2	14.1		104.4	104.1
opponent	15.0	14.7		106.2	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	19.7	16.5	18.7	17.4	18.0
NOP	14.0	13.5	13.2	13.3	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Anderson	27	26	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.13	8	-15	23	16.3	18.8	-2.51	14.1	13.2	0.89
AJ Hammons	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-9	11	9.0	18.1	-9.12	4.0	13.6	-9.58
Jonathan Gibson	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-9	11	9.0	18.1	-9.12	4.0	13.6	-9.58
Nicolas Brussino	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-9	11	9.0	18.1	-9.12	4.0	13.6	-9.58
Dirk Nowitzki	33	33	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.08	-5	-2	-3	17.4	18.4	-1.03	13.3	13.6	-0.23
Devin Harris	33	32	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-8	9	19.3	17.3	1.96	13.8	13.3	0.46
Deron Williams	65	66	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.08	-2	-5	3	17.1	20.4	-3.36	13.3	14.0	-0.78
Dwight Powell	40	40	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-2	-3	17.8	18.2	-0.35	13.9	13.2	0.75
Salah Mejri	30	30	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.33	5	-12	17	18.8	17.6	1.21	13.3	13.5	-0.22
Dorian Finney-Smith	32	33	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.02	-12	5	-17	20.1	16.9	3.24	13.2	13.6	-0.37
Wesley Matthews	67	68	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.14	-12	5	-17	18.9	15.6	3.31	13.3	14.1	-0.82
Seth Curry	58	58	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.30	-8	1	-9	17.9	18.3	-0.39	13.6	13.4	0.20
Harrison Barnes	67	71	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.23	-11	4	-15	17.8	18.7	-0.93	13.9	12.2	1.67

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Solomon Hill	60	60	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.33	10	-3	13	12.5	15.3	-2.81	18.3	17.5	0.87
Jrue Holiday	69	68	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.25	12	-5	17	12.9	15.3	-2.38	18.7	15.9	2.82
Anthony Davis	67	68	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.33	7	0	7	13.4	13.7	-0.33	18.7	16.0	2.65
Dante Cunningham	71	69	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.17	7	0	7	13.9	12.2	1.67	18.0	18.0	0.09
Buddy Hield	42	43	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.01	11	-4	15	14.0	13.1	0.92	19.2	16.9	2.30
E'Twaun Moore	44	44	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	4	-1	13.7	13.3	0.43	17.5	18.6	-1.10
Tim Frazier	9	8	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	3	1	13.1	13.5	-0.41	15.5	18.3	-2.77
Langston Galloway	50	49	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.36	-10	17	-27	13.5	13.4	0.09	17.0	19.2	-2.13
Terrence Jones	26	25	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.03	-1	8	-9	13.9	13.3	0.57	16.2	18.7	-2.57
Tyreke Evans	22	21	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.04	-8	15	-23	15.2	12.9	2.30	16.8	18.4	-1.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.72,0.81,0.9,0.85,0.8,0.68,0.59,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.9,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 91, MIA 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.78,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.68,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.97,1,1	93.5%
DET 91, CLE 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.91,0.92,1	93.3%
LAC 95, SAC 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.77,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.91,0.98,1	93.2%