NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	91		Excitement	7.8 [284]		MVP	Chris Wilcox (DET): +18.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	97		Comeback	1.1 [514]		LVP	Will Bynum (DET): -22.0%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Wilcox	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18	0.05	0.14	0.01	8	63%	0.20	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.03
Ben Gordon	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	0.00	5	80%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0.05	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	9	50%	0.05	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Austin Daye	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.04	0.00	9	57%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Rodney Stuckey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	11	41%	0.06	2	-0.08	5	80%	0.01
Richard Hamilton	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	17	43%	-0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Tracy McGrady	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	5	18%	-0.01	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
Tayshaun Prince	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.02	-0.11	0.01	16	45%	-0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.16,-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	0.00	6	36%	-0.14	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Hickson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.00	0.01	13	75%	0.19	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.04	0.13	-0.00	7	44%	0.14	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.02,0.03,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.01	13	62%	0.14	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luke Harangody	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	6	62%	0.10	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Samardo Samuels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.02	-0.02	7	50%	0.06	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	7	59%	0.05	2	-0.07	3	0%	-0.06
Alonzo Gee	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	10	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	9	26%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Christian Eyenga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	2.4	29.4	15.7	27.0	2.0	34.3	133.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +39.2%

CLE +5.2%

CLE +2.6%

CLE +3.7%

DET -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CLE	NBA	DET	CLE	NBA
this game	16.3	15.5	15.5	100.0	107.8	105.7
season	16.7	15.1		106.4	100.8
opponent	15.4	15.2		110.2	110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	17.7	16.0	17.8	13.8	16.3
CLE	13.6	13.9	16.5	18.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Gordon	35	33	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.19	8	-14	22	14.7	17.3	-2.61	15.2	15.7	-0.50
Greg Monroe	47	46	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-3	0	18.2	14.3	3.83	15.0	16.0	-0.98
Austin Daye	57	54	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.35	5	-11	16	14.7	19.0	-4.23	15.5	15.4	0.09
Will Bynum	22	23	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-7	8	13.8	17.1	-3.30	18.1	14.6	3.48
Tracy McGrady	38	37	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.01	-8	2	-10	18.3	14.9	3.34	15.4	15.6	-0.25
Jason Maxiell	31	31	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.05	-7	1	-8	16.2	16.4	-0.24	13.9	16.3	-2.44
Rodney Stuckey	53	53	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.32	2	-8	10	14.9	18.3	-3.34	15.6	15.4	0.25
Tayshaun Prince	65	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.14	-9	3	-12	17.5	13.3	4.16	15.7	15.1	0.54
Richard Hamilton	60	60	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.06	-12	6	-18	16.9	15.2	1.66	14.5	17.5	-2.95
Chris Wilcox	47	49	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.23	-7	1	-8	16.5	16.1	0.35	16.9	13.8	3.11

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Hickson	65	66	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.17	11	-5	16	15.5	15.5	-0.03	17.5	13.3	4.13
Baron Davis	47	47	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.35	0	6	-6	15.9	15.0	0.87	14.8	18.0	-3.21
Daniel Gibson	47	47	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.35	0	6	-6	15.9	15.0	0.87	14.8	18.0	-3.21
Alonzo Gee	51	52	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.01	10	-4	14	15.0	16.2	-1.24	17.6	14.6	2.98
Anthony Parker	54	54	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.15	5	1	4	16.1	14.6	1.57	17.1	15.2	1.81
Luke Harangody	36	34	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.22	2	4	-2	15.6	15.5	0.09	13.8	17.8	-4.08
Samardo Samuels	36	37	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.19	1	5	-4	14.9	15.9	-1.02	14.9	17.3	-2.36
Ramon Sessions	43	44	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.03	6	0	6	15.0	15.9	-0.87	18.0	14.8	3.21
Christian Eyenga	28	29	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.13	-3	9	-12	14.6	15.9	-1.35	15.2	16.9	-1.68
Ryan Hollins	43	45	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.06	-2	8	-10	16.0	15.1	0.91	17.7	14.9	2.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.91,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 81, SAS 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.77,0.86,0.92,0.87,0.85,0.95,0.97,0.96,1	94.6%
MIN 100, TOR 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.85,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.95,1	94.2%
PHI 72, HOU 77	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.75,0.83,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.93,0.97,0.98,1	94.0%