inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 94 Excitement6.6 [517] MVPPatty Mills (SAS): +58.0%
Dallas Mavericks 87 Comeback9.8 [379] LVPLaMarcus Aldridge (SAS): -13.9%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Patty Mills0.580,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.37,0.54,0.58,0.580.190.38-0.011296%0.632-0.0500%0.00
Danny Green0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.090.060.040.00861%0.0900.00250%-0.01
Davis Bertans0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.080.010.002117%0.0900.002100%0.01
Kawhi Leonard0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07-0.010.08-0.001648%0.142-0.071275%-0.00
Dewayne Dedmon0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.010.050.00550%0.0500.002100%0.01
Nicolas Laprovittola-0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.020.00658%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Kyle Anderson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.010.002100%0.042-0.0500%0.00
David Lee-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.01650%-0.001-0.02250%-0.01
Jonathon Simmons-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.03-0.00525%-0.051-0.03250%-0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge-0.140,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.11-0.04-0.01925%-0.082-0.06250%-0.03

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wesley Matthews0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.150.150.130.060.041959%0.181-0.02683%0.02
Seth Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.060.08-0.011158%0.1500.002100%0.01
Dwight Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.050.060.00671%0.121-0.022100%0.02
Justin Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.02-0.02440%0.031-0.022100%0.02
Salah Mejri00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nicolas Brussino00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Harrison Barnes0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.03-0.020.011557%0.052-0.0600%0.00
Andrew Bogut0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.00267%0.032-0.0520%-0.03
Deron Williams0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.070.01-0.011237%0.012-0.0500%0.00
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Jonathan Gibson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07-0.070.00-0.070.00275%-0.001-0.0700%0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.03-0.0130%-0.051-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.52.427.315.626.42.532.4130.1
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +48.2%
DAL -1.4%
SAS +4.7%
SAS +1.6%
DAL -3.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASDALNBASASDALNBA
this game15.617.514.8108.0100.0107.7
season15.416.2110.1104.4
opponent14.714.8107.2103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS16.716.214.914.715.6
DAL19.317.316.417.317.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Patty Mills55560.61-0.110.730.2612-51713.419.3-5.9417.118.3-1.25
Dewayne Dedmon46450.55-0.050.590.5216-518.012.95.1717.317.8-0.47
Kawhi Leonard55570.460.040.420.3152316.613.92.6616.619.3-2.77
Danny Green50490.420.080.340.2170716.913.83.1416.918.3-1.32
LaMarcus Aldridge57570.340.160.190.40-29-1117.611.85.7817.218.1-0.84
Jonathon Simmons43430.150.35-0.200.0343113.717.4-3.6418.216.81.41
Davis Bertans28280.130.37-0.24-0.0770712.617.0-4.3918.617.01.61
Kyle Anderson2928-0.000.50-0.51-0.0625-312.617.1-4.4518.517.01.50
David Lee4041-0.050.55-0.59-0.1643113.117.7-4.5118.017.10.91
Nicolas Laprovittola3231-0.110.61-0.730.03-512-1719.313.45.9418.317.11.25

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dorian Finney-Smith33310.35-0.851.190.089-162516.817.9-1.1317.314.62.70
Deron Williams44450.25-0.751.00-0.019-162517.317.7-0.4016.714.42.33
Nicolas Brussino11-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-538.017.6-9.631.015.8-14.76
Dwight Powell2728-0.05-0.450.410.19-81-918.317.11.1814.416.2-1.76
Salah Mejri1010-0.12-0.380.250.02-5-2-316.717.6-0.9219.415.14.31
Devin Harris2019-0.15-0.350.200.03-6-1-519.416.92.5113.216.3-3.11
Wesley Matthews6667-0.20-0.300.11-0.376-131917.517.6-0.0715.715.20.44
Andrew Bogut6464-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.446-131917.218.5-1.3115.615.6-0.03
Seth Curry5150-0.32-0.18-0.140.06-136-1918.516.22.2614.916.5-1.61
Jonathan Gibson89-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.29-6-1-513.717.9-4.1514.315.7-1.40
Harrison Barnes7271-0.570.07-0.64-0.43-5-2-317.816.31.4315.714.90.79
Justin Anderson3940-0.960.46-1.42-0.37-2013-3316.918.0-1.0815.116.0-0.90


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.71,0.76,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.87,0.71,0.66,0.4,0.21,0.1,0.1,0
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 88, DAL 780.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.28,0.27,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.71,0.78,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.32,0.28,0.09,0.01,090.6%
SAS 86, CHA 840.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.36,0.35,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.68,0.65,0.76,0.66,0.81,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.59,0.6,0.47,0.62,0.28,0.14,0.16,090.2%
IND 79, WAS 760.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.51,0.4,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.88,0.91,0.69,0.22,0.16,0.04,090.0%