NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	88		Excitement	7.1 [392]		MVP	Sam Mack (HOU): +18.1%
Dallas Mavericks	78		Comeback	4.7 [166]		LVP	Clyde Drexler (HOU): -28.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Mack	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.10	0.08	-0.00	9	72%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Livingston	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.08	0.00	8	50%	0.10	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Brent Price	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	-0.00	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	58%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	5	54%	0.03	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.02
Hakeem Olajuwon	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	23	49%	0.06	2	-0.08	7	86%	0.03
Kevin Willis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	11	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
Matt Maloney	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.14	-0.03	-0.05	6	0%	-0.11	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Clyde Drexler	-0.28	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.15	-0.11	0.02	11	35%	-0.16	4	-0.12	4	75%	-0.04

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.03	-0.00	-0.03	14	55%	0.10	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.02	-0.02	16	53%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	9	61%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Oliver Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	5	33%	0.01	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
A.C. Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	27%	-0.07	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.05
Eric Montross	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	7	44%	-0.05	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.04
Derek Harper	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	15	47%	0.07	4	-0.22	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	1.7	23.7	15.8	27.4	1.8	30.0	123.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL -7.4%

HOU +10.4%

HOU +28.9%

HOU +18.8%

DAL -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DAL	NBA	HOU	DAL	NBA
this game	14.9	16.4	15.6	95.7	84.8	104.4
season	15.5	15.9		107.2	99.1
opponent	15.7	15.4		105.5	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.1	16.6	15.4	13.3	14.9
DAL	16.5	14.0	18.2	17.2	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randy Livingston	48	48	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.31	21	-11	32	15.4	14.3	1.01	17.9	14.9	2.97
Sam Mack	48	50	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.29	17	-7	24	14.4	15.4	-0.99	16.3	16.6	-0.34
Othella Harrington	43	43	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.24	16	-6	22	15.1	14.7	0.38	17.9	15.2	2.72
Hakeem Olajuwon	79	79	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.24	10	0	10	14.9	14.8	0.12	16.1	18.7	-2.63
Clyde Drexler	68	69	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.26	1	9	-8	14.6	15.5	-0.91	16.1	17.3	-1.16
Brent Price	19	19	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	8	-6	16.2	14.5	1.62	16.5	16.4	0.12
Charles Jones	4	4	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	11	-12	16.7	14.8	1.97	22.5	16.2	6.34
Kevin Willis	58	58	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.07	-5	15	-20	14.6	15.4	-0.81	15.4	18.1	-2.67
Mario Elie	50	48	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.11	-4	14	-18	15.4	14.2	1.16	16.9	15.9	1.05
Matt Maloney	43	42	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	-0.11	-7	17	-24	14.0	15.6	-1.55	14.9	17.8	-2.90

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jim Jackson	84	84	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-7	4	16.3	17.6	-1.30	14.9	14.2	0.68
Chris Gatling	19	19	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.02	-7	-3	-4	19.6	15.6	3.96	15.5	14.7	0.76
Oliver Miller	51	52	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-5	0	16.2	16.7	-0.49	14.9	14.8	0.08
Eric Montross	41	40	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.16	-5	-5	0	16.7	16.2	0.49	14.8	14.9	-0.08
Jamal Mashburn	73	72	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.17	-7	-3	-4	15.9	18.4	-2.44	14.9	14.8	0.03
Derek Harper	86	86	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	-6	2	16.0	22.8	-6.84	14.8	16.2	-1.39
A.C. Green	63	63	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.22	-9	-1	-8	16.4	16.5	-0.07	14.8	14.9	-0.09
Michael Finley	43	44	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.23	-10	0	-10	17.0	15.9	1.15	14.7	15.0	-0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.28,0.27,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.71,0.78,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.32,0.28,0.09,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 106, TOR 100	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.81,0.78,0.71,0.75,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.22,0.03,0,0	92.0%
CLE 103, IND 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.49,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.78,0.73,0.61,0.71,0.65,0.76,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.59,0.45,0.6,0.47,0.29,0.1,0.02,0	91.8%
POR 87, PHX 81	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.41,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.47,0.36,0.09,0,0	91.6%