NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	79		Excitement	6.6 [541]		MVP	James Jones (IND): +16.1%
Washington Wizards	76		Comeback	10.6 [59]		LVP	Stephen Jackson (IND): -24.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Jones	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.00	0.11	-0.05	10	50%	0.20	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.08	-0.01	9	62%	0.13	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.07
Reggie Miller	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11	0.00	0.11	0.01	9	55%	0.14	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Eddie Gill	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.06	-0.01	5	67%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Scot Pollard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	4	60%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Jeff Foster	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.07	-0.00	7	29%	-0.06	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.25	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.15	-0.10	-0.01	23	32%	-0.18	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kwame Brown	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	8	63%	0.06	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Laron Profit	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	18	54%	0.05	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.04
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	8	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	7	37%	-0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	4	9%	-0.07	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Damone Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	4	40%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Larry Hughes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.15	-0.03	-0.03	16	30%	-0.14	0	0.00	8	75%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.08	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	3	-0.15	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	1.6	26.4	16.4	32.4	2.4	36.4	136.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +43.6%

IND +10.0%

IND +6.7%

WAS -2.9%

WAS -7.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	WAS	NBA	IND	WAS	NBA
this game	18.3	14.9	15.5	88.8	90.5	104.0
season	16.8	14.7		101.9	104.7
opponent	15.5	15.5		105.5	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.7	19.9	18.7	17.1	18.3
WAS	16.5	15.2	13.9	14.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Jones	49	45	0.88	-0.38	1.27	0.44	15	-12	27	18.2	18.4	-0.18	15.5	14.2	1.28
Stephen Jackson	76	73	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.49	4	-1	5	17.9	20.6	-2.71	14.5	17.4	-2.84
Dale Davis	54	52	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.55	-4	7	-11	18.2	18.5	-0.25	13.8	16.6	-2.75
Reggie Miller	64	61	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.47	-3	6	-9	18.1	18.9	-0.86	14.4	16.3	-1.94
Anthony Johnson	64	59	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.49	-5	8	-13	18.1	18.9	-0.86	14.1	16.8	-2.77
Eddie Gill	26	25	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.04	8	-5	13	18.2	18.3	-0.16	16.8	14.1	2.77
Austin Croshere	40	37	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.14	4	-1	5	18.7	17.9	0.81	16.0	14.0	1.93
Jeff Foster	40	38	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.15	0	3	-3	19.4	17.4	2.04	16.0	14.0	2.07
Scot Pollard	32	30	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.05	-4	7	-11	18.6	18.1	0.50	15.0	14.8	0.22

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Ruffin	30	29	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.06	3	-6	9	14.9	14.9	-0.04	19.8	17.6	2.26
Steve Blake	20	21	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.02	5	-8	13	15.1	14.8	0.34	19.9	17.8	2.03
Kwame Brown	52	57	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.03	2	-5	7	15.6	13.7	1.85	18.0	18.8	-0.75
Damone Brown	20	21	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.13	2	-5	7	14.7	14.9	-0.19	18.8	18.2	0.60
Laron Profit	6	8	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	2	-7	14.8	14.9	-0.06	15.6	18.6	-2.94
Jared Jeffries	64	66	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.41	3	-6	9	14.2	16.9	-2.70	18.8	17.0	1.76
Gilbert Arenas	72	76	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.45	3	-6	9	14.5	17.5	-3.04	18.4	17.5	0.99
Larry Hughes	63	66	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.41	-6	3	-9	14.2	17.0	-2.75	17.9	19.6	-1.70
Etan Thomas	49	55	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.35	-9	6	-15	15.9	13.5	2.41	17.9	18.9	-0.94
Juan Dixon	44	46	-0.80	0.30	-1.11	-0.42	-13	10	-23	15.5	14.2	1.37	17.4	19.3	-1.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.51,0.4,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.88,0.91,0.69,0.22,0.16,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 108, LAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.34,0.43,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.76,0.29,0.22,0.17,0	92.8%
UTA 97, DET 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.58,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.77,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.86,0.88,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.55,0.48,0.32,0.08,0	91.4%
NYK 99, MIL 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.65,0.75,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.84,0.83,0.76,0.55,0.32,0.17,0	90.2%