NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	108		Excitement	8.2 [237]		MVP	Damian Lillard (POR): +59.1%
Los Angeles Lakers	103		Comeback	25.6 [67]		LVP	Al-Farouq Aminu (POR): -21.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0.59	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.44,0.63,0.61,0.59	0.13	0.40	-0.06	25	63%	0.69	4	-0.10	12	75%	-0.06
Ed Davis	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	64%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Pat Connaughton	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	4	62%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.02	15	51%	0.02	0	0.00	13	62%	-0.05
Jusuf Nurkic	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.02	13	53%	0.10	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.07
Zach Collins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	5	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Meyers Leonard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	4	45%	-0.05	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.15	-0.07	-0.01	9	28%	-0.08	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.00	3	78%	0.12	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Lonzo Ball	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.09	-0.00	9	48%	0.13	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Brook Lopez	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	11	54%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	10	50%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Julius Randle	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	13	62%	0.12	3	-0.11	8	87%	0.03
Travis Wear	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Ennis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.06,-0.16	-0.16	0.03	-0.14	0.05	14	53%	-0.10	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.06	0.01	21	37%	-0.11	2	-0.07	9	89%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	27.3	14.7	33.8	2.5	31.5	137.3
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +37.9%

POR +7.3%

POR +7.6%

LAL -4.1%

POR +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAL	NBA	POR	LAL	NBA
this game	14.1	13.5	14.7	103.8	98.1	107.5
season	15.2	13.7		107.8	105.7
opponent	14.8	14.3		107.2	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	11.7	17.3	14.1	13.6	14.1
LAL	14.0	12.7	12.6	14.6	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al-Farouq Aminu	67	69	0.85	-0.35	1.19	0.29	19	-14	33	14.1	14.0	0.10	13.4	13.6	-0.22
Shabazz Napier	56	58	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.39	14	-9	23	14.4	13.7	0.74	13.9	13.0	0.82
Jusuf Nurkic	62	65	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.40	9	-4	13	13.3	15.2	-1.96	14.0	12.7	1.24
Damian Lillard	86	84	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.42	5	0	5	14.1	13.8	0.35	13.5	13.7	-0.21
CJ McCollum	83	84	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.34	3	2	1	13.8	15.0	-1.11	13.5	13.5	0.02
Pat Connaughton	38	39	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.05	5	0	5	14.5	13.8	0.68	13.5	13.5	-0.01
Zach Collins	21	21	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.08	-5	10	-15	14.2	14.0	0.15	13.7	13.5	0.21
Ed Davis	36	34	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.01	-8	13	-21	14.6	13.8	0.83	13.8	13.3	0.49
Meyers Leonard	21	20	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	-0.07	-7	12	-19	15.9	13.6	2.30	12.1	13.8	-1.72
Evan Turner	50	51	-0.33	0.83	-1.15	-0.03	-10	15	-25	13.3	14.7	-1.40	12.9	14.1	-1.15

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Kuzma	81	80	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.23	5	-10	15	13.2	14.4	-1.14	14.5	12.6	1.93
Tyler Ennis	12	13	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.02	-5	0	-5	16.2	13.2	3.02	12.5	14.3	-1.75
Ivica Zubac	36	35	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.23	-13	8	-21	13.6	13.4	0.18	13.5	14.3	-0.79
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	89	89	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.49	10	-15	25	13.4	14.0	-0.60	14.2	13.1	1.09
Travis Wear	33	33	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.03	-9	4	-13	13.4	13.5	-0.10	15.7	13.3	2.34
Brook Lopez	62	60	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.43	4	-9	13	13.7	13.3	0.41	12.5	16.1	-3.59
Julius Randle	73	73	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.54	5	-10	15	13.4	13.8	-0.41	14.4	13.4	1.02
Lonzo Ball	72	73	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.30	-7	2	-9	13.4	13.7	-0.34	13.7	14.8	-1.10
Isaiah Thomas	69	65	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.05	-17	12	-29	13.2	14.0	-0.77	14.3	13.7	0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.34,0.43,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.76,0.29,0.22,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 79, WAS 76	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.51,0.4,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.88,0.91,0.69,0.22,0.16,0.04,0	92.8%
UTA 97, DET 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.58,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.77,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.86,0.88,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.55,0.48,0.32,0.08,0	90.8%
SAS 94, DAL 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.71,0.76,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.87,0.71,0.66,0.4,0.21,0.1,0.1,0	89.4%