NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	99		Excitement	8.0 [219]		MVP	Charlie Bell (MIL): +22.7%
Milwaukee Bucks	98		Comeback	28.6 [8]		LVP	Michael Ruffin (MIL): -29.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.07	0.14	-0.00	12	68%	0.27	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.08	0.03	0.06	0.01	23	57%	0.21	5	-0.13	7	86%	0.00
Fred Jones	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	12	56%	0.07	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.01
Jared Jeffries	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mardy Collins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Quentin Richardson	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.04	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Eddy Curry	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	5	73%	0.04	5	-0.10	5	100%	0.02
Zach Randolph	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	13	43%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23	0.23	0.10	0.12	0.00	9	81%	0.30	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.06,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.04	0.12	-0.00	17	55%	0.22	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.02	7	65%	0.11	1	-0.03	9	78%	-0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	38%	0.03	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Bogut	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.08	-0.01	7	47%	0.04	2	-0.15	5	60%	-0.05
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.08	0.04	22	46%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-0.11	-0.01	9	30%	-0.10	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.29	-0.29	-0.05	-0.24	0.00	2	0%	-0.29	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	2.5	29.3	15.7	29.0	2.4	34.4	139.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +25.6%

NYK +5.2%

NYK +20.2%

MIL -1.6%

NYK +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIL	NBA	NYK	MIL	NBA
this game	15.6	14.7	15.4	104.2	103.2	105.7
season	15.7	15.8		103.1	103.4
opponent	15.2	15.2		110.7	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.2	15.6	14.0	16.9	15.6
MIL	13.8	13.7	14.3	17.4	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Rose	27	29	0.91	-0.41	1.32	0.50	14	-13	27	15.4	15.7	-0.27	17.0	13.7	3.34
Renaldo Balkman	47	47	0.82	-0.32	1.15	0.56	9	-8	17	16.5	14.7	1.72	15.7	13.8	1.91
David Lee	61	62	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.42	8	-7	15	15.4	16.0	-0.58	15.5	13.2	2.30
Jamal Crawford	81	82	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.38	7	-6	13	15.6	15.8	-0.22	15.2	11.4	3.86
Fred Jones	86	88	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.46	3	-2	5	15.1	20.2	-5.11	14.8	13.9	0.93
Wilson Chandler	8	6	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	3	-5	20.6	15.1	5.49	14.0	14.8	-0.76
Jared Jeffries	13	11	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.04	0	1	-1	15.0	15.7	-0.70	12.1	15.1	-2.97
Mardy Collins	14	13	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.09	-6	7	-13	15.8	15.6	0.22	11.4	15.2	-3.86
Zach Randolph	52	52	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	-0.06	-6	7	-13	15.2	16.1	-0.99	13.8	15.8	-2.05
Quentin Richardson	42	43	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.01	-10	11	-21	14.7	16.3	-1.63	13.7	15.6	-1.86
Eddy Curry	44	42	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	0.01	-12	13	-25	16.7	14.7	2.02	13.7	15.5	-1.84

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Desmond Mason	64	63	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.09	1	-2	3	14.1	15.9	-1.81	14.7	17.3	-2.63
Michael Ruffin	37	39	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.29	10	-11	21	14.2	15.0	-0.82	15.7	15.6	0.11
Jake Voskuhl	2	2	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.06	2	-3	5	5.0	14.9	-9.92	12.5	15.7	-3.17
Royal Ivey	68	69	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.15	4	-5	9	14.9	14.3	0.53	16.1	14.2	1.99
Yi Jianlian	25	23	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.04	-8	7	-15	17.3	13.8	3.53	18.0	14.8	3.17
Andrew Bogut	53	52	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.13	-8	7	-15	15.2	14.1	1.15	15.7	15.5	0.16
Michael Redd	68	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.56	5	-6	11	14.5	15.3	-0.81	15.5	15.8	-0.25
Charlie Villanueva	73	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.50	2	-3	5	14.0	17.2	-3.21	14.9	18.2	-3.39
Bobby Simmons	17	18	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.31	-7	6	-13	15.9	14.4	1.49	17.4	15.2	2.28
Charlie Bell	68	67	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.48	-6	5	-11	15.0	13.9	1.16	15.4	16.0	-0.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.65,0.75,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.84,0.83,0.76,0.55,0.32,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 91, TOR 86	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.9,0.88,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.64,0.53,0.71,0.62,0.45,0.57,0.28,0	91.1%
UTA 107, SAC 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.74,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.77,0.85,0.8,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.53,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.26,0	91.0%
NJN 88, DET 86	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.55,0.57,0.42,0	90.4%