NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	115		Excitement	5.4 [742]		MVP	JJ Redick (LAC): +22.3%
LA Clippers	123		Comeback	1.5 [1125]		LVP	Lucas Nogueira (TOR): -4.6%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Lowry	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	18	60%	0.16	3	-0.07	9	89%	0.02
Jonas Valanciunas	0.07	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	0.00	0.04	8	71%	0.07	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Cory Joseph	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	7	55%	0.07	0	0.00	8	75%	0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.01	21	54%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	8	74%	0.08	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.00
Terrence Ross	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.01	0.02	6	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	9	58%	0.07	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Lucas Nogueira	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.15	0.10	0.03	7	87%	0.26	2	-0.04	9	100%	0.03
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.15	0.08	0.01	17	62%	0.22	0	0.00	8	75%	0.02
Chris Paul	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.02	0.00	14	74%	0.22	4	-0.08	7	100%	0.03
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	5	100%	0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.04	-0.01	11	52%	0.09	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.03	6	65%	0.07	1	-0.03	14	64%	-0.03
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	5	27%	-0.03	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	1.8	29.0	15.7	32.3	2.4	41.5	150.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +30.9%

LAC +13.8%

LAC +11.2%

TOR -8.5%

LAC +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	LAC	NBA	TOR	LAC	NBA
this game	14.2	13.7	14.8	111.7	119.4	107.7
season	15.2	15.0		110.0	110.8
opponent	14.8	14.9		106.6	106.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.0	12.5	15.5	13.0	14.2
LAC	12.8	15.8	12.6	13.7	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pascal Siakam	30	29	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-6	4	13.7	14.5	-0.81	14.8	13.3	1.50
Terrence Ross	57	58	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.26	2	-10	12	12.9	15.9	-2.94	14.2	13.0	1.20
Cory Joseph	38	39	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.12	-3	-5	2	11.8	15.6	-3.80	15.0	12.9	2.10
Norman Powell	55	55	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.12	-4	-4	0	15.6	12.7	2.91	13.3	14.2	-1.00
Lucas Nogueira	30	29	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.02	-9	1	-10	13.3	14.6	-1.33	13.8	13.7	0.06
Patrick Patterson	77	77	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.21	-4	-4	0	14.4	13.8	0.58	13.5	14.4	-0.89
Kyle Lowry	88	89	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.15	-6	-2	-4	15.2	8.8	6.37	13.5	15.2	-1.73
Jonas Valanciunas	62	62	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.27	-3	-5	2	14.7	13.5	1.21	13.6	13.9	-0.31
DeMar DeRozan	78	77	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.20	-11	3	-14	14.4	13.7	0.74	13.2	15.3	-2.18

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Redick	64	64	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.11	17	-9	26	12.4	15.8	-3.38	15.2	12.6	2.66
Blake Griffin	77	77	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.25	9	-1	10	12.9	16.0	-3.10	14.9	12.2	2.74
Chris Paul	77	76	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.27	7	1	6	13.2	15.3	-2.07	14.5	13.6	0.93
DeAndre Jordan	75	74	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.26	4	4	0	13.0	15.6	-2.59	14.7	13.2	1.49
Luc Mbah a Moute	52	52	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	4	0	11.7	15.8	-4.09	16.1	12.4	3.70
Jamal Crawford	56	56	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.30	-4	12	-16	15.7	11.3	4.37	12.5	16.3	-3.78
Marreese Speights	28	29	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	4	0	15.6	13.0	2.59	13.2	14.7	-1.49
Raymond Felton	26	28	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	7	-6	15.3	13.2	2.07	13.1	14.7	-1.51
Wesley Johnson	26	25	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	9	-10	16.0	12.9	3.10	12.6	14.8	-2.17
Austin Rivers	34	34	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.02	-1	9	-10	15.9	12.6	3.32	12.4	15.2	-2.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.85,0.92,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.86,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 98, SAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.83,0.76,0.9,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.9%
WAS 96, CHA 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.87,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.89,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.86,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.5%
SEA 92, GSW 101	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.88,0.94,0.88,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.82,0.77,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.93,0.9,0.99,0.97,1,1	94.4%