inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 96 Excitement4.9 [813] MVPBoris Diaw (CHA): +11.4%
Charlotte Bobcats 107 Comeback1.0 [943] LVPTyrus Thomas (CHA): -9.6%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Alonzo Gee0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.100.020.00968%0.131-0.021070%-0.01
Nick Young0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.02-0.00771%0.082-0.0700%0.00
Mike Miller0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.04-0.020.00862%0.051-0.0300%0.00
Randy Foye0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.13-0.020.11889%0.072-0.073100%0.01
JaVale McGee-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.000.02480%0.042-0.052100%0.00
Quinton Ross-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Fabricio Oberto-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Shaun Livingston-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01650%0.012-0.0500%0.00
James Singleton-0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.00840%-0.031-0.024100%0.01
Andray Blatche-0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.10-0.02-0.061947%0.076-0.1200%0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Boris Diaw0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.070.03-0.01875%0.131-0.0200%0.00
Gerald Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.110.010.031277%0.163-0.076100%0.03
Larry Hughes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.000.05-0.031048%0.101-0.021100%0.01
Theo Ratliff0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.010.01280%0.0600.00667%-0.02
Raymond Felton0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.080.010.051079%0.144-0.09475%-0.00
Stephen Jackson0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.04-0.010.011459%0.062-0.05667%-0.01
Derrick Brown00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gerald Henderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Stephen Graham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02442%-0.0110.00425%-0.04
Tyson Chandler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.000.002100%0.043-0.0700%0.00
D.J. Augustin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Tyrus Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.11-0.02-0.04922%-0.052-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.92.530.014.726.32.528.6131.3
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHA +17.6%
CHA +3.3%
CHA +17.9%
CHA +7.3%
CHA +3.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASCHANBAWASCHANBA
this game15.615.715.3104.3116.3106.0
season15.716.2102.6103.0
opponent15.415.3101.8107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS15.615.316.415.215.6
CHA15.016.016.315.515.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Quinton Ross1817-0.01-0.490.48-0.103-141716.115.50.6214.915.9-1.00
Fabricio Oberto22-0.05-0.450.40-0.02-1-10913.515.7-2.169.515.8-6.33
Nick Young3636-0.13-0.370.23-0.4310-213114.816.1-1.2715.016.1-1.10
Randy Foye3940-0.15-0.350.20-0.181-121315.515.7-0.1216.015.50.49
JaVale McGee3637-0.16-0.340.19-0.367-182514.316.4-2.1015.016.1-1.12
Alonzo Gee6161-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.03-9-2-715.815.30.4316.114.91.24
Shaun Livingston5352-0.35-0.15-0.200.00-121-1315.715.50.1215.516.0-0.49
Andray Blatche7271-0.36-0.14-0.230.13-176-2316.313.03.2716.313.82.44
James Singleton7474-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.11-110-1115.615.7-0.0715.715.8-0.17
Mike Miller6970-0.560.06-0.620.20-2615-4115.815.20.5815.915.10.74

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Raymond Felton57580.54-0.040.58-0.2828-174515.116.7-1.5516.015.00.97
Boris Diaw63620.54-0.040.57-0.2627-164315.216.8-1.6516.014.71.35
Gerald Wallace62620.350.150.21-0.0915-41915.815.40.4416.314.22.14
Theo Ratliff54540.350.150.20-0.0012-11316.514.61.9015.515.8-0.31
Larry Hughes29300.300.200.110.36-213-1516.215.50.7014.716.1-1.40
Stephen Jackson66650.190.31-0.12-0.1612-11315.316.7-1.4415.915.00.86
Stephen Graham27270.150.35-0.190.24-314-1715.915.60.2214.416.1-1.65
Tyson Chandler33330.150.35-0.20-0.0574314.916.1-1.1816.715.01.74
Derrick Brown550.000.50-0.500.23-819-2712.215.9-3.709.616.0-6.35
Gerald Henderson550.000.50-0.500.23-819-2712.215.9-3.709.616.0-6.35
Tyrus Thomas2930-0.040.54-0.570.43-1627-4316.815.21.6514.716.0-1.35
D.J. Augustin3029-0.040.54-0.580.22-920-2917.414.92.5315.915.50.47


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.87,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.89,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.86,0.99,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 85, NJN 990.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.8,0.72,0.86,0.94,0.9,0.98,1,1,1,194.9%
TOR 115, LAC 1230.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.85,0.92,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.86,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,194.5%
BOS 94, DAL 1040.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.8,0.74,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,194.4%