NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	85		Excitement	5.3 [761]		MVP	Keyon Dooling (NJN): +23.3%
New Jersey Nets	99		Comeback	1.0 [1030]		LVP	Jarvis Hayes (NJN): -16.0%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Gadzuric	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	5	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.05
Francisco Elson	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Bell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	8	56%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Alexander	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	15	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.03	0.04	16	56%	0.08	4	-0.13	16	62%	-0.03
Luke Ridnour	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	9	36%	-0.06	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Ramon Sessions	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	17	43%	-0.04	3	-0.08	10	90%	0.03

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.17	0.08	0.02	8	106%	0.27	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.17	0.03	-0.01	10	86%	0.22	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brook Lopez	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.06	0.00	14	71%	0.21	3	-0.06	3	67%	0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.06	0.02	13	56%	0.09	2	-0.02	8	100%	0.04
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	12	44%	0.01	2	-0.05	10	80%	0.02
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.14	-0.03	-0.01	7	14%	-0.08	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	1.8	32.1	15.7	27.2	2.4	31.6	132.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +51.5%

NJN +9.6%

MIL -10.5%

MIL -1.7%

NJN +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NJN	NBA	MIL	NJN	NBA
this game	15.5	18.0	15.5	98.8	115.1	106.4
season	15.0	16.0		104.9	106.5
opponent	15.5	15.6		108.9	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.6	17.1	16.8	13.7	15.5
NJN	18.1	19.0	17.5	17.5	18.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luc Mbah a Moute	15	16	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.20	8	-22	30	13.3	16.0	-2.64	22.9	16.9	6.02
Damon Jones	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-15	16	10.0	15.7	-5.71	20.5	17.9	2.65
Joe Alexander	16	17	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.04	-2	-12	10	16.1	15.4	0.68	17.5	18.1	-0.56
Dan Gadzuric	34	31	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.21	2	-16	18	13.9	16.5	-2.60	20.2	16.7	3.47
Francisco Elson	40	40	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.03	-8	-6	-2	17.2	14.0	3.25	17.3	18.6	-1.27
Charlie Bell	48	47	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	-8	2	14.3	17.1	-2.76	18.9	16.8	2.07
Ramon Sessions	80	81	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.13	-10	-4	-6	15.4	16.8	-1.42	17.8	20.8	-3.00
Richard Jefferson	83	85	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.01	-15	1	-16	15.7	10.0	5.71	17.6	46.0	-28.35
Luke Ridnour	65	64	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.02	-18	4	-22	16.0	14.1	1.81	17.2	20.4	-3.21
Charlie Villanueva	46	45	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.09	-22	8	-30	16.5	14.4	2.13	16.4	19.7	-3.35

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brook Lopez	67	66	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.06	20	-6	26	17.3	20.5	-3.27	15.9	14.3	1.51
Vince Carter	72	73	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.01	21	-7	28	17.3	21.6	-4.38	15.4	15.9	-0.48
Ryan Anderson	73	71	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.03	18	-4	22	17.5	20.7	-3.20	15.4	16.3	-0.91
Devin Harris	64	64	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.11	8	6	2	17.8	18.6	-0.83	15.9	14.4	1.48
Keyon Dooling	47	47	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.06	5	9	-4	18.7	17.1	1.55	14.2	17.1	-2.96
Chris Douglas-Roberts	14	13	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.06	5	9	-4	17.6	18.1	-0.48	14.5	15.7	-1.24
Jarvis Hayes	39	40	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	10	-6	18.9	17.2	1.64	16.4	14.7	1.75
Trenton Hassell	35	36	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.09	-5	19	-24	19.1	17.2	1.82	16.4	14.9	1.51
Josh Boone	19	20	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.03	-6	20	-26	20.5	17.3	3.27	14.3	15.9	-1.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.8,0.72,0.86,0.94,0.9,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 96, CHA 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.87,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.89,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.86,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.9%
BOS 94, DAL 104	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.8,0.74,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1	94.7%
NOH 87, DAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.9,0.91,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.86,0.8,0.9,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%