NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	92		Excitement	6.3 [600]		MVP	Derek Fisher (GSW): +7.4%
Golden State Warriors	101		Comeback	1.2 [1104]		LVP	Troy Murphy (GSW): -18.6%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerome James	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	0.00	0.04	27	48%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Danny Fortson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	3	71%	0.04	3	-0.09	8	100%	0.06
Luke Ridnour	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	12	43%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	6	62%	-0.01	3	-0.07	9	100%	0.03
Reggie Evans	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	7	19%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ronald Murray	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	17	38%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.05	0.01	10	30%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	12	58%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.02	0.06	8	95%	0.13	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Jason Richardson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	17	63%	0.11	4	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	4	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Zarko Cabarkapa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.02	0.01	18	50%	0.03	8	-0.20	2	100%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.14	-0.04	0.00	4	23%	-0.10	3	-0.09	5	20%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	2.6	27.2	14.8	26.8	1.5	32.5	133.3
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +65.4%

SEA -14.8%

GSW +6.7%

SEA -5.4%

SEA -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	GSW	NBA	SEA	GSW	NBA
this game	16.6	13.4	15.5	95.8	105.2	104.0
season	16.5	15.0		109.5	102.3
opponent	15.2	15.6		104.7	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	18.2	18.2	16.0	13.9	16.6
GSW	11.8	11.8	13.4	16.7	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome James	36	38	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.06	-1	-8	7	16.2	16.8	-0.59	13.0	13.7	-0.67
Reggie Evans	40	41	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.09	-3	-6	3	18.3	15.4	2.88	13.3	13.5	-0.11
Danny Fortson	43	41	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.09	-3	-6	3	15.3	17.7	-2.42	14.0	13.0	0.95
Nick Collison	53	51	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-6	3	16.6	16.6	0.06	12.9	13.9	-0.99
Antonio Daniels	58	56	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	-3	-6	3	16.8	16.3	0.46	13.8	12.8	0.95
Luke Ridnour	55	58	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.14	-7	-2	-5	16.7	16.5	0.23	12.7	14.4	-1.68
Damien Wilkins	57	59	-0.34	-0.15	-0.19	-0.20	-5	-4	-1	15.8	17.7	-1.94	13.2	13.7	-0.48
Ronald Murray	54	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.12	-8	-1	-7	16.9	16.2	0.72	13.7	13.1	0.62
Ray Allen	84	84	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.15	-12	3	-15	16.8	15.4	1.35	13.8	10.7	3.04

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Baron Davis	78	77	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.20	15	-6	21	13.6	12.4	1.18	16.8	15.9	0.81
Mike Dunleavy	78	77	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.22	10	-1	11	13.7	12.3	1.39	16.4	17.6	-1.23
Jason Richardson	82	82	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.22	9	0	9	13.5	12.7	0.81	17.2	13.1	4.04
Troy Murphy	56	55	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.09	11	-2	13	12.6	14.6	-2.00	18.3	14.2	4.10
Derek Fisher	61	61	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.19	6	3	3	13.5	13.2	0.28	16.0	17.5	-1.49
Adonal Foyle	57	56	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.21	3	6	-3	13.5	13.3	0.25	16.2	17.1	-0.82
Andris Biedrins	26	28	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	11	-13	13.8	13.2	0.60	16.4	16.7	-0.28
Zarko Cabarkapa	20	21	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	12	-15	12.5	13.6	-1.08	14.6	17.1	-2.53
Mickael Pietrus	22	23	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	13	-17	13.1	13.5	-0.41	14.9	17.1	-2.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.88,0.94,0.88,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.82,0.77,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.93,0.9,0.99,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 93, TOR 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.81,0.87,0.8,0.89,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.81,0.91,0.86,0.96,1,1,1	94.6%
TOR 115, LAC 123	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.85,0.92,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.86,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1	94.4%
MIL 85, NJN 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.8,0.72,0.86,0.94,0.9,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.2%